We head to Tampa Bay Downs for a 9-race card featuring a strong mix of sprints and routes, with firm turf and fast dirt setting the stage for a competitive and tactical afternoon of racing. Today’s show delivers: 🏇 Race-by-race analysis across all nine races 📊 Smart Sheets insights to uncover pace, class, and value angles 🎯 Best Bet candidates and logical contenders 💰 Pick 4 sequences and structured wagering ideas 🔥 Benny and the Bets for disciplined, bankroll-friendly plays Tampa Bay Downs consistently rewards horses with tactical speed, positional awareness, and proven form over the surface. With varied distances and conditions on today’s card, understanding race shape and trainer intent becomes even more important. Nine races. Multiple surfaces. Plenty of opportunity at Tampa Bay Downs.
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Terry’s Picks
Tampa Bay Downs – 1-14-26
Race 1-Female
8 – Caravaggio’s Song – Won last race at Tampa Bay Downs; Has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Enchant – Drops in class, favors shorter distances, owns today’s fastest turf speed, and gets a top jockey.
4 – Go K J Go – Last race: 2nd; Dam produced 3 winners (1 on Turf) from 6 starters; Trainer wins 50% of races when moving a horse up 2+ classes.
Longshot:
7 – New Issue – Drops in class today; She has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Gambi
Race 2
7 – Power Wrench – Highest last race speed rating; Should improve while returning to dirt; Drops in class today; Lasix added.
2 – Chaos Comin – Drops in class today; Gets a high-percentage jockey; Lasix added.
3 – Polizon – Shorter distance offers hope for improvement; Has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Fast Prince – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer; Lasix added.
Alternate:
5 – Alexander K
4 – Miki Jak
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,7/1,3,4/1,6/1,4,6,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
3 – Vino Solo – Won debut race at Tampa Bay Downs; Has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Knick’s Honor – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Magic Mikey – Won last race at Tampa Bay Downs on the turf; Has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Jes See Me – Breeding suggests he will like the grass; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Tisum
6 – Distinct
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4/1,2,3,6/1,4,6,7/1,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 4
6 – Passioned – Finished in the money in 2 races out of the last 3 starts, winning 1 race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Anchises – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances.
3 – Everdoit: Won his debut race; Has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
2 – Speedy Hans – Won 2 races out of the last 3 starts and likes the distance.
Alternate:
4 – The Honeyman
Race 5-Female
7 – Whiskey Whim – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best Turf Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Palpitations – Drops in class today; Switches to a high % winning jockey.
1 – Flighttown – Has a trainer who wins 22% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse; Lasix added.
Longshot:
6 – Lost Kitty – First time starter whose Breeding suggests she will like the grass; She has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Annie Way
Race 6
7 – The Best Distance: Won 3 races out of the last 4 starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; likes the distance.
1 – Bridoza – Won last race at Tampa Bay Downs; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Capitan Danny – Finished in the money in 6 races out of 9 career starts; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in dirt starts.
Longshot:
8 – Cyberbeast – Won last race at Tampa Bay Downs by 18-lenghts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Peruvian Lucky
$.50 Pick 4: 1,7/1,4,8,10,12/3,4,5,7,11/4,8 – Cost $50.00
Bet: $20.00 Win: 7 – $10.00 Exacta Box:1/7 – $10.00 Exacta: 7/1,4,8 – $5.00 Exacta Box:1,4,7
Race 7
4 – Fly Commander – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race at Tampa Bay Downs; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Firstflashofmoon – Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 5 starts at Tampa Bay Downs; Drops in class today.
8 – All the Luck – Drops in class today; Switches to a high % winning jockey; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
10 – Career Risk – Highest last race speed rating; Returning to a sprint is a plus; Has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
12 – Senor Money
7 – Protest
Race 8-Female
11 – Miss Classified – Finished in the money in 3 races out of the last 4 starts, winning 2 races; Drops in class today; trainer and jockey have high win rates.
7 – Megantheebattalion: In the money in 5 of last 6, with 2 wins; drops in class today; may do better at a shorter distance; High-percentage trainer.
3 – Unicycle – Won last race at Tampa Bay Downs; Highest last race speed rating; Trained by a high-percentage trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Padrino’s Gold – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of claiming races.
Alternate:
4 – Rocio
10 – Bolt of Paradise
Race 9
8 – Go Yoshida – Finished 2nd as favorite last out. Trainer wins 21% with beaten favorites; jockey has a strong win rate.
