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Saratoga Racing Picks Live Stream – Aug 22, 2024 – Horse Racing Today

Saratoga Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

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Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:

Saratoga – 8-22-2024

Race 1-Female

10 – Vehemente – She ran 2nd vs similar in her only start and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Stone Smuggler – She is a first-time starter whose Sire wins 17% of the races with 1st time Starters, her Dam has 1 winner from 3 starters, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout on Aug-16.

8 – With the Angels – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a good 4F workout on Aug-11.

Longshot:

3 – Willful Mama – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 4 starters and 2 stakes winners, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 5F workout on Aug-13.

Alternate:

4 – Princess Mischief

Race 2-Female

3 – Delahaye – She finished 3rd in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning jockey.

5 – Gina Romantica – She finished 3rd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Beaute Cachee – She won her last race at Monmouth and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

1 – Surprisingly – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

The 1234 Pick 4

$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5/1,3,4,7/6/6,9 – Cost $12.00

Race 3 -Female

1 – In Time – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, can handle the distance and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

3 – Sy B – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Glittering Lights – She was beaten only 1-1/2 lengths vs similar in her last start, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

7 – Justdeny – She has a win at today’s distance, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 5F workout on Aug-13.

Contest Pick: #1 – 3

Race 4

6 – Master of Arms – He drops in class today has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the sprints he has a horse running in.

9 – Briterdayzahead – He won his last race at Saratoga; he has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races in the 1st after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.

2 – Scaramanga – He won his last race at Saratoga and the rail post is winning at a 21% clip.

Longshot:

1A – Mister J T – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race at Saratoga and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

5 – Saffa’s Day

Contest Pick: #9 – 6

The No Favorite Pick 4

$.50 Pick 4: #1A,2,9/8,9/6,9,10/1,2,5,6 – Cost $36.00

Race 5

6 – Magnificent Mile – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

9 – Three Zero – He drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

8 – For Some Reason – He finished 2nd in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.

Contest Pick: #6 –9

Race 6-Female

6 – Teca – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race, her breeding suggests she will like the grass and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

10 – Someone – She lunged and hit the gate at the start in her only start losing all chance, she switches to a high % winning jockey, can improve while trying grass as her Dam has 2 winners from 4 starters and 1 Turf winner.

9 – Authenticate Now – She has a high % winning jockey and a good 4F workout on Aug-13

Longshot:

2- Annie Goodbody – She has a trainer who wins 20% of the races in the 1st race at a route a horse he trains runs in, she can improve at the longer distance and a bullet 4F workout on Aug-13.

Alternate:

1 – Lotus Petal

Contest Pick: #6 – 10

Race 7-Female

7 – Headline Numbers – She won her debut race at Aqueduct by 11-lenghts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Central Avenue – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Standoutsensation – She was a non-starter in her last race but ran 2nd vs similar in her previous race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

1 – Camera – She has finished in the money in four races out of six career starts, the distance will not be a problem and she is trained by Todd Pletcher.

Alternate:

6 – Sweet Mystery

Contest Pick: #1: #7-2

The Normal Pick 4

$.50 Pick 4: 2,7/1,3,5,6/3,5,9,10/3,6,7 – Cost $48.00

Bet: $10.00 Win & $20.00 Place: #7

Race 8

3 – Gulfport – He won his last race at Churchill Downs, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

1 – Disco Ball – He has won three races in a row; the rail post is winning at a 21% clip he has a high % winning trainer.

6 – Gun It – He has finished in the money in three out of six starts at Saratoga, winning one of the races and he has high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

5 – Kavod – He won his last race at Churchill Downs and he switches to a high % jockey.

Alternate:

4 – Little Vic

7 – Runninsonofagun

Contest Pick: #3 -1

Race 9-Female

3 – Can’t Fool Me – She ran 2nd in her last race, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has high % winning trainer.

10 – Im Just Kiddin – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a good 4F workout (Aug-15)

5 – Spooky Lady – She likes the turf finishing in the money in 60% pf the starts, winning 20% of the races, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).

Longshot:

9 – Solib – She has won two out of the last four races and the additional distance will help.

Contest Pick: #3 – 10

Race 10-Female

3 – Arrasou –She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – La Salvadorena – She has a high % trainer who wins 21% of the races when taking a horse from a route to sprint, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters, she has high % winning jockey and blinkers added today.

7 – Shop Lifting – She finished 5th in her last race after being bumped at the start, she has high % winning trainer and jockey and blinkers added today.

