It’s Opening Night at Turfway Park, and we’re diving straight into 9 races under the lights at the most unpredictable track in America. When winter racing returns to Florence, anything can and does happen — massive fields, synthetic-track surprises, late closers, and horses who suddenly wake up on Tapeta.
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Terry’s Picks
Turfway Park -12-03-2025
Race 1
12 – Sokota – Ran 3rd in last race; Has a high% trainer who wins 33% of the races when taking a horse from Dirt to AW and he has high % winning jockey.
10 – Lord Baranof – Placed in 3 of 4 career races; trained by a high-percentage trainer who wins half of his Maiden Claiming entries.
8 – Concrete Cruiser – Ran 3rd in last race; High-percentage trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Frosty Beer – Ran 2nd (on Dirt) in last race; Highest last race speed rating; has a good 5F workout (Nov-25).
Alternate:
5 – Galantini
Race 2
12 – Link to Destiny – Won 2 races out of the last 4 starts, running 2nd in last race; Has a high% trainer who wins 34% of the claiming races he has a horse running in.
10 – Prichard – Won 2 races out of the last 3 starts; Has a High-percentage winning trainer and jockey; Has a good 4F workout (Nov-21).
8 – Ransomware – Won 3 races out of 5 starts at Turfway Park; Has a high % jockey; Has Won 3 races out of the 3 starts at today’s distance.
Longshot:
9 – Burning Leaves – Having a good career finishing in the money in 50% starts, winning 20% of the races; High-percentage trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Race Day Rebal
3 – Ready to Roll
$.50 Pick 4: 8,9,10,12/1,3,5,9/2,3/3,6,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
1 – Real Fast – Ran 2nd in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Final Denile – Ran 2nd vs tougher (on Turf) in last race; Drops in class today; Highest last race speed rating.
5 – Batter Up – Finished 3rd vs tougher (on Dirt) in last race and drops in class today.
Longshot:
9 – Evening News – Finished 3rd (on Dirt) in last race; Likes the distance so can improve at the shorter distance.
Alternate:
2 – Haley’s Dante
6 – Look to the Cross
Race 4
3 – Stride – Finished 2nd in the last 2 races; Has a high % winning jockey; Highest last race speed rating (tie).
2 – My Brother Keith – Disregard his last race due to a poor start; he won the prior event. With a trainer boasting a high win percentage and proven ability over this distance, he remains competitive.
10 – Sant’ Antimo – Drops in class today; has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the Claiming races; He has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Shankar – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
13 – Rocket Hotshot
Race 5-Female
3 – Penalty Box – Finished in the money in 4 races out of her 5 career starts, running 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race; High-percentage trainer and jockey.
10 – Inspired Kiss – Finished 3rd in last race; Has a high-percentage trainer and jockey.
6 – Dawn Dragon – Closer so the added distance can help: Has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races in the 2nd race off a layoff.
Longshot:
4 – Peak Performer – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
1 – Rapoport
5 – Sound Cause
Race 6–Female
10 – Gigi’s World – Finished in the money in the last 4 starts, winning 2 races; Has a high-percentage trainer and jockey.
5 – So Far So Good – Finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race; Can improve at the shorter distance; Has a high-percentage trainer.
2 – Crickenberger – Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 63% of the races, winning 25% of the starts; High-percentage trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Samarita – Has a high-percentage winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Verbal Geyser
8 – Bella Cruella
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,10/5,9,10/3,9/1,10,11,12 – Cost $48.00
Race 7–Female
9 – Candle’s Legacy – Ran 2nd in last race; High-percentage trainer; Has a good 4F workout (Nov-25).
5 – Labile – Trainer wins 23% when moving from Turf to AW; high-percentage jockey; blinkers added; strong 4F workout (Nov-24).
10 – Together Again – Drops in class today Has a high-percentage winning trainer.
Longshot:
12 – Cove Spring – Has a high-percentage winning trainer; Has decent workouts.
Alternate:
3 – Queenstown
Race 8–Female
3 – Cut to the Chase – Won last race at Keenland; Highest last race speed rating; She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Cynane – Last race finished 2nd as the favorite. Has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races with beaten favorites.
10 – Bundchen: She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
11 – Miss Susan B – Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the starts, can handle the distance finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 50% of the starts,
Alternate:
2 – Brienne of Skye
Bet: $20.00 Win: 3 – $10.00 Exacta Box :3/9 – $10.00 Exacta 3/9,10,11 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 3,9,10
Race 9-Female
10 – Goth – Won last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Likes the distance.
12 – Worthier – Ran 2nd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has a bullet 4F workout (Nov-21).
11 – Payrula – Drops in class today; Can improve at the shorter distance.
