We’re headed to Turfway Park for a 9-race, all-weather program as Thursday night racing wraps up before an incoming arctic blast shuts things down. With everything moved to the synthetic surface, tonight’s card puts a premium on: Horses proven on all-weather footing Pace dynamics that play differently under the lights Trainers who consistently target Turfway’s winter profile Form that holds when conditions get cold and fields tighten up These are the kinds of nights where discipline, structure, and surface awareness matter more than ever. With weather about to interrupt the schedule, this card offers a final opportunity to read the track clearly before the reset. If you’re watching, you’re staying sharp. If you’re not, you’re missing valuable context before racing resumes.
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Terry’s Picks
Turfway Park -1-22-26
Race 1-Female
3 – Lyric Street – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Gathered – Drops in class today; Can improve at the shorter distance; Has a high % winning trainer; Switches a top jockey; Bullet 5F workout (Jan-16).
2 – Whitelick Road – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning jockey; Lasix added.
Longshot:
7 – Real Nice Surprise – Trained by a high-percentage trainer who wins 35% of races with sprint-route-sprint horses; also has a successful jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Evalina
Race 2-Female
11 – Talent Show – Winner of 2 of last 3; top recent speed rating and best at this distance; trainer wins 32% when dropping 2+ classes; now rides with leading jockey.
9 – Lady Hamilton – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
3 – Purrfect Girl – Finished 3rd against stronger competition last out; drops in class today. Trainer wins 17% on all-weather tracks; jockey also has a strong win rate.
Longshot:
10 – Emerson’s Dream – Finished in the money in 5 races out of the last 6 starts, winning 3 races; She has a high % winning and jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Councilwoman Jilly
7 – Tough as Nails
$.50 Pick 4: 3,9,10,11/7,8,9/2,3/1,2,7,10– Cost $48.00
Race 3
7 – Missionary Man – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer.
9 – Patronage – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Good 4F workout (Jan-14).
8 – Great Sword – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Romantic Lead – Finished in the money in 50% of his starts during his career; Has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
5 – Andy’s Candy
Race 4
2 – Be Here – Finished in the money in the last 5 starts, winning 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer and Jockey.
3 – My Romeo Lima – Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 6 starts, winning 1 race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Gold Foot – Ran 2nd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and Jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Count of Amazonia – Finished in the money in the last 4 starts, winning 1 race: Highest speed figure at today’s distance
Alternate:
10 – Mucho Mojo
7 – Daddy Justify
Race 5-Female
1 – Cove Spring – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Can improve while returning to a sprint; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Lasix added.
7 – Lets Shance It – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; She has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Bullet 5F workout (Jan-13).
2 – Allatou – Finished 2nd in debut race; She has a high % winning trainer; Lasix added.
Longshot:
10 – Presumptuous – Jockey has strong win record; Good 5F workout (Jan-10); Lasix added.
Alternate:
12 – Awards Ceremony
Race 6-Female
7 – I Made It – Finished 2nd as favorite last out. Trainer wins 31% with beaten favorites.
8 – Vino Rosato placed 2nd in a similar race; trained by a 30% win-rate trainer and has a top jockey.
1 – Sunny’s Flame – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; trained by a high-percentage winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – Curls Nite Out – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the race when taking a horse down 2+ classes.
Alternate:
2 – Isa Lei
$.50 Pick 4: 1,6,7,8/1,6/2,4,5/1,3,5,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 7-Female
6 – Rip Current – Won debut race at Turfway Park; has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Petronella – Won last race at Turfway Park; trainer and jockey have strong win records.
9 – Resist – Won debut race at Turfway Park; Has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when using 1st time Lasix; Has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Queenstown – Won last race at Turfway Park; Trainer have strong win record.
Alternate:
3 – Spastic Bid
5 – Bolt Dior
Bet: $20.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 Exacta Box:1/6 – $10.00 Exacta:6/1,8,9 – $5.00 Exacta Box:1,6,9
Race 8
4 – Mo Quality – Early foot so returning to a sprint will help; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Sixtyseven Mustang – Won last race at Turfway Park; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Defending Albert – Won 3 races out of 7 career starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Explosively –Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
11 – Strate Cash
Race 9-Female
3 – Mariposa Moon – Drops in class today; trainer and jockey have high win rates.
