Only eight races are on tap at Parx today, but don’t mistake a smaller card for an easier one. With four maiden races and several wide-open fields, today’s program is loaded with uncertainty from start to finish. These are often the types of cards where disciplined handicapping pays the biggest dividends.
Terry’s selections focus on proven class, trainer intent and improving runners, while Rick’s Smart Sheets identify pace advantages, Total Pace leaders, C-Zone standouts and horses that fit today’s projected race shape. On a card like this, the edge comes from staying selective, recognizing legitimate contenders and building tickets that capitalize on the chaos instead of chasing it.
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Terry’s Picks
Race 1
4 – Olympic Dreamer – Fourth as the favorite last out; trainer wins 25% with beaten favorites; class drop; high-percentage jockey; bullet 4F workout (Jul-14).
6 – Almas Gone Gamblin – First-time starter; sire wins 18% with debut runners; dam has 2 winners from 3 starters; strong trainer/jockey stats; bullet 4F workout (Jul-13).
3 – Skinny Captain – First-time starter; dam has 2 winners from 4 starters; trainer wins 24% with first-time starters; high-percentage jockey.
Longshot
1 – Six of Spades – First-time starter; dam has 6 winners from 7 starters, including 2 stakes winners; rail post wins 20%; strong trainer/jockey stats.
Alternates
- 5 – Sassy Miss
- 2 – Turning to Gold
Suggested Wager
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,5,6 / 1,3,4,5,7 / 2,3 / 2,6 — Cost: $50.00
Rick’s Picks
Race 1 – 4½ Furlongs – Early Speed – Inside Out
3 – SKINNY CAPTAIN – Top-rated first-time starter with a back bullet workout.
6 – ALMAS GONE GAMBLIN – Second-rated firster with a bullet work and ready to fire.
4 – OLYMPIC DREAMER – Second-start upside; track and class drop after being even money at Gulfstream.
5 – SASSY MISS – Not the highest rated, but the back bullet hints at plenty of potential.
Suggested Wager
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5,6 / 3,5,7 / 2,3 / 1,2,7,9
Terry’s Picks
Race 2
4 – Maddie’s Garden – Second as the favorite last out; trainer wins 40% with beaten favorites; class drop; top last-race speed figure.
3 – Lady Sriracha – Third against similar company last out; top distance figure; fastest Dirt Speed; strong trainer/jockey combination.
1 – Sherunsthistown – Switches to a high-percentage trainer who wins 33% first off the claim.
Longshot
5 – Neighbelline – Third against similar company last out; strong trainer/jockey combination; proven at the distance.
Alternates
- 7 – Cara Blanca
- 2 – Inamorata
Suggested Wager
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,5 / 2,3 / 2,6 / 1,2,3,5,6,7 — Cost: $48.00
Rick’s Picks
Race 2 – 6 Furlongs – Early Speed – Inside Out
5 – NEIGHBELLINE – Projected pacesetter with Sanchez aboard and a solid C-ZONE.
7 – CARA BLANCA – Long layoff but has encouraging workouts, standout C-ZONE and the biggest class drop.
3 – LADY SRIRACHA – Smart Sheets favorite with the top TOTAL PACE rating and plenty of upside.
1 – SHERUNSTHISTOWN – Trainer Irving Rodriguez has won 11 of 33 first off the claim.
Suggested Wager
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,5,7 / 2,3 / 1,2,7,9 / 1,3,5,7
Terry’s Picks
Race 3
3 – Celestial Moon – Fastest Dirt Speed in the field; strong trainer and jockey combination.
2 – Nixon Joy – Top last-race speed figure; class drop; strong trainer; proven at the distance.
4 – Best Bet – Class dropper with early speed and proven ability at today’s distance.
Longshot
6 – Union Express – Trainer wins 23% first start after the claim; proven at the distance.
Suggested Wager
No suggested wager from Terry.
Rick’s Picks
Race 3 – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed – All Good Except 2/3
2 – NIXON JOY – TLRSP# +6 with more back class and a huge late pace advantage of more than three lengths.
3 – CELESTIAL MOON – Sanchez and Ness runner returns from a lengthy layoff with a steady series of workouts.
4 – BEST BET – Strong Smart Sheets favorite and one of the primary early pace horses.
6 – UNION EXPRESS – Projects to control the pace with the top C-ZONE and benefits from a 10-pound weight break.
Terry’s Picks
Race 4 – Female
6 – Tiza Smokeshow – Second last out; trainer wins 25% second start with trainer.
2 – Warrior Bunny Zee – Second as the favorite last out; trainer wins 30% with beaten favorites; top last-race speed.
5 – Anita Glassofwine – Cuts back to a sprint; high-percentage trainer and jockey.
Longshot
9 – Donna Light – High-percentage jockey; trainer wins 28% in the second career start.
Alternate
3 – Cocoa Nimbus
Suggested Wager
No suggested wager from Terry.
Rick’s Picks
Race 4 – 6½ Furlongs – Early Speed – 40% Wire-to-Wire – Inside 3 Edge
2 – WARRIOR BUNNY ZEE – Pacesetter with standout C-ZONE.
1 – SMOKIN HOT WIFE – Only YES horse; must be included in your picks.
7 – OUR MARNI – First-time starter against one YES and one Maybe; all others are No.
