Saratoga Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free Saratoga Picks
Terry’s Picks:
Saratoga – 7-23-2025
Race 1
5 – Proven Innocent – He has won two races out of three starts at Saratoga at today’s distance, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Awakened – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 33% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 75% of the races, winning 50% of the starts.
3 – Jimmy P – He won the last race he competed in at Saratoga by a whopping 34-lenghts, he should improve at the shorter distance and he has a high % winning and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Howyabud – He has finished in the money in four out of six career starts, winning two of the starts and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Who’s Counting
6 – Historic Heart
Race 2-Female
5 – Zadorsky – She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and has a high % winning trainer and she switches high % winning to a jockey.
6 – Tough Street – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 33% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 80% of the races, winning 40% of the starts.
1 – Weigh the Risks – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, drops in class today and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Patricia Ann – She has finished in the money in four out of six career starts winning three of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Sultry Lass
4 – Braganza
Race 3
4 – Empty Tomb – He won his last race at Aqueduct, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – O P Firecracker – He has finished in the money in his last four starts winning two starts and he has a high % winning jockey and he has a good 4F workout on Jul-17.
2 – Gasoline – He drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 34% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Suerte – He has won one race out of three starts at Saratoga, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Manta Rey
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,5,6/2,3/2,4/2,4,5,6,8 – Cost $50.00
Race 4
2 – Gardiner – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, should improve at the shorter distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a good 4F workout on Jul-13.
3 – Trust Issues – He ran 4th in his last race after having trouble during the race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Zippy Mark – He was beaten only 2-lengths in his last start, can improve while returning to a sprint and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Roar Ready – He finished 2nd in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races in dirt starts and he can go the distance.
Alternate:
8 – Social Hour
7 – Remi’s Moon
Race 5-Female
4 – Gone and Forgotten – She won her last race at Saratoga, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the races in the 1st race after a horse he claims and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Talkin in Cursive – She won her last race at Saratoga, drops in class today and she has the highest last race speed rating.
3 – Problematica – She has won five races out of her last eight starts, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Toned Up – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Open Soul Autism
Race 6
2 – Catch a Wave – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Crystal Quest – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Vesting – He won his last race at Aqueduct and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Noted – He is one for one at Saratoga, and he has a high % winning trainer switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Freedom’s Way
7 – Rungius
$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,6/1,3,4,5/1,2-2B/5,6,7– Cost $48.00
Race 7–Female
4 – Daisy Duke – She finished 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Farm House – She won her last race at Aqueduct, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Beira – She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1A – Catchphrase – She ran 2nd in her last race at Aqueduct and can handle the distance.
Alternate:
7 – Despo’s Dream
8 – Elegant
Race 8-Female
2/2B – The Big Calhouna/Golden Degree – She finished 3rd in her last race, she can improve at the shorter distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – All Class– She tried turf in her last race and did not seem to like it and now returns to dirt where she has done better, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Midtown Lights – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 1st start with this trainer and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – C’Est Cheese – She has won two races out of her last three starts and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Princess Madison
8 – Goodnightngodbless
Bet: $40.00 Win: 2/2B – $10.00 Exacta: 2-2B/1,5,7 – $5.00 Exacta Box:1,2-2B,7
Race 9
7 – King Puck – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Rout – He is a first-time starter whose Breeding suits today’s sprint distance, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout on Jul-13.
6 – Askingforafriend – He ran 4th in his last race after being bumped hard at the 7/16 and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – The Commish – He ran 3rd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, he has a high % winning jockey and he has a bullet 4F workout on Jul-14.
Alternate:
1 – Bliss Street
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #2/2B – The Big Calhouna/Everyoneloveslinda
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 2 3/8 Miles – Hurdles
5 – PROVEN INNOCENT
4 – HOWYABUD
7 – AWAKENED
3 – JIMMY P
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers/Closers, 1/8 w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Sucks, 8+ Bonus
2 – PATRICIA ANN – TLRSP#+5 despite stumbling, +6 Top TOTAL PACE – runs fine off breaks
5 – ZADORSKY – never off the board in 3 at Toga of 5 at the distance
6 – TOUGH STREET – career best at Toga – Top C ZONE
1 – WEIGH THE RISKS – Chad Brown horse – solid works – 1st up record in spotty
$20 Win: 2
Race 3: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ None
4 – EMPTY TOMB – SIM FAV – TOP PAR+, hasn’t made 2 starts in a row in more than a year, finally healthy
2 – GASOLINE – only class dropper – Irad, won lone Toga Start – needs to rebound
6 – MANTA REY – biggest in race advantage of 1 ½ lengths LS and Top TOTAL PACE
3 – O P FIRECRACKER – spike race last out – concerned about regression but ITM 8/8 at the distance
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,6/2,7,8/2,3,4/2,5,7
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 27% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Hit Hard, 8+ Best
2 – GARDINER – CV suggests a bounce back race could be coming in 3rd up – 3 works between races
8 – SOCIAL HOUR – consistent performer that should be better in 3rd off the bench and cut back in distance
7 – REMI’S MOON – by far best C ZONE and plenty of upside in just 4th race
5 – ZIPPY MARK – Top TOTAL PACE – biggest class dropper – most dangerous when forward
3 – TRUST ISSUES – YES horse ITM 5/6 at the distance
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,5,7,8
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers/Closers, 1/8 w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Sucks, 8+ Bonus
2 – TALKIN IN CURSIVE – TLRSP#+5 and Top TOTAL PACE of 2 lengths – much better EP
3 – PROBLEMATICA – pacesetter – high C ZONE – usually works – needs to rebound off of last
4 – GONE AND FORGOTTEN – walking up the speed ladder – much better EP in last
5 – TONED UP – Toga 5/0-4-0 – also improved early in her last
Race 6: 1 3/8 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: 3 Races – Closers, 0 w2w – PP: All from 4+
7 – RUNGIUS – speed number exploded in 1st turf go – better 5 ways – work since – Top PAR+
2 – CATCH A WAVE – big effort after more than a year off – big chance to regress
5 – CRYSTAL QUEST – if closing matters – biggest in race edge of 6 points
6 – VESTING – Yes Horse that should be better in the second off the sidelines
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,5,7/2,4,7/2,2B,3/4,5,6,7,9
$5 Exacta Key Box: 7/2,5,6
$20 Win: 7
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers/Closers, 1/8 w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Sucks, 8+ Bonus
4 – DAISY DUKE – better middle out in last – same fractions at 7 1/2f as 6
7 – DESPO’S DREAM – SIM FAV – Top TOTAL PACE – highly consistent
2 – LOOKS FIRST – TLRSP#+3 – strong C ZONE – some extra distance helps
3 – BEIRA – never off the board in 6 on a fast track
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 2 Races, Closers, 0 w2w – PP: 1 from Rail. 1 from 4-7
3 – PRINCESS MADISON – better in 2nd up and best career race was lone Toga run
2B – EVERYONELOVESLINDA – either of the 2s will do – this one Toga 4/0-4-0
2 – THE BIG CALHOUNA – this one Top PAR+
Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 1/12 w2w – PP: Outside In
7 – KING PUCK – TLRSP#+4 – Better 5 Ways – bullet work between races
9 – LIGHT FANTASTIC – 2nd race parability
4 – THE COMMISH – shortens up with a bullet work and just 3rd race
5 – ROUT – 1st timers vs mostly nos – Chad Brown horse – decent enough works
$6 Win: 7
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 4,5,7,9