4 – Divo d’Oro – Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Double Echo – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Take the Gold – Switches to a high % winning jockey; Drops in class today; Best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
5 – Messi the Great
7 – Raydar Control
Best Bet of the Day at Tampa Bay Downs – 6th Race – #7 – The Best Distance
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Closers, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Stinks, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Almost Fair
2 – ENCHANT – Even Money Sim – TLRSP#+3 – PAR+ Better EP and Fractions
8 – CARAVAGGIO’S SONG – Top TOTAL PACE +5 – top C ZONE – 2nd UP
4 – GO K J GO – 2nd Race Upside
7 – NEW ISSUE – tough call over the 9 – but has shown 2nd race upside while the 9 regresses
$2 Double: 2/1,2,7
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2/4 w2w – PP: 2 from Rail, 1 from 4-7, 1 from 8+
2 – CHAOS COMIN – maybe way too much ES for the rest – by far best C ZONE
7 – POWER WRENCH – TLRSP# +3 and best PAR+ by far
1 – FAST PRINCE – SIM FAV with a crazy 5 length LS edge and Top Total Pace
3 – POLIZON – super consistent but a little slower last out
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,7/1,3,6,7/6,8/3,7,8,12
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Closers, 17% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Tough
3 – VINO SOLO – if closing is the way – LP Edge of 3 lengths – 2nd Race Upside past par
1 – KNICK’S HONOR – SIM FAV – 4 SP# increases – speed and 1st Lasix
7 – JES SEE ME – Top TOTAL PACE – definitely seen better – tries turf for the 1st time
6 – DISTINCT – 3rd Race Rebound – maybe 1st Lasix if the answer – 2 time BTN FAV
$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/1,6,7,8
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3/1,6,8/3,7,8,12/1,3,4,7
Race 4: 1 Mile 40 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 19% w2w – PP: Strong Outside In
6 – PASSIONED -even money SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE – Lone Yes
8 – TIZ A BEAST – Been off since July – TLRSP#+6 – great works prepping
1 – ANCHISES – should be the pacesetter on the class drop
2 – SPEEDY HANS – super consistent a little better early in last
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Closers, 17% w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Tough
7 – WHISKEY WHIM – YES horse with TLRSP#+10 and Top TOTAL PACE
3 – ANNIE WAY – top rated 1ster vs mostly noes and a pair of yeses – Top Turf Breeding
12 – FANTASY AFFAIR – the other YES horse – return to turf helps –
8 – MISSUS SEKI – 3 SP# increases – better in 2nd up
Race 6: 1 Mile 40 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 19% w2w – PP: Strong Outside In
4 – CAPITAN DANNY – Strong SIM FAV – best PAR+ and +6 LS Edge – GP Track Dropper
7 – THE BEST DISTANCE – left arrow horse with Top TOTAL PACE
1 – BRIDOZA – moving up the speed ladder – much better late in last – nice works
3 – PERUVIAN LUCKY – 4 SP# Increases – much better EP in last and 3rd up
$0.50 Pick 4: 4,7/4,10,12/3,4,7,11/1,4,8,9
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 19% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Discount
10 – CAREER RISK – speed and cutting back in distance in 3rd up – Top TOTAL PACE
4 – FLY COMMANDER – probably most consistent in the field – TB 7/0-4-1
12 – SENOR MONEY – GP Dropper and ITM 7/12 races – fires off the bench
2 – DEVILMENT – 2nd try at TB after wide trip in last – move inside helps
$0.50 Trifecta: 4,10,12/2,4,10,12/1,2,4,7,10,12
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 14% w2w – PP: Strong Outside In
3 – UNICYCLE – 3SP# Increases – better EP and fractions at 7f vs 6f
11 – MISS CLASSIFIED – should be better in the 2nd up – Top TOTAL PACE
4 – ROCIO – better ATB in last – better fractions despite going longer – cut back in distance
7 – MEGANTHEEBATTALION – strong chance to be pacesetter – move back to dirt helps
$0.50 Trifecta: 3,4,11/3,4,7,11/2,3,4,5,7,11
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 28% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Small Bonus
8 – GO YOSHIDA – some regression in last after in race issues
1 – DOUBLE ECHO – same race and similar issues as the 8 – move inside helps
4 – DIVO D’ORO – TLRSP# +5 – should be better in the 2nd up – was FAV vs top 2
9 – DANZING MINER – SIM FAVE Top TOTAL PACE – much better EP in last