Longshot:

2 – Precisely – She finished 3rd vs similar in her only start, she has high % winning trainer and jockey and Lasix is added.

Alternate:

5 – Blackfoot Daisy

1 – Unhidden Gem

Contest Pick: #3 -5

Best Bet of the Day at Saratoga  – 7th Race– #7 Headline Numbers

Rich’s Picks:

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Penalty, 8+ Best

7 – FIVE G – back bullet work on Aug 11 – 4f in 47.2 -fastest of 182 at Toga

8 – WITH THE ANGELS – some excellent works prepping for debut

10 – VEHEMENTE – was 1 to 2 fav in debut – finished a distant 2nd after some excuses

3 – WILLFUL MAMA – excellent breeding, solid works

Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 12% w2w – PP: Outside Bias

3 – DELAHAYE – probably run the best on an anything than firm footing

5 – GINA ROMANTICA – ML – makes the third start after a layoff

4 – BEAUTE CACHEE – went w2w in the only time she caught a good surface – could be pacesetter

1 – SURPRISINGLY – right distance 6/2-2-1

Race 3: 1 3/8 Inner Turf – Bias: 5 Races, Stalkers, 1 w2w – PP: Inside 3 won all but 1 – other 4-7

4 – GLITTERING LIGHTS – ML – any of her 4 races since coming from France would win here

5 – PRETTY PROVOCATIVE – the only other horse in the field to run a recent par race

1 – IN TIME – could at her best in the third race after a layoff and just missed at this level last out

3 – SY B – has faced the stiffest company – probably needs a better start

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Penalty, 8+ Best

5 – SAFFA’S DAY – drops in class and has the most back class

6 – MASTER OF ARMS – ML – bigger class dropper – speed and fade at 7f in last – cut back to 6f helps

9 – BRITERDAYZAHEAD – should be as good, maybe a little better in 2nd up for likely pacesetter

8 – COMMERCE COMET – has fired or failed off the bench – decent series of works for 1st since Feb

Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Penalty, 8+ Best

9 – THREE ZERO – could jump out to an EZ lead and not give it up

6 – MAGNIFICENT MILE – ML – down in class and best dirt record of the trio

8 – FOR SOME REASON – somebody has to be three of three

Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: Closers, 15% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2+ Fairish with little extra for 4-7

2 – ANNIE GOODBODY – just needs to improve a small amount off of debut effort

6 – TECA – lone E that could get an easy lead – 6 wide in last – no such problem here

5 – MEZCALIFORNIA – major step forward in the 2nd start – bullet work since – might be even better today

9 – AUTHENTICATE NOW – troubled trip in debut – stumbled badly at the start – decently bet, horse that finished 2nd came back to win her MDN race at Toga –

1 – LOTUS PETAL – first timer that doesn’t have a lot to beat

Race 7: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Outside In

7 – HEADLINE NUMBERS – ML – build off the debut and this could be a laugher

2 – CENTRAL AVENUE – ginormous step up in only other 2nd start off the bench – same thing here and she makes things interesting

4 – WHOCOULDASKFORMO – been facing by the top comp by far – 1st Lasix helps

5 – STANDOUTSENSATION – who knows what’s to come with this horse – has shown enough talent to run lights out or it could be the lights just might be out

Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Penalty, 8+ Best

1 – DISCO BALL – any horse can win – let’s take a crack with +8 Total Pace, speed on rail

3 – GULFPORT – ML – is the class of the field

5 – KAVOD – as much upside as any in the race – some of his best works prepping

4 – LITTLE VIC – has a Grade III win – switch to Irad in 2nd up

Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: Closers, 15% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2+ Fairish with little extra for 4-7

9 – SOLIB – +10 Total Pace Advantage – yet to fire in 4 at Toga though – better in 2nd up?

3 – CAN’T FOOL ME – ML – really consistent performer – going to be closing at the end

10 – IM JUST KIDDIN – took a step forward of at least 5 SP points in a pair of 2nd starts – that would ne more than enough to win

5 – SPOOKY LADY – lone E type that could get the lead at all the other speed is to the outside

Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs

2 – PRECISELY – going to take a shot here, was the betting FAV in debut in June 2023 – off since – first Lasix as a 3 yo – probably bled – horse that won that race went on to run in Breeders Cup

3 – ARRASOU – probably improves in 2nd up

9 – SEINE – best of the 1sters in my view with back bullet work

7 – SHOP LIFTING – best races off the bench, like today – best published works getting ready

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