Saratoga Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Saratoga on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Delta Downs
Saratoga Horse Racing Picks and Comments
Charming Charles’ Choices
1. 7,5,3,4
2. 3,1,4,5
3. 6,7,1,4
4. 2,4,6,3
5. 5,4,3,9
6. 8,7,6,12
7. 1,7,5,8
8. 7,5,1,2
9. 1,2,6,5
10. 10,12,8,3
PLAYS
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 13% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 Bonus, No Wins 8+
7 – RIDE UP – MSW Dropper for the first time – 34% angle for tr Linda Rice
3 – ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE – decently bet in Nov debut, showed speed, works improving heading into today
4 – I LOVE CARA – 1st time starter without a lot to beat here, July 9th work of 4f in 47.2 offers hope
5 – BARGAINING POWER – flashed speed on second start, flips to Irad today – recent works some of his best
SUGGESTED WAGERS: $1 Double: 3,4,7/1,5
Race 2: 1 Mile Inner Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 40% w2w – PP: 1-3 and 8+ a little Above Par, 4-7 a Little Under Par
5 – PLEASANT PASSAGE – 3rd up – speed number jumped considerably in only other – two swift works between starts
1 – CHILI FLAG – crushed the field last out and ran about 2 seconds faster – better ATB
3 – SAFFRON MOON – unbeaten since moving to grass from dirt – both at a mile
2 – SISTER LOU ANN – been facing tougher company, two bullet works between elections
SUGGESTED WAGERS: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,5/4,6/4,6/4,5,6
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 8 Races, 50/50 – 2 w2w – PP: 3 from 2/3 and the rest from 8+
4 – ROUGH DRAFT – might benefit from going long for the first time in 3rd up – +7 TP Edge
6 – AGENT CREED – showed improved late pace in his last, getting a little extra distance could help
2 – BARRAGE – tends to run well fresh like today, a trio of maintenance works between starts
1 – CITIZEN K – has the most upside in the field and likely move forward in 2nd off the sidelines
SUGGESTED WAGERS: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4,6/4,6/1,2,4,6,7
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 13% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 Bonus, No Wins 8+
6 – V MART – only win came in only race at Saratoga, won debut by 8 ¾ lengths
4 – WATASHA – claim and drop for Linda Rice – 37% winner with a bullet work on August 1
2 – DR. PERRY – third start after a layoff – switching to Irad
5 – WESTERN GHENT – better late in last and has two very good works since including a bullet on Aug 7
SUGGESTED WAGERS: $1 Trifecta: 6/2,4/ALL
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Small Rail Bias, 2-7 A Little Under Par, 8+ Best Bonus
5 – LESLIE’S LOOT – like when owner and tr are the same, tend to run them at the right level
6 – ACCOMMODATE EVA – first time starter with some good works getting ready
4 – GINUCCHA – BTN FAV – trainer Robert Reid rebounds at 35% – decent maintenance work
3 – MIZ MASTERY – works are consistent and getting faster as she readies for debut
SUGGESTED WAGERS: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,6/5,6/3,4,5,6,8
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 20% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Three, 4-7 A Little Under Par, Big Penalty 8+ – OFF
8 – SUGAR GRAY LEONARD – very consistent performer making the 3rd start after a layoff – bullet work on Aug 11
10 – KING JAMES – Lone P – should be right off the pace and has some of the most LP
12 – LET FREEDOM SPRING – upped SP# in last two, including TLRSP# – always like when a trainer tries to scratch in – lone EP
6 – IGNITED – TOP Total Pace horse, own top EP and LP – hard to pass what you cannot catch
SUGGESTED WAGERS: $0.50 Trifecta: 8,10,12/8,10/4,6,8,10,12
Race 7: 1 Mile Inner Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 40% w2w – PP: 1-3 and 8+ a little Above Par, 4-7 a Little Under Par
1 – TANGENTIAL – 2nd by a neck last out in November – good works, 1st Lasix with early speed
3 – NOTINAMILLIONYEARS – tied with the 2 for top pedigree – 1s timer with decent works
2 – KICK A RHYME – the other to tie for the best pedigree – maybe even better works than the 3
11 – FANCY STAX – bobbled at the start of his debut or she may have graduated already, closed aggressively and extra distance today should help
SUGGESTED WAGERS: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,7,11/1,4,5,7/6/2,3,8,12
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Small Rail Bias, 2-7 A Little Under Par, 8+ Best Bonus
5- WIN FOR GOLD – Lone E with strong chance to be on lead and by far best C-Zone
4 – CLUBHOUSE – last race was first at Toga, won easily better ATB w/ TLRSP# – 3rd up today
7 – GIROOVIN – giant improvement ATB in last, resume says likely more to come in round 2 off the bench
1 – KUNSHAN BRIDGE – hasn’t run at Toga yet, but hard to ignore that last work, 2/56 for 4f in 48B
SUGGESTED WAGERS: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,7/4,5/1,2,4,5,7
Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: Stalkers – 13% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Bonus
6 – LET’S GO BIG BLUE – big spike in EP last out, curriculum vitae 2nd off the break could be even better
1 – RAMBLIN’ WRECK – is a neck away from winning last two at this level – big fans of Reeves racing who won yesterday’s stakes
5 – ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA – beat some of these last out with in hand comment, but gave up a big lead late, going extra 1/16th today hurts cause
3 – VACATION DANCE – regressed in his last two but showed some signs of a potential return to form in his last.
SUGGESTED WAGERS: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5,6/1,6/1,3,4,5,6
Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: 50/50 – 20% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Three, 4-7 A Little Under Par, Big Penalty 8+ – OFF
8 – PASCHAL MOON – bullet and go, won too many with this angle to ever skip
12 – PRINCE OF TRUTH – 1st time starter with decent works and good breeding
2 – TWIRLING VINE – last race was better than in looks with faster fractions at 6 1/2f v 6, cut back to 5 ½ could really help
3 – LOCKE AND KEY – vanned off in last, but has been working out like a fiend since including two bullets at Toga in his last pair – last was 3f in 35.2 – that’s fast
SUGGESTED WAGERS: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,8,12/8,12/1,2,3,8,12
