We’ve got 9 races today on fast dirt and firm turf, and this is the kind of card bettors wait for — deep fields, competitive matchups, and plenty of long odds with real chances. When fields are full and surfaces are fair, value shows up. Fast dirt should give us honest pace scenarios, while firm turf rewards trip, timing, and tactical positioning. With deeper fields, favorites become more vulnerable — and that’s where disciplined handicapping separates from guessing. On today’s show: 🎯 Terry’s Best Bet 💵 Bennie and the Bets ($100 strategy) 🔁 Pick 4 sequences 📊 Smart Sheets edge featuring TOTAL PACE, PAR+, C ZONE, TLRSP#, and improvement angles We’re focused on: Longshots with legitimate pace setups Logical favorites worth pressing Chaos races where spreading makes sense Spots where one horse can separate Deep fields. Fair surfaces. Real opportunity. Drop your Best Bet below before first post — let’s cash something meaningful today. 🏇💰
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Smart Sheets Explanations
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Terry’s Picks
Tampa Bay Downs – 3-25-26
Race 1-Female
8 – Lookin Lovely – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; trainer and jockey have high win rates; Blinkers added today.
1 – Knowledge Is Good – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Lilas Oak Tree: Can improve while returning to a route; can go the distance.
Longshot:
2 – R Skyline: High %winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Ivey My Love
4 – My Gemstone
Race 2-Female
3 – Sister Supream – Drops in class today; Can improve while returning to Dirt; Trainer and jockey have high win rates.
8 – Classic Ballad – Won last race at Tampa Bay Downs; Switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Stormy Mitole: Ran 2nd in last race as the favorite but has high % winning trainer wins 32% of the races when bringing beaten favorite back; Likes the distance.
Longshot:
4 – Bramble Bush: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Trainer wins 19% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route.
Alternate:
6 – That’s My Cat
2 Calisue
$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,6,7,8/6,7/1,2,7,8,9/2,8 – Cost $50.00
Race 3
7 – Moralito – Finished in the money in the 3 races out of 4 starts at Tampa Bay Downs, winning 1 race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Paved in Gold finished third as the favorite. The trainer wins 25% with beaten favorites and maintains a strong overall win rate. This horse leads in last-race speed and has the best dirt speed among today’s runners.
5 – My Lucky Angel – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Tiztimonial – Likes Tampa Bay Downs, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 17% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 50% of the starts.
Alternate:
1 – Profitability
8 – So So
$.50 Pick 4: 3,5,6,7/1,2,7,9/2,8/5,6,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 4
1 – Copazo – Finished in the money in the last 7 starts, winning 1 race; likes the distance.
2 – Mission Mike – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race at Tampa Bay Downs; Drops in class today; features a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Artwell – Won last race at Tampa Bay Downs, Highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
9 – Jades Jay – Finished 2nd in last race; Switches to a high % jockey; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
8 – Speedy Hans
3 – Pando
Race 5-Female
2 – Pop Art – Finished in the money in 3 career starts, finishing 3rd vs similar in last race; Best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters; Trainer and jockey have high win rates.
8 – Por Voce – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Loveontheleftbank: Beaten only ½ lengths vs similar in last start; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Dr Glick: Drops in class today; High %winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Trading Strategy
6 – Cajun Empress
Race 6-Female
8 – Sunset Harbour – Has won 1 race out of 1 starts at Tampa Bay Downs; Trainer and jockey have high win rates.
6 – Jokes Up: Won 3 races out of 4 starts at Tampa Bay Downs; Has a high % winning trainer; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Bloody Colors Wave – Has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick; Trainer and jockey have high win rates.
Longshot:
1 – Tortuga Island: won the last two races at Tampa Bay Downs; Drops in class today; Jockey have high win rates.
Alternate:
2 – Wildwood Bye
7 – Cloud Storage
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5,6,8/2,3/3,6,8/3,4,8 – Cost $45.00
Race 7
2 – Just Comply – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Mr. Funtastico – Won last race at Tampa Bay Downs, Has a high % winning jockey and can handle the distance.
5 – Mischievous Han – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race at Tampa Bay Downs; Has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Redemption Speight – Finished in the money 2 of the last 3 starts, winning 1 race; Can improve while returning to Turf; Has a high% trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
10 – Sweet Tone
Bet: $20.00 Win: 2 – $10.00 Exacta Box:2/3 – $10.00 Exacta: 2/3,4,5 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 2,3,5
Race 8
3 – Ace Ventura – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances; Can handle the distance.
6 – Happy Instead – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Star Kanoo – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race at Tampa Bay Downs, Highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
7 – Alley Oop Johnny – Likes Tampa Bay Downs, finishing in the money in 35% of the races, winning 26% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 33% of the races, winning 17% of the starts.
