Saratoga Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Prairie Meadows – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free Saratoga Picks
Terry’s Picks:
Saratoga – 7-31-2025
Race 1
9 – The Obliterator – His Dam has 7 winners from 9 starters and 2 Turf winners, and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in a horse’s 2nd career race.
4 – Twirling Lad – He is a first-time starter, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Force – He is a first-time starter, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3- Minorinconvenience – He has a high % winning and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
7- Verbinden
Race 2-Female
11 – Valala – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Dolce Vino – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her only start, can improve with Blinkers added today and she has a good 4F workout on Jul-25.
7 – Scorch – She is a first-time starter, she has a high % winning jockey and she has a good 4F workout on Jul-20.
Longshot:
10 – Gigi Cake’s – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
9- Just a Click
$.50 Pick 4: 2,7,10,11/1,2,3,4/3,4,7/1,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
3 – Beaches and Pearls – She won her last race by 11-lenghts, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when taking a horse from a route to a sprint and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
2 – Sassy Shenanigans – She ran 3rd vs similar in her last race, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – D’s a Rock – She has won the last three races in a row, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
1 – Maxaluna – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
7 – Lady Orient
6 – Cha Cha Wren
Race 4-Female
4 – Carolina Smokeshow – She finished 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint- sprint-route and she has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Spirit of Esther – She has won one race out of two starts at Saratoga, can improve while returning to dirt and she has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Sailaway – She drops in class today, can improve while returning to dirt and she has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Handle On You – Her early speed running style helps her chances, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Brooklyn Dantz
$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,7/1,2,6,8/5,7,9,10/6,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
1 – My Devine One – She is a first-time starter, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a good 4F workout on Jul-22.
8 – Sushi – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the races when shipping a horse in to run and she has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Cosmic Candy Girl – She is a first-time starter and, she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Roseberns Dream – She has a high % winning jockey.
Race 6-Female
7 – Big Heleonora – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Tuthilltown – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance, she has a high % winning jockey and a good 4F workout on Jul-26.
9 – Grazie– She is a first-time starter whose Sire wins 22% with 1st time starters, her Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and 1 stakes winner, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Encantar – She has a high % winning jockey and she has a good 4F workout on Jul-25.
Alternate:
2 – Ty Ty Rose
3 – Back to Khali
Race 7 – Female
11 – Geez Eloise – She won her last race at Saratoga drops in class today, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Beautiful Crazy – She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – City Blocks – She ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race, can improve at the shorter distance, she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1A – Elegant – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and she has a high % winning jockey.
$.50 Pick 4: 1A,6,10,11/1A,4/2,9/1A,2,4,10,12,13 – Cost $48.00
Race 8–
1A – Bold Endeavor – He has finished in the money in seven races out of the last eight starts, winning two races, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Khafre – He has finished in the money in two races out of the last three starts, winning two of the races, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Royal Tryst – He drops in class today, he has a trainer who wins 22% of the races when bringing a horse back after a being 46-90 days and blinkers are added today.
Longshot:
7 – Aula – He has finished in the money in 70% of races winning 20% of the starts in 2025 and he likes the distance.
Alternate:
8 – Strong Light
Bet: $20.00 Win: 1A – $10.00 Exacta Box: 1A/4
Race 9
9 – Whatchatalkinabout – He has finished in the money in seven races out of the seven career starts, winning four races, drops in class today, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Bank Frenzy – He has won seven races out of the last ten starts, he has a high % winning jockey and he has a good 4F workout on Jul-24.
7 – Shadow Dragon – He has finished in the money in eight races out of his last ten starts, winning two races, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
11 – Sheriff Bianco – He has finished in the money in three races out of five starts at Saratoga, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
12 – Doc Sullivan
13 – Light Man
Bet: $20.00 Win: 9 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 9/2 – $5.00 Exacta:9/2,7,11,12
Race 10 – Female
2 – Sweet Dutchess – She has won one race out of one start at Saratoga, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 50% of the races in the 2nd races after claiming a horse and she has a high % winning jockey.
