Aqueduct hosts the only $100,000 stakes race today. The BAY RIDGE STAKES. Nine fillies and mares, three-years-old and up and foiled in New York State, will run 1 1/8-miles on Aqueduct’s main track. Saturday’s Aqueduct picks paid out $2,383.08, so let’s try and continue that trend today.
Let’s break the race down horse by horse to identify the contenders and the pretenders.
#1 – UNBRIDLED ADVENTURE (ML 8-1)
Her biggest advantage is drawing the one-spot as the rail is winning at 23%. This consideration alone is enough to put her in the contenders’ bucket. Additionally, she’s riding a streak of good form with four wins in her last six race and a second. She has a good track record at Aqueduct with six in-the-money finishes in eight races; however, she has only one win, a second and four place finishes.
OUTLOOK: While UNBRIDLED ADVENTURE is a potential threat to win, it’s more likely she fills out the backside of an exacta or trifecta.
#2 – FROSTIE ANNE (ML 4-1)
She’s been heavily bet in most of her last 10 races, going off as the public’s choice to win in seven. She finished second as the favorite in her last, flattening out in the stretch. However, she had an excuse as she stumbled at the start. Trainer Rudy Rodriguez wins the next race a 24% with beaten favorites.
Aqueduct has been a good track for her with four wins, three seconds and two thirds in 10 races.
OUTLOOK: With a better start, FROSTIE ANNE is a top contender to hit the tape first. She might prove to be a good value on top of the ticket if players hold her recent form against her.
#3 – PINK TWIST (ML 8-1)
The four-year-old is making her second start after a short rest. She’s a neck away from winning both of her previous two second starts. From a cycle perspective, that’s worth noting. She won her first start, but trainer John Terranova II only follows a W with another W at 12%. It’s also interesting to not that he final time in her last race was slower than her previous one-mile Aqueduct journey.
PINK also seems to feel comfortable at Aqueduct with two wins and two seconds in four races.
OUTLOOK: Her recent second-race history and track record says PINK TWIST is a candidate who can pull off the upset at nice odds.