PARX Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for PARX on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Fanduel Sportsbook
Parx Picks and Plays
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
6 – Viradia – She comes in from Aqueduct to try PARX Racing for the first time, has a trainer who wins 26% of races in the 1st race after claiming a horse, can improve while returning to a route and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
3 – Elusive Ryder – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Londonderry – She has finished in the money in 50% of her races at PARX Racing, winning 20% of the races at and has a has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Abhaile – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Brody Slam
7 – Summary Judgment
Bet: $1.00 DD: #6 / #2,5,6,7
Race 2
7 – Luna T – She finished in the money in her last three races at PARX Racing, running 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning trainer.
2 – All Hail Mo – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Boss Like Beth – She drops in class today and Lasix is added.
Longshot:
5 – Lady Sicaria – She finished 4th as the favorite after stumbling at the start and being bumped, has a high % winning trainer who wins 50% of races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
Alternate:
8 – Bay and Gold
Bet: $1.00 Exacta: 7/2-6
Race 3
3 – Cinnamon Dream – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 50% of races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
7 – Sprinkle This – She has done well at PARX Racing finishing in the money in 45% of the races, winning 18% of the starts and has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (15 4-1-2).
1 – Miss Chamita –She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, the rail post is winning at 20% clip and has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
6 – Johnnyslittlegirl – She drops in class today and her early speed running style helps her chances.
Alternate:
5 – Shez a Doubletake
4 – Pop the Clutch
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: 1-3-7
Race 4
5 – In Sky We Trust – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Johnny Ritt – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has a high % winning trainer and he has the highest last race speed rating.
2 – Clemenza – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Porsupuesto – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
7 – Kefi
3 – Crafty Don
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race # 2,4,5,6 – 5th race #4,6 – 6th race #2,4,7 – 7th #2,6
Race 5
6 – El Gran Cuyaya – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – First to Last – He drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 25% of races when using 2nd time Lasix.
1 – Shadow Bay – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at 20% clip has a trainer who wins 31% of races when using 2nd time Lasix.
Longshot:
3 – Capt Complicated – He drops in class today and has a has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Road Call
8 – Kane
Bet: $1.00 DD: #4,6 / #1,5,6,7
Race 6
7 – Strugar – He ran 2nd in his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Mr. Roundtree – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a decent workout.
4 – Jump Shot – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – He’s Incredible – He has won six races out of the last nine starts and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Bet: $6.00 Win: #7
Race 7
6 – R Tenderoni – She finished in the money in her last six races at PARX Racing, winning three of the starts and has high a % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Ambitiously Placed – He finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Unadulterated – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race has a trainer who wins 35% of races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and has a good 4F workout on Apr-27.
Longshot:
3 – Tiz a Sharpie – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
9 – Tribord
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 7th race # 2,6 – 8th race # 3,5,8,9 – 9th race #4,5,7- 10th #1,6,9,10
Race 8
8 – Ruby Bleu – He ran 6th as the favorite last race but has a high % trainer who wins 31% of races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and drops in class.
9 – Glory Song – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Two by Two – He switches to a high % jockey and trainer who wins 32% of the races in the 1st start with this trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Senior Investment – He drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a good 4F workout on May-03.
Alternate:
7 – Margin of Air
Bet: $1.00 Exacta: 8/3-9
Race 9
4 – Roadtriptonowhere – He finished in the money in seven out of his last eight races at PARX Racing, winning two of the starts and has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Secret Alliance – He ran 2nd in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and has high a % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Rich’s Way – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has high a % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Northern Express – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
1 – Brindisi
Bet: None
Race 10
1 – Singinthruthestorm – He has finished in the money in his last six starts at PARX Racing and the rail post is winning at 18% clip.
9 – Night Ops – He drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Speightster Red – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
10 – Indoctrinate – He has high a % winning trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout on April-08.