13 – Always Practical – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
12 – She’s Cool – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race, and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
10 – Bread to Run – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Broadway Lights
1A – Soundbite
7 – Stamp of Approval
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing –9th Race – #9 – Whatchatalkinabout
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – OFF
4 – TWIRLING LAD – Top Rated 1ster vs noes
2 – FORCE – 2nd highest rated 1st timer again vs noes
3 – MINORINCONVENIENCE – 3/2 favorite in debut – two good works since
9 – THE OBLITERATOR – maybe pacesetter – 2nd race upside
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – OFF
7 – SCORCH – Top Rated 1ster with bullet work
2 – DOLCE VINO – some speed in debut in a wide race – 2nd race upside and 2nd race improvement
11 – VALALA -2nd rated fist timer with top Tr and Jy combo
5 – CHOPPIN BROCKLEY – next ranked 1ster
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,5,7,11/1,2,4/4,5,7,8/2,6
$12 Win: 7
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,5,7,11
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 8 Races, Stalkers, 0 w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Fair, 8+ None
4 – D’S A ROCK – TLRSP#+4 – possible pacesetter – Top TOTAL PACE of more than a length – by far top PAR+
2 – SASSY SHENANIGANS – better ATB in last – better Fractions despite going longer
1 – MAXALUNA – plenty of upside in only her 3rd career start
7 – LADY ORIENT – most consistent in the race – 3rd up
$14 Win: 4
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 2/10 w2w – PP: Inside 3 Tough, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
7 – SPIRIT OF ESTHER – some ES – lone win on an off track – strong C ZONE – Top TOTAL PACE
4 – CAROLINA SMOKESHOW – TLRSP#+3 – a little better MID and LS in last
5 – BROOKLYN DANTZ – 2nd up should be better – 1 of 2 YES horses – 7 wide in last
8 – ROCK HARBOR – Longshot -SIM FAV – the other YES horse – distance 2/0-1-1 and the 3rd start after a layoff – why not?
$0.50 Pick 4: 4,5,7,8/2,6/5,7,9,10/6,8,11
$2 Exacta Key Box: 7/4,5,8
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – OFF
6 – COSMIC CANDY GIRL – top rated 1ster with potential Early Race Pop
2 – ROSEBERNS DREAM -2nd rated 1ster – decent enough work on June 26 – fastest of 61
1 – MY DEVINE ONE – the other firster – I think the 1A was the horse getting the ML 7/5 odds
8 – SUSHI – only horse with experience – if she can get off to a fast start
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 27% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Bonus
First timers ranked in order
7 – BIG HELEONORA – 3/3
5 – ENCANTAR – 2.37/3
10 – TUTHILLTOWN – 2.33/3 with Irad
9 – GRAZIE – 2.33/3 with Pletcher
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 5,7,9,10
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – OFF
11 – GEEZ ELOISE – TLRSP#+ 7 – Strong SIM FAV – Top PAR+ – 3rd up and 2/2 on an off track
6 – BEAUTIFUL CRAZY – trying dirt for the first time – AW and turf suggest muddy could work – SCRATCHED
8 – MOON GATE – potential pacesetter – Top C ZONE – better ATB
10 – CITY BLOCKS – biggest class dropper – better EP
$0.50 Pick 4: 8,11/1,1A,3,4/2,6,9,12/1A,2,12,13
Race 8: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Best
4 – KHAFRE – Tr Linda Rice wins at 42% dropping off the claim – not sure if it’s a drop
1A – BOLD ENDEAVOR – either of the entry horses will do – this one has more upside
1 – WINTER’S GHOST
3 – ROYAL TRYST – winner 5/18 on an off track – just 2 in 28 on anything else
7 – AULA – is a YES horse that is and drops a little in class – could be forward
Race 9: 7 Furlongs – Bias: 11 Races, Early Speed, 3/11 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Bonus
9 – WHATCHATALKINABOUT – SIM FAV – Left Arrow – Top TOTAL PACE +10 and biggest dropper
2 – BANK FRENZY – Manny on a speed horse that fits today – Toga 3/2-1-0 and off track 6/5-0-0 – hard to overlook either of them
12 – DOC SULLIVAN – high PAR+ – better ATB in last – another that’s done well at Toga and on wet
6 – CICCIOBELLO – best numbers on wet – works prepping are by far the best published
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,9,6,12
$4 Exacta Key Box: 9/2,6,12
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – OFF – Bias: Early Speed, 2/10 w2w – PP: Inside 3 Tough, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
2 – SWEET DUTCHESS – strong at the distance and won lone TOGA go
1A – SOUNDBITE – TLRSP# +4 – SIM FAV – Top PAR+ and class dropper
13 – ALWAYS PRACTICAL – Top TOTAL PACE – Linda Rice owns and trains – not in for a price
12 – SHE’S COOL – Irad – 2nd up and ITM 2/2 on an off track