Alternate:
5 – Snowname
Race 9
3 – Itza Teamster – Trouble in debut race which effected his finish; Breeding suggests he will like the grass as Dam has 4 winners from 5 starters and 2 Turf winners; High % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Fratellone – First time starter whose Breeding suggests he will like the grass; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Rickie’s Kin – Highest last race speed rating; May improve at the shorter distance.
Longshot:
6 – Beach Beamer – Trainer wins 17% of the: Sprint-Route-Sprint moves; Can improve at the shorter distance; Best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Good 4F workout (Mar-19).
Alternate:
7 – Nadir Han
Best Bet of the Day at Tampa Bay Downs – 7th Race – #2 – Just Comply
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 Mile 40 Yards – Stalkers, 18% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Small Bonus
2 – R SKYLINE – drops and might have as much upside as any – 3rd up for the 1st time
8 – LOOKIN LOVELY – TLRSP# +3 with a 2 length LS edge and Top TOTAL PACE
1 – KNOWLEDGE IS GOOD – been close to winning a few times at the distance
7 – IVEY MY LOVE – if any is going w2w – it’s this one
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,7,8
Race 2: 1 Mile 40 Yards – Stalkers, 18% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Small Bonus
4 – BRAMBLE BUSH – super consistent and offers value as the Top TOTAL PACE – strong PAR+ with – better EP/FRACTIONS and lone dropper
3 – SISTER SUPREAM –SIM FAV – concerning effort in last
7 – STORMY MITOLE – should be on the front and ITM 4/5 at the distance
8 – CLASSIC BALLAD – trainer/jockey combo won 5/8 together
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,7/4,6,8/1,2,8/2,3,4
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles – Stalkers/Closers, 17% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Bonus
6 – PAVED IN GOLD – one of 2 YES horses – but trainer/jockey 0 for 7 – but ITM 4
4 – TONY B – 3rd start for the 1st time – should be closing – maybe most upside in just 6th race
8 – SO SO – the Other YES horse with the TOP PAR+ and should be involved from the start
5 – MY LUCKY ANGEL – tough call over the 7 – but consistently better numbers
$0.50 Pick 4: 4,5,6,8/1,2,8/2,3,4,8/1,6
Race 4: 1 Mile 40 Yards – Stalkers, 18% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Small Bonus
8 – SPEEDY HANS – SIM FAV, Top SIM SPEED# and Top TOTAL PACE – bullet work since switching barns and trainer wins 5/13 (38%) vs 10% overall
1 – COPAZO – hit the board in all 8 at TB and 2/2 at the distance
2 – MISSION MIKE – upped his speed figure in the last 3 – only w/ better EP/FRACTIONS
4 – HOMER JONES – horse for the course with 3 wins in 6 and 1 in 16 anywhere else
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,4,8
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Closers, 28% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Best, 8+ Like the rail
3 – LOVEONTHELEFTBANK – showed stakes level LP in last – catching more distance helps
2 – POP ART – been a close at TB since coming from GP – lost last 2 by a neck
4 – DR GLICK – been off more than a year – was FAV in both races – Chad Brown
8 – POR VOCE – just missed in last – should be better in 2nd up – finally healthy type
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,4,8
Race 6: 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, 25% w2w – PP: Rail Bad, 2-7 Fairish, 8+ Best
6 – JOKES UP – TLRSP# +12 and Top TOTAL PACE +10 – winner 3/4 at TB – 5 ways better
1 – TORTUGA ISLAND – winner of the last 2 – was faster despite going longer in last
5 – BLOODY COLORS WAVE – should be out front and won both at the distance with ease
8 – SUNSET HARBOUR – won lone trip at TP – been seeing better at GP
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,5,6,8/1,2,10/3,6,7,12/3,4
Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – Closers, 20% w2w – PP: Rail Discount. 2-7 Best, 8+ Tough
10 – SWEET TONE – TLRSP# +4 – but the outside post hurts
1 – KID KAOS – longshot in 3rd up – last race beer than it looks as he was faster
2 – JUST COMPLY – standout C ZONE for SIM FAV
3 – MR. FUNTASTICO – Top TOTAL PACE – but coming off MCL win in 13th try
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,3,10
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Stalekrs, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Tough, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
3 – ACE VENTURA – just missed – should improve in 2nd up – maybe a lot
6 – HAPPY INSTEAD – just missed in last – room for more in 3rd up
7 – OLD TOWN ROAD – SIM FAV – probably wins off the board
12 – ESTILO MAGICO – standalone C ZONE – consistent – top closer
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,6,7,12
Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Stalkers, 0/6 w2w – PP: None From Rail, 2-7 Best, 8+ Tough
3 – ITZA TEAMSTER – 2nd race PARABILITY – biggest class drop from GP MSW
4 – FRATELLONE – Top Rated firster vs 1 YES and 2nd Race PAR – all others noers
5 – NEOSTAR – the Only YES horse
8 – RICKIE’S KIN – only better EP/FRACTIONS and drops
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,4,5,8