Longshot:
1 – Escovedo – Won last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Sirius Light
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #3 – Cut to the Chase
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 36% w2w – PP: 1-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Discount
8 – CONCRETE CRUISER – class dropper – has a few TWY runs – two bullets between races
10 – LORD BARANOF – definitely most consistent and 2nd when he ran at this level
12 – SOKOTA – 2nd race parability – move up and class and all weather are big questions – showed high level LP in debut
1 – WHERE Y’AT – SIM FAV – 3rd up should look a lot like last, which was faster by a second
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,8,10,12
Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Closers, 28% w2w – PP: Inside Out
8 – RANSOMWARE – 3/3 at 1 mile at TWY when he gets the lead – should today as Lone E
12 – LINK TO DESTINY – Wesley Ward owned Wesley Ward trained –closer top C ZONE
10 – PRICHARD -probably all or nothing tr jy combo winner 6/14 and ITM just 7/14
6 – COACH CAMPBELL – Better 5 ways – much faster last out on Oct 3 – Top Total Pace
$0.50 Pick 4: 6,8,10,12/1,3,4,9/3,8,10/1,3
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 6,8,10,12
Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Closers, 28% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – REAL FAST – top Total Pace with career best race at TWY – better EP
3 – FINAL DENILE – probably a NYRA track dropper – faster last out going longer – AW is ?
4 – DREAMING BRO – consistent SIM FAV with a Z pattern in last
9 – EVENING NEWS – Lone E Type should be on the lead here – horse for course? 7/2-1-2 and 13/0-1-2 anywhere else
Race 4: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Closers, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Small Discounts but Inside better than Outside
10 – SANT’ ANTIMO – even money SIM FAV – run well enough at TWY – small drop – by far best PAR+
3 – STRIDE – TLRSP#+3 on OCT 2 -but does run well first up and solid TWY works – but AW has been a struggle
8 – SHANKAR – horse for AW course? 15/3-5-4 others 7/2-0-1 – been more than a year since making 3 starts in a row – finally healthy
2 – MY BROTHER KEITH – tough call over the 5 – but YES vs MAYBE and biggest class dropper
$5 Exacta Key Box: 10/2,3,8
Race 5: 1 ¼ Miles – Bias: Closers, 1/15 w2w – PP: Rail Tough, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
3 – PENALTY BOX – TLRSP#+5 – Top LS + 7 – Top Total Pace +14 -consistent as can be
1 – RAPOPORT – 3rd start for the first time for only 4 yo – vs all 3 yo – could be an edge
6 – DAWN DRAGON – resume suggests he could pop nicely in 2nd up
4 – PEAK PERFORMER – tough call over the 5 – but once again YES vs MAYBE
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 36% w2w – PP: 1-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Discount
10 – GIGI’S WORLD – Top Total Pace +7 – been off a while – works are there and drops
5 – SO FAR SO GOOD – better ATB and any improvement from last today in 2nd up is enough
7 – VERBAL GEYSER – last race sucked, 2 good works and then a maintenance – best runs on AW – bounce back potential
4 – MS TEMPTATION – tough call over the 2 -but SIM FAV – better tr, PAR+, C ZONE and closing for two closers
$0.50 Pick 4: 5,7,10/3,5,7,9/3,8/1,2,11,12
Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Closers, 28% w2w – PP: Inside Out
9 – CANDLE’S LEGACY – 2nd race upside with great work after wiggling through traffic
7 – CARTIER GOLD – 2.96 1ster with some excellent works – OCT 17 – TWY 4f in 47 best of 34
3 – QUEENSTOWN – another with 2nd race upside following a funky trip in debut – a trio of solid works
5 – LABILE – one more 2nd race upside – this time switching to Irad
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,5,7,9
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 36% w2w – PP: 1-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Discount
3 – CUT TO THE CHASE – rerun the last race and its over – any improvement = blowout
8 – SAPHIRA – a little regression in 2nd start – rebound race and extra distance is a +
2 – BRIENNE OF SKYE – easy win on debut – 2nd race upside with 3 maintenance works
9 – CYNANE – tough call over the 10 – but Ward also has the 3 and puts Irad there
Race 9: 5 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 2/6 w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Discount, 8+ Best
11 – PAYRULA – Big LP edge +8 vs a ton of speed types and top TOTAL PACE – great TWY work of 4f in 47 – best of 72 – AW no problem
12 – WORTHIER – Ward and Irad again – been well bet in all 3 races – 2x fav
2 – SIRIUS LIGHT – SIM FAV with best PAR+ and C ZONES by decent margins
1 – ESCOVEDO – rail bonus – blowout race in last – better in 2nd Up? Tough call over 6
$5 Exacta Key Box: 11/1,2,12