5 – Santiana: Finished 4th as favorite last out. Trainer wins 26% with beaten favorites; Lasix added.
1 – Desperate Dreams – Has a high-percentage trainer and jockey; Lasix & Blinkers added.
Longshot:
11 – Of All Things – Has a high % winning trainer and jockey: Drops in class today.
Alternate:
2 – The Pretty One
Best Bet of the Day at Tampa Bay Downs – 7th Race – 6 – Rip Current
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Rail and Outside Stalkers
3 – LYRIC STREET – TLRSP#+4 – Top Total Pace
4 – GATHERED – one of two YES horses with the 5
5 – EVALINA – the other YES horse with a +6 LS edge
7 – REAL NICE SURPRISE – SIM FAV that should be out on the lead
Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Closers with middle posts 2-7
11 – TALENT SHOW – claim and big drop for Rivelli – 33% vs 26% – small profit on claim
9 – LADY HAMILTON – out on the lead – wins when she competes early
3 – PURRFECT GIRL – won the last time she came off the bench
10 – EMERSON’S DREAM – hard call over the 12 – better at the distance and it’s not close
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,9,10/5,8,10/4,9/4,8,9,10
Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Stalkers, Fair 1-7, outside reasonable discount
10 – AIR CAV – TLRSP# +5 and Top Total Pace – post could hurt
8 – GREAT SWORD – biggest class dropper – maybe untapped potential in 5th race
5 – ANDY’S CANDY – SIM FAV – same or much better in 2nd up
7 – MISSIONARY MAN – better ATB – more coming in 3rd up?
$5 Exacta Key Box: 10/5,7,8
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Stalkers, Fair 1-7, outside reasonable discount
4 – COUNT OF AMAZONIA – is a horse for the AW course 7/4-3-0
9 – SHIESTY TO CHASE – TLRSP#+4 – SIM FAV and Top Total Pace
2 – BE HERE – has as much pop as any in this race – just hasn’t emerged on AW
6 – FIRST STRIKE – has the most TWY upside and back class – why not on a drop?
$5 Exacta Key Box: 4/2,6,9
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Rail and Outside Stalkers
4 – PAPAS LADY – most 2nd race parability – decently bet in debut
9 – RHYTHM LADY – highest rated 1st timer with solid enough TWY works
8 – RHAPSODY IN MOTION – YES horse better early, last and fractions – Lasix helps
10 – PRESUMPTUOUS – 3rd race bounce back – could make easy work of these if that happens
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Stalkers, Fair 1-7, outside reasonable discount
3 – YAREE D TAT – SIM FAV and Top Total Pace with the 4 out – better EP
8 – VINO ROSATO – YES horse Better ATB – finally health – 2nd up for 1st time in a year
7 – I MADE IT – Standout C ZONE – and a pair of neck finishes form winning both at TWY
1 – SUNNY’S FLAME – could be out front in an otherwise paceless race
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,7,8/1,6,9/4,10/3,5,7,13
Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Stalkers, Fair 1-7, outside reasonable discount
9 – RESIST – 2nd race upside way past par – 3 solid works since
1 – PETRONELLA – only YES horse off a dominating win in lone TWY run last out
6 – RIP CURRENT – “strong run” in debut – 2nd race upside
2 – BACK RING BUZZ – nice pop in last in first at TWY – morse distance helps today
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Rail and Outside Stalkers
10 – HEDWIG – +10ES & Top Total Pace +7 – turf says YES, been in G1 company – AW ?
4 – MO QUALITY – room for a lot more in the 2nd up – makes big mid moves
9 – EXPLOSIVELY – super consistent – a little better ATB in last – tr 0/25 off the claim
13 – DAZZLEMESILVER – the other YES horse with the 4 – Lone PC – only ? is AW
$5 Exacta Key Box: 10/4,5,9,13
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Rail and Outside Stalkers
7 – TRULY AUTHENTIC – top rated 1ster vs all noes – could have some EP
5 – SANTIANA – TLRSP#+3 – by far best PAR+ first Lasix with speed and Top Total Pace +7
3 – MARIPOSA MOON – a couple of strong & decent works between races
13 – OAKS STREET – 3rd race bust or boom ability
