Kempton Park Horse Racing Picks
It’s a new year, so why not a new track? Tom and Rich make their picks for a handful of handicap races at Kempton Park.
Kempton Park (Free Past Performances)
Race 1: RACINGTV.COM APPRENTICE HANDICAP
Race 4: UNIBET 3 UNIBOOSTS A DAY HANDICAP
Race 5: UNIBET EXTRA PLACE OFFERS EVERY DAY HANDICAP
Race 6: UNIBET ZERO% MISSION HANDICAP
Race 7: UNIBET SUPPORT SAFE GAMBLING HANDICAP
Kempton Park Tips and Analysis
22 to 1 Tom’s Tips
Race 1
1 – Ultramarine – Draw 1
Won last time out at this level. He has an excellent overall record on the AW; their only wins are on the AW. He did just enough last time and should be able to beat this group.
4 – Conquest Of Power – Draw 2
Beaten favorite last time out at Southwell. He runs in midpack and moves at the end, but he may be more forwardly placed in a small field. He has one win (it’s been a while) at Sandown (turf), but the form is ok, and that should be enough to get a piece here.
2 – Bowood – Draw 4
Ran third last time out at Southwell but was never in contention. He may have an advantage running this distance, but he has never won. More forward places will likely get better results.
Race 4
8 – United Front – Draw 4
He went off as the favorite last time out, had no room at the end of the races to do anything, and ran last by 5L. He’s raced at higher levels in the past, but it’s been a while since a win. He has a good record on the AW of 28 starts, five wins, six seconds, and five thirds. The trainer is bringing back from the last race seven days ago; He saw something good.
7 – Plantadream – Draw 6
He made a good effort last time at this track, running 6th, considering he hadn’t run in two years. He’s done well on the AW in the past with seven starts, two wins, and three seconds. This one is a bit of a shot in the dark, but if he improves off the last try just a bit, he can get an in-the-money finish.
1 – Aratus – Draw 3
The last race was a mess, with a starting gate issue. He didn’t get going, and the pace was slow, which didn’t benefit him. This horse has done well at Kempton with one win and one second from two starts. He’s been away for 30 days, so maybe they can straighten out his issues for a better run.
Race 5
3 – Blind Beggar – Draw 8
In his last race, he raced towards the front initially but weakened to run ninth, going 5F. In the race before, he won by a neck at Chelmsford on the AW in a class 4 race. His record on the AW is six starts and three wins. Racing again at the class 3 level, he will either win or run a stinker, but the 6F race is the correct placement for this horse.
4 – Rocking Ends – Draw 3
In a class 3 race last out, he was in the front of the field and then went the other way to run seventh. This was his first race since July, so he needed a race. His wins have come at the class 4 or lower levels, and he hasn’t yet been grated at higher levels. Based on this field, this is a good spot for an in-the-money finish.
2 – Bosh – Draw 6
He’s never won on the AW in three tries but ran third at Lingfield last time. At the class 2 level, he has done nothing but better results at a lower level. In the last two races, he was ridden by an apprentice rider, but today, they switched to Dave Probert. The trainer must have seen something to suggest better efforts to come.
Race 6
4 – Moliwood – Draw 9
After being off for over one year, he ran second, going 13.5F in the class 3 race. He appeared to need that race. He should be forwardly placed and should run a top race here. He has won at this distance and this track in the past.
11 – Indigo Times – Draw 7
He hasn’t raced since July but has a good record on the AW with 13 starts, six wins, 1 second, and 1 third. His record on the standard to slow is 3 starts, two wins and 1 second. Distance isn’t an issue, and he won once off a layoff, but is he ready? I hope so.
10 – Glenister – Draw 12
Ran third last out with issue but was no match for the top two finishers. He hadn’t raced since October, so it was a pretty good effort overall. He’s been good on the AW with a record of 11 starts, four wins, 2 seconds, and one third. My concern is this is his first attempt at this distance, so it could go well and be a big failure, but I am willing to take a chance to get in the money.
Race 7
10 – Qeyaady – Draw 4
He signs of life in his last race, running third at Lingfield in a 12F race. After a slow start, he went forward but failed to finish. He went off at 33-1. After a series of average-to-bad races, maybe he’s figuring it out again. He gets a lightweight, and the last race was the first time he showed something on the AW. He has been over the Kempton track before. Take a shot here.
1 – The Bay Warrior – Draw 1
He had a better effort last race, going fourth after being pushed early, and many have been used because he was outfinished for third. He did his best running on the AW but also liked to finish second a lot, seven times.
Unlike many in this field, he has won three times. He shortens up in the distance today, so there is a better chance.
8 – Trusty Scout – Draw 7
Ran third last out with issues in the final furlong. This comes off a winning effort at Kempton. The last two races show he’s in form for this level.
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: RACINGTV.COM APPRENTICE HANDICAP – 12:15 pm Eastern
2 – BOWOOD – improved his 7f final time by nearly 2 seconds in last
1 – ULTRAMARINE – best work on AW 7/2-1-2 all others 16/0-2-3
4 – CONQUEST OF POWER – chance to be better in 2nd up
Race 4: UNIBET 3 UNIBOOSTS A DAY HANDICAP – 1:45 pm Eastern
3 – COURT OF SESSION – a neck from winning last 2, faster by about 3 seconds in last
4 – TALIS EVOLVERE – betting FAV in last 3, improved UK speed figure in last 3
1 – ARATUS – usually well backed, fan of Kempton 2/1-1-0 – second was by just a length
7 – PLANTADREAM – was off for more than a year, ran an even effort in 1st up – resume says big improvement in 2nd up is in the cards
Race 5: UNIBET EXTRA PLACE OFFERS EVERY DAY HANDICAP – 2:15 pm Eastern
2 – BOSH – sluggish start in his last, strong rally, better start in 2nd up
1 – ALJARI – essentially all or nothing type, 27/7-2-0 – 6 Ws on AW – fired in more 2 most recent 1st up
3 – BLIND BEGGAR – classic 3rd start off after a layoff, does best work forwardly placed, will be there today
5 – EXPERT AGENT – doesn’t usually make it 2 in a row before going to the barn, runs well when he does, win and close 3rd
Race 6: UNIBET ZERO% MISSION HANDICAP – 2:45 pm Eastern
12 – PLANET LEGEND – distance and fitness not a problem after jumping hurdles at 2M – AW 2 close 2nd in 2 races – 3rd up
2 – BASCULE – Kempton 5/1-1-1 – AW 11/4-2-1
5 – SARSONS RISK – might have the most back class, will be steamrolling late
7 – TRUE COURAGE – going to toss the last, maybe a mistake, but my favorite type – All or Nada on AW 7/3-0-0 – if he pops it will be a price
Race 7: UNIBET SUPPORT SAFE GAMBLING HANDICAP – 3:15 pm Eastern
4 – LEMON ICE – bomb of the day – trying the AW for the 1st time – best race came in 2nd up on track change – track change and 2nd up in a wide-open affair
7 – DISTINCTION – 3rd up, should be well positioned to make a move in the stretch
3 – LATEST EDITION – another 3rd up runner that showed improvement in last, coming into form?
1 – THE BAY WARRIOR – if anybody is going w2w in here, he is it