9 – DONNA LIGHT – Second-race upside; must be considered against this field.
Suggested Wager
$5 Exacta Key Box: 2 / 1,6,7,9
Terry’s Picks
Race 5
2 – Sir Patrick – First-time starter; sire wins 31% with debut runners; dam is 1-for-1 with starters; high-percentage trainer and jockey.
5 – Infused – First-time starter; dam has 2 winners from 3 starters; sprint-bred; high-percentage trainer and jockey.
1 – Kentucky Freedom – First-time starter; dam is 2-for-2 with starters; rail post wins 20%; strong trainer and jockey statistics.
Longshot
6 – Third Bite – First-time starter; sprint-bred; high-percentage trainer and jockey.
Alternates
7 – Schubert Sonata
3 – King Amore
Suggested Wager
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5,6,7 / 2,5,6,7 / 3,4 / 8,9
Cost: $48.00
Rick’s Picks
Race 5 – 5 Furlongs – Early Speed – 40% Wire-to-Wire – Inside Out
First-Time Starters Ranked in Order
1 – KENTUCKY FREEDOM
5 – INFUSED
7 – SCHUBERT SONATA
3 – KING AMORE
Suggested Wager
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,5,7 / 3,6,7 / 4,7 / 3,6,8,9
Terry’s Picks
Race 6 – Female
5 – Slash Alley – Second against similar company last out; top last-race speed; strong trainer and jockey statistics.
6 – Punch and Judy – Second last out; fastest Dirt Speed; strong trainer and jockey statistics.
2 – Majestic Rain – Second against similar company last out; may improve at the shorter distance.
Longshot
7 – Bree Ritt – First-time starter; trainer wins 24% with debut runners; high-percentage jockey.
Alternates
3 – Amor Ala Mexicana
1 – City Broad
Suggested Wager
No suggested wager from Terry.
Rick’s Picks
Race 6 – 6½ Furlongs – Early Speed – 40% Wire-to-Wire – Inside 3 Edge
7 – BREE RITT – 3.0-rated first-time starter with a back bullet against a field of No horses and a pair of Maybes.
3 – AMOR ALA MEXICANA – First-time starter with a bullet-and-go workout pattern.
6 – PUNCH AND JUDY – Closest to PAR and top TOTAL PACE with a strong C-ZONE.
5 – SLASH ALLEY – Projects to be on the lead with Paco Lopez aboard.
Suggested Wager
$3 Exacta Key Box: 7 / 3,5,6
Terry’s Picks
Race 7
3 – Possum – Second against similar company last out; strong trainer/jockey combination; bullet 4F workout (Jul-14).
4 – Stinger Bee – Second against similar company last out; fastest Dirt Speed; strong jockey statistics.
7 – Play the Gray – Second against similar company last out; top last-race speed figure.
Longshot
5 – Chubasco Sauce – Third against similar company last out; high-percentage jockey; early speed; proven at the distance.
Alternates
1 – Docsgotallthecandy
6 – Accelerated Dating
Suggested Wager
$20 Win: #3 Possum
$10 Exacta Box: 3 / 4
$10 Exacta: 3 / 4,5,7
$5 Exacta Box: 3,4,7
Rick’s Picks
Race 7 – 6½ Furlongs – Early Speed – 40% Wire-to-Wire – Inside 3 Edge
4 – STINGER BEE – Strong Smart Sheets favorite. Projects to control the pace with a +6 Total Pace advantage and owns the best PAR+ rating in the field.
7 – PLAY THE GRAY – Just missed last time, rates better in five key categories and gets class relief.
3 – POSSUM – Last of the “YES” horses. Bullet-and-go workout, steady preparation and Paco Lopez aboard make this one dangerous.
5 – CHUBASCO SAUCE – Better early pace and fraction profile with the top C-ZONE rating.
Suggested Wager
$5 Exacta Key Box: 4 / 3,5,7
Terry’s Picks
Race 8 – Female
9 – Ximena – Won last out; strong trainer/jockey combination.
8 – Crimson Red – Third against similar company last out; switches to a high-percentage jockey.
7 – Instant Vision – Third against tougher company last out; class drop; top distance figure; fastest Dirt Speed.
Longshot
5 – Breezefromtheeast – Class dropper; trainer wins 25% with sprinters; switches to a high-percentage rider.
Alternates
6 – Saint Grace
3 – Astrid
Suggested Wager
No suggested wager from Terry.
Rick’s Picks
Race 8 – 6 Furlongs – Early Speed – Inside Out
9 – XIMENA – TLRSP# +14, but the big speed spike creates some regression risk.
6 – SAINT GRACE – “YES” horse whose return to dirt should help. Offers the most upside among the main challengers.
8 – CRIMSON RED – Top Total Pace horse with Paco Lopez aboard.
3 – ASTRID – Standout C-ZONE runner in a chaotic finale.
Suggested Wager
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,6,8,9
Terry’s Best Bet of the Day
PARX Racing – Race 7
#3 – Possum
Possum has been knocking on the door against similar company and enters today’s race with one of the strongest combinations of current form and trainer intent on the card. A sharp bullet workout on July 14 signals continued improvement, and the proven trainer/jockey combination adds confidence. In a competitive field, Possum stands out as Terry’s top play of the day.
Good luck, and enjoy today’s card at PARX Racing!