Alternate:
2 – Relativlea
4 – Souper Fly Over
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
6 – VIRADIA – NYRA track and class dropper, at this point you have to consider Sofia Vives, she’s hot
3 – ELUSIVE RYDER – tied for TLRSP#, usually consistent from beginning to end, small weight break
7 – SUMMARY JUDGMENT – blasted out to the lead as $0.90 Favorite, let’s see if she pops back today
5 – ABHAILE – w2w in her last with better #s ATB
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6,7/3,6/3,4,5,6,7
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ A Little Bonus
6 – BOSS LIKE BETH – pretty big class drop here, getting first Lasix, Parx 6/1-2-2, kind of suspicious
2 – ALL HAIL MO – best race last out, TLRSP#, two maintenance works since, should be as good today
7 – LUNA T – distance is the key for her, 4/1-2-1, upped speed figure three in a row
1 – DIVINARY – Paco Lopez, first Lasix and drops in class
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,6,7/2,6/1,2,6,7,8
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
3 – CINNAMON DREAM – likely to be better in the 2nd off the bench, distance 9/2-3-2
1 – MISS CHAMITA – down in class and comes in from Laurel after TLRSPP#, distance 12/0-1-1
2 – DELIGHTFUL DREAMER – down a little in class, cutting back, huge improvement in last with Sofia Vives
5 – SHEZ A DOUBLETAKE – finished 2nd in last, much better early and late with Z pattern, 3rd Up
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3/1,2,3/1,2,3,5,6
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair except 4-7 Discount
5 – IN SKY WE TRUST – last race was better than it finished, with much faster fractions
6 – JOHNNY RITT – TLRSP#, 3 sp# number increases in a row, tr Mario Dominguez winner 27% 2nd off the claim
4 – PORSUPUESTO – upped SP# in last 2, last race was stronger than the pervious run with considerably quicker fractions
2 – CLEMENZA – lone Parx win came off the bench, like today, been off since November, decent and steady works getting prepped for return
7 – KEFI – first off the claim, 19% for tr Mario Lopez, has a 3f bullet work since
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,6,7/1,4,6/6/2,6
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
6 – EL GRAN CUYAYA – Chris P angle, Parx 2/0-1-1, Z pattern, TLRSP#
4 – FIRST TO LAST – biggest class dropper, going longer today with a weight break today
1 – SHADOW BAY – you have to go lesser raced horse with what’s left, Parx 3/0-1-1, distance 1/0-1-0
8 – KANE – best overlay with strong C-Zone
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,6/4,6/1,4,6,7,8
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair except 4-7 Discount
6 – HE’S INCREDIBLE – missed by a nose at this level last out, not sure adding a ½ furlong helps
7 – STRUGAR – always puts in a great effort. PARX 4/1-3-0 and Distance 5/3-1-0, third off the bench
4 – JUMP SHOT – missed by a neck in his last at 6f, extra ½ furlong helps here
2 – MR. ROUNDTREE – small overlay with solid C-zone, at times has robust LP, nice work between races
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 5: 6/2,6/1,3,9/4,5,7/9
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
2 – AMBITIOUSLY PLACED – pretty good class drop here, last race was better than it looks with same fractions at 1m70y vs 6f
6 – R TENDERONI – Silveria/Ness – Parx 3/0-1-2, Distance 12/4-4-3, a little regression in last
5 – MISS LOYALTY – Paco Lopez, some better fractions in last and better 2/4f pace# and a maintenance work between
9 – TRIBORD – Sofia again, did I mention she is hot, winning three yesterday, right distance 9/4-1-1, all other 9/0-3-3
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,5,6/1,3,9/4,5,7/1,7,9
Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 50% w2w – PP: Slight Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
3 – TWO BY TWO – Oaklawn Park track dropper, right distance 6/3-0-1, Ness/Silvera, decent Parx 6f Work
9 – GLORY SONG – Tr Jamie Ness wins a 33% with claim repeaters, could be tough to beat at his Parx best
8 – RUBY BLEU – sizable class drop, rebounded the last 2 times he bombed in the prior race, maintenance work between starts, same pattern as last time he ran poorly
1 – BIG BROWN SHOES – Lone EP horse, strong C-zone and could be the pacesetter,
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 3/4,5,7
Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 50% w2w – PP: Slight Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
7 – SECRET ALLIANCE – 3rd off the break, early race regression in last, but big # late
4 – ROADTRIPTONOWHERE – 2nd up, has two bullet works and then a maintenance work since last
5 – RICH’S WAY – it’s all in the name, was off for more than a year, solid in 1st up and then his best race last out, similar improvement here and lookout, a couple of works between races too
1 – BRINDISI – even race in his last, candidate for more in round two of the bench, high win rate rail and Paco
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 4,5,7/9
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Stalkers/Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – Strong Inside 3 and 8+, 4-7 Big Discount
9 – NIGHT OPS – +12 LP edge over the rest of the field, might not be all that far from the lead here, drops in class
1 – SINGINTHRUTHESTORM – finished 2nd by a neck at this distance last out, distance is the key, 3 wins – almost 4 – in 7 races and none in 16 at other distances
7 – WILLY MC – class dropper with better fractions last out, 2sp# increases in a row
10 – INDOCTRINATE – tough call over the 6, better post, better Parx and Distance numbers and biggest beneficiary of 8 scratching
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 9/1,4,6,7,10/1,7
