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Belmont Park Picks

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Belmont Park Picks Live Stream – May 4, 2023 – Horse Racing Today

Belmont Park Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Belmont Park on a $100 Budget

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Laurel Park

Belmont Park Picks and Plays

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 5 Furlongs – Bias: Only 5 Races – 4 won Early Speed – 2w2w – PP: Small Inside 3 Edge

5 – PRINCESA CELINA – Wesley Ward, 1st timer with a rash of bullet works

4 – LESLIE’S LOOT – like the April 15th work 3f in 35.4

1 – ROUND THE TOWN – a little better works than the 3

3 – SLAINTE MHATH – Another Wesley Ward horse

Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 4/All

 

Race 2: 6 Furlongs Inner Turf – Bias: Just 2 races – Early Speed, 0 w2w – PP: all 4-7

6 – ICY STARE DOWN – 1st off the claim for Linda Rice – 22% – and strong C-Zone

1 – BRISKY FROLIC – some early speed and drops in class

5 – JUST A NYQUIST – won her last and was better ATB – moves up

3 – FANTAIL – has some back class and if she finds it here, could go w2w

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 6/1A,2,3,5/7,9/2,4,7,8

 

Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed – 27% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus

3 – HAMMERIN AAMER – a little drop in class after running a little faster fraction, good fit for Trevor

1A – DURKIN’S CALL – cutting in class, last race better than it looks with better times and 2/4f pace#s

2 – CARIBBEAN – Tie TLPRSP#, claim and rise for Linda Rice, consistent performer, cut back in distance could help

5 – GENTLEMAN JOE – could be part of the early speed, definitely ran faster last time out

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1A,2,3/1A,3/1A,2,3,4,5

 

Race 4: 1 Mile Turf: Bias – Stalkers/Closers – 20% w2w – PP: Rail Fair. 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Penalty

7 – COLLABORATION – better in both races after debut, tr Linda Rice 26% 2nd Lasix and horse has EP, but can close too

9 – AMANDA’S FOLLY – Tr Linda Rice wanted this one in if it was off the turf and here she is – although, lone off track run didn’t go all that well

3 – SMOKIE EYES – class dropper, been off since November, works are OK, finished 2nd in Debut

8 – LADY JASMINE –  has beaten a few in here and upped her game in a little from race to race, better in round two off he sidelines today?

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,9/7,3,9/3,4,7,8,9

 

Race 5: 1 1/8 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed, 2/5 w2w – PP: None from Rail or 8+, 2/3 fair, 4-7 Bonus

8 – INFLATION ADJUSTED – high floor, low ceiling type, steady performer won lone BP go and resume says he should be a little better 2nd up

4 – AL’S ROCKET – Pletcher/Ortiz – in 4 races with Jose, horse less than a length from winning 3

2 – Q F SEVENTY FIVE  – best Belmont #s by a decent margin, but once again, Trevor on a frontrunner

7 – FIGHTER IN THE WIN – major class drop – last one sucked, maybe didn’t like the slop? Beware if it gets wetter

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,8/2,4,8/2,3,4,7,8

 

Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias

6 – MAGGIE T – got some early speed, got Kendrick, should be a good combo in 2nd after a layoff following faster fractions than usual in the 1st up

5 – SHE CAUGHT MY EYE – has some EP, probably most upside in the race, problem is nasty regression in only two second starts after a layoff, will need to reverse that trend

7 – WISHING ON A STAR – looks like a great fit for Trevor here, who is masterful as having horse at the end and this one has shown some brilliant LP at times

2 – DASHING DELLA – we’ll go with fair odds and the top C-Zone score here

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 5,6/1,3,4,6/2,5,7/1A,2

 

Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias

1 – BUSTIN BAY – just win at this level, has some EP and the rail dominated at this length in the last BP meet

3 – SUNSET LOUISE – definitely faced the toughest competition, been off since October, real good string of works

6 – SWEET MYSTERY – TLPRS#, big jump in only other round two off the bench, BP 2/1-0-1, Distance 4/1-2-1

4 – DUFRESNE – might have a decent EP edge over the rest and with Kendrick riding, you know he’s going forward

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,6/1,3/1,2,3,4,6

 

Race 8: 6 Furlongs Inner Turf – Bias: Just 2 races – Early Speed, 0 w2w – PP: all 4-7

5 – TURN OF EVENTS – Belmont 9/4-1-1, runs strongly after a layoff, winner last two, including one of his Belmont Ws

7 – BIG PACKAGE – probably the most back class, top Belmont record for sure, been off since September and didn’t fire the last time he had a similar break

2 – DOCTOR JEFF – kind of a tough trip last time out, two maintenance woks since, has a lot of mid race pop, look for a big move out of the turn

6 – FLUID SITUATION – tough call over the 3, but top EP/LP combo, high c-zone and more versatile as a PC type

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,7/5,7/2,3,5,6,7

 

Race 9: 6 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Tactical Speed – 19% w2w – PP: None from Rail – 2/3 & 8+Penalty, 4-7 Best

1A – LOON CRY – probably the better of the two entries, but either could win – Terry Angle

2 – ADMIRE MY CROWN – maybe a crazy pick here, has EP, was better ATB in last and maybe picks it up in second after a layoff. Plus J Davis was on HC this week

7 – MZ BIG BUCKS – only second start, showed some heart in debut, you don’t know what you are going to get here, whereas all the others had multiple chances to win

8 – CERRETTA – more consistent than the 5, should be as good probably better in round 2 off the bench

Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1A,2/1A,2,7/1A,2,5,7,8,12

 

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