Saratoga Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free Saratoga Racing Racing Picks
Saratoga – 8-28-2024
Race 1
7 – Hold Hard – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Evie’s Prince – He won his last race by 16- lengths and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Hidden Path – He won his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Westerland – He finished in the money in his last five starts, winning two of the races and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
3 – Lightning Rod
Race 2
6 – Reserve Currency – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Sun Thunder – He took a 2-month break but was knocking at the door finishing in the money in his last six races and comes back with a bullet 4F workout on Aug-15.
2 – Fromanothamutha – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a good 4F workout on Aug-22.
Longshot:
7 – Eliminate – He ran 2nd in his last start and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – General Banker
Contest Pick: #6-4
Race 3
5 – Get a Job – He ran 2nd in his only start, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Big Ego – He finished 2nd in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Concorde Spirit – He can improve at the longer distance and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Executive Move – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Stormy’s Dreaming
1 – Big Rich
The 1234 Pick 4
$.50 Pick 4: 3,5,7,8/4/2,8,10/7,9– Cost $12.00
Contest Pick: #5 – 3
Race 4
8 – Natural Harbor – He finished in the money in three of his last four starts, winning two of the races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1A – Cold as Hell – He won his last race at Saratoga and has a high % winning trainer and jockey
9 – Poppy’s Pride – He finished 3rd in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Giroovin – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 33% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 49% of the races.
Alternate:
2 – Cees Get Degrees
10 – Kingdom
Contest Pick: #8 – 1A
Race 5
8 – English Castle – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse competing in and he has a high % winning jockey.
10 – Koru – He has high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a good 4F workout on Aug-21.
2 – Check Cleared – He is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests he will like the grass and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – My Life Story – He has high % winning trainer and his best turf speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Contest Pick: #8 -10
Race 6-Female
7 – Miss C Banker – She ran 2nd in her only start, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer.
9- Linda’s Jewel – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her only start, her Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters (but 0 Turf winners), she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a good 4F workout on Aug-19.
5 – Episode – She ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race, her Dam has 6 winners from 7 starters and 2 Turf winners and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Shesinamood – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
The No Favorite Pick 4
$.50 Pick 4: #,2,5,9/2,4,6/1,4,8,9/4,5,10,12– Cost $48.00
Contest Pick: #7 – 9
Race 7-Female
5 – Athena Beach – She ran 2nd in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and her early speed running style helps chances.
2- Scoring Chance – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Cousin Kristi – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – True Empress – She won her race at Finger Lakes and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Bet: $30.00 Win: #5
Contest Pick: #1: #5-2
Race 8-Female
2 – Virgin Colada – She won her debut race at Saratoga on the turf and at today’s distance, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Reining Flowers – She won her last race at Saratoga on the turf and at today’s distance, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Lady Orient – She won her debut race, she has high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – She’s Our Tiz – She closed to win her debut race on the turf at 6-furlongs and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 100% of the races with 2-YO entries.
Alternate:
8 – Merry and Bright
Contest Pick: #2 – 9
Race 9-Female
10 – Majulu – She ran 2nd in her last race at Saratoga on the turf and at today’s distance and she has a high % trainer and jockey.
6 – Laurana – She drops in class today and she has a high % trainer and jockey.
4 – Splashy – She drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
12 – Good Mission – She ran 2nd in her last race at Saratoga, she has a high % jockey and blinkers are added today.
Alternate:
13 – Superstarsusan
5 – Better Be Smart
Contest Pick: #10 – 6
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #5 – Athena Beach
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1 – 2 3/8 Miles – Jumpers
1 – HIDDEN PATH
8 – EVIE’S PRINCE
3 – LIGHTNING ROD
2 – WESTERLAND
Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Stalkers, 31% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – GENERAL BANKER – strong rail edge, better in 2nd up – Top EP/LP and +8 Total Pace – Left Arrow
6 – RESERVE CURRENCY – TLRSP# +4, didn’t work out too well yesterday – but… 3rd up should look like last
4 – SUN THUNDER – probably the most consistent at a high level – the two most recent works are solid and the last is crazy fast – 4f in 46.1
2 – FROMANOTHAMUTHA – third start after a layoff should be better than second which was better ATB
Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Stalkers, 31% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – GET A JOB – ML – 2nd up improvement in some than enough to win – but track riser from INDY
3 – BIG EGO – upped SP# in last three – only horse to come remotely close to hitting par – so far
6 – BARICCI – got to take the first timer when none of the rest have even sniffed a winning effort at this level – bullet at go at 5f
1 – BIG RICH – it’s all in the name –
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PPL Rail Bonus, 2-7 Penalty, 8+ Best
9 – POPPY’S PRIDE – best shot to go w2w – improved LP in last
8 – NATURAL HARBOR – looking for a major move forward in round 2 off the sidelines
6 – GIROOVIN – maybe a horse for the NY course – 3/1-2-0
1A – COLD AS HELL – 2 for 1 special with the entry the slight nod over the 10
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: Closers, 14% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, Rest a touch under Par
2 – CHECK CLEARED – going to take a chance on 1st timer – 3/3 -top breeding and back bullet
10 – KORU – Chad Brown – 3rd up – finally healthy horse? Three works between
8 – ENGLISH CASTLE – ML – 3rd at this level last out after the MSW drop
3 – CAESAR’S GHOST – going to take another flyer – last run in the inner turf would probably win this
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 25% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
9 – LINDA’S JEWEL – wanted to debut on Turf – moved to slop – gets grass today – 2nd race improvement
7 – MISS C BANKER – ML – 2nd by a neck at this level last out
1 – GRACEFUL WARRIOR – taking the pair of first timers next – slightly better works here
4 – PRETTY LIZA – better breeding here
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Outside In, Rail Stinks – Beware
4 – COUSIN KRISTI – coming down from a NGSTK where she ran wide the – dismiss
5 – ATHENA BEACH – maybe better 2nd up – ITM 8/9 races – getting the lead is key – maybe gets it
2 – SCORING CHANCE – maybe the most upside in the race – won lone race at the distance
10 – BANK ON ANNA – long shot that will be closing with plenty of speed to catch here
Race 8: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: Closers, 14% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, Rest a touch under Par
any of the top 4 youngsters can win with 2nd race improvement – here is how I rank them
2 – VIRGIN COLADA
5 – SECOND CHANCE
4 – LADY ORIENT
1 – SHