Free Saratoga Racecourse Horse Racing Tips, Analysis, Commentary and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Charles Town
Saratoga Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks
Race 1
6 – Bookworm – He is a first-time starter; breeding suggests he will like the grass, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and good workouts.
10 – Dangerous Driver – He has finished in the money in three out of his last four starts, finishing 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Hours in a Day – He finished 2nd in his last race, his Dam has 4 winners from 6 starters and 2 Turf winners and the longer distance should help.
Longshot:
5 – Drunk On Sake – He drops in class today; he may improve while trying grass and the longer distance may help and Lasix & blinkers added and he has a high % winning jockey.
Race 2
5 – Three Echoes – He won his debut race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Touchy – He is a first-time starter, Dam has 4 winners from 4 starters and 1 stakes winner, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the dirt starts he has a horse running in and he has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Classic of Course – He won his debut race and he has high % winning jockey Irad Ortiz and good workouts.
Longshot:
1 – Studlydoright – He won his debut race and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the races when shipping a horse in and has good workouts.
Alternate:
4 – Brereton’s Baytown
6 – Shoot the Nickel
$.50 Pick 4: #1,4,5,6,7,8 /2,4,5,7/5/1,6,9,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
2 – Caldo Candy – He has finished in the money in four out of his career five starts at Aqueduct, finishing 2nd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Silver Satin – He has never finished out of the money in his three career races, winning the last race at Aqueduct and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Land d’Oro – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at Aqueduct and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Toscano – He won his debut race at Hawthorne; he has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the allowance races he has a horse running in and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Brick Ambush
8- B D Saints
Race 4-Female
5 – Almostgone Rocket – She won both career races easily and she and has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has a good 5F workout on Jun-01.
8 – Gray Lightning – She has won three races out of four career races, all the wins by several lengths, she has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters
and a good 4F workout on May-31.
4 – Manama Gold – She comes in from Dubai after winning three career races in a row to try Saratoga, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Moonlit Lady – She finished in the money in three career races, winning two of the starts, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Dorothy’s Dreams
$.50 Pick 4: #4,5,7,8 /1,6,9,11/1/3,4,6,7 – Cost $32.00
Race 5-Female
11 – Cerretta – She took a break of six months and then came back and finished 3rd, switches to high % winning jockey Frankie Dettori and has a bullet workout on May 29th.
6 – In the End – She finished 3rd in her last race and has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Strictly Taboo – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Heart of the Night – She comes in from Santa Anita to try Saratoga and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
10 – Ariana Rye
2 – Magnolia Wind
Race 6-Female
1 – Chanteuse – She is a first-time starter, Dam has 5 winners from 6 starters and 1 stakes winner, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a bullet workout on May 30th.
5 – She’s Wicked Smart – She finished 3rd vs similar in her only start, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a bullet workout on May 30th.
4 – Refuse to Lose – She finished 3rd in her only start and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Park Avenue Betty – She is a first-time starter; her Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey
Alternate:
1A – Audacious
Race 7-Female
6 – Broderie – She has finished in the money in all five career races, winning two races and she has a high % winning jockey and she has the highest last race speed rating.
7 – Ways and Means – She drops in class today; her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and Lasix is added.
4 – Miz Sense – She won her debut race and in the second start she lost the jockey, she has high % winning trainer Todd Pletcher and jockey Irad Ortiz and a good 4F workout on May-31.
Longshot:
3 – Striker Has Dial – She won her debut race at Laurel and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
$.50 Pick 4: #3,4,6,7/6,7,8,9,16 /2,3,4,5,8/12– Cost $48.00
Race 8
16 – Iron Man Ira – He has finished 2nd two races in a row and high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Film Academy – He was bumped and finished 8th only losing by 2-lenghts, he now returns to high % winning jockey Irad Ortiz and is trained by high % winning trainer Mark Casse and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – All Good Here – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a bullet workout on May 31st.
Longshot:
9 – Mission Hill – He has a high % winning trainer and a good workout on May 30th.
Alternate:
8 – Allofasuddenlee – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a bullet workout on May 31st.
13 – Charles
14 – Hagrid’s Flame
Race 9-Female
2 – Aoraki – She won her debut race at Churchill Downs and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – French Horn – She comes in from Woodbine after winning her debut race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – West Memorial – She won her last race at Churchill Downs and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
8 – The Queens M G – She won her debut race at Keenland, has the highest last race speed rating, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Biscuitwiththeboss
Race 10
12 – Siskany – He arrives from Dubai after winning two out of the last three races, he has high % winning trainer Charles Appleby who wins 48% of the races when shipping to the U.S. and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Champagne Juan – He has finished in the money in five out of six career starts, winning two of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
14 – Dai Vernon – He finished 2nd in his last race at Churchill Downs and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Really Good – He has one win out of one start at Saratoga and he has high % winning trainer Michael Maker and jockey Dylan Davis.
Bet: $16.00 Win: # 12
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 10th Race
12 – Siskany
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 15% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Bonus
5 – DRUNK ON SAKE – pure MSW dropper and look at that last work 4f in 46.4
6 – BOOKWORM – first timer for Clement – 17% winner, breeding OK, works OK – not worth 7/5
10 – DANGEROUS DRIVER – plenty of early improvement in his last – but 12 chances
2 – MIGHTY GLORY – 1st Geld and Lasix – maybe one or both helps, better 2/4 pace in last
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Rail Small Penalty, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Small Penalty
8 – CLASSIC OF COURSE – won debut with ease at GP – more distance and switch to Irad helps
5 – THREE ECHOES – a somewhat troubled trip in debut and still managed to win – bullet work since
7 – TOUCHY – Wesley Ward first timer with strong breeding, works and debut win rate
4 – BRERETON’S BAYTOWN – that May 24 work of 4f in 46 – breezing from the gate -that’s fast as fast
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 A Little Under Par, 8+ Fair
2 – CALDO CANDY – not so sure that the AQ speed numbers aren’t inflated a little, but May 17 Spa work is encouraging
7 – LAND D’ORO – first up after a break and a trio of decent works since
5 – SILVER SATIN – another coming off the sidelines and has a fast work on May 27
8 – B D SAINTS – drops from a trio of stakes races – first Lasix and strong works
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 A Little Under Par, 8+ Best
5 – ALMOSTGONE ROCKET – two races, two easy wins – should be close with the most LP+13
4 – MANAMA GOLD – tough call over the 8, but I’ll go with Group 3 – UAE winner vs PARX
8 – GRAY LIGHTNING – has plenty of ES – 3 fast works since her last win – by 12 lengths
3 – BECKY’S JOKER – must think they have something here, won debut in a G3 at Toga
Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 19% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus. 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Tough
1 – STRICTLY TABOO – runs her best off the break like today
8 – BEAUTIFUL THIEF – tough post, but my eyes see the May 25 work 4f in 47 – fastest of 115 at Belmont
4 – SUMMER WHIRL -another that is working well – bullet and go
9 – HEART OF THE NIGHT – put up the numbers at SA – I just wonder how much the com has disintegrated with the short field?
Race 6: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 A Little Under Par, 8+ Fair
2 – SILVOLOGY – if we are going with a 1st timer, bullet and go, better odds than the entry
1 – CHANTEUSE – either of the 1 or 1a can win – both 3/3
1A – AUDACIOUS
5 – SHE’S WICKED SMART – typical 2nd race improvement would be enough – bullet work since
4 – REFUSE TO LOSE – same story here
Race 7: 1 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 26% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Terrible
4 – MIZ SENSE – let’s try to beat the 2/5 Favorite – 2nd any improvement off the debut win at Toga – 1st Lasix for 3yo
7 – WAYS AND MEANS – 1 to 10 favorite? 1st Lasix for Kentucky Oaks 4th place finisher
3 – STRIKER HAS DIAL – another with 2nd race improvement chance – Kendrick on ES following EZ debut win
10 – OBRIGADA – I’ll take the longshot that will be closing and has a win at Toga
Race 8: 1 1/16 Miles Turf: Closers, 14% w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Damaged, 8+ Bonus
9 – MISSION HILL – a lot of good works since last August – including May 16 work 4f in 47.2
6 – FILM ACADEMY – all three races are at PAR or above – any of them will do
8 – ALLOFASUDDENLEE – 2nd race improvement puts him in the arena – nice Toga bullet work since
1 – ROMANTIC CHARMER – the horse is good, but the rail stinks – ITM yes – win could be tough
Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Rail Small Penalty, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Small Penalty
2 – AORAKI – improvement from debut can get it done
3 – FRENCH HORN – heavy favorite in debut – won with ease – question is she AW to new surface?
8 – THE QUEENS M G – TLRSP# +4 in debut – really fast work since
5 – BISCUITWITHTHEBOSS – going to take a flyer – maybe too much ES for these where 42% go w2w
Race 10: 2 Miles – who knows
12 – SISKANY – just don’t see TOTAL PACE#s in the 200s and 30 points better than the next
6 – CHAMPAGNE JUAN – looks like the longer the race the better and this will be his longest
10 – PIONEERING SPIRIT – done well on TOGA turf 3/2-0-1
2 – SO HIGH – could be lone E – get out to sizable lead on comfortable fractions and you never know what could happen
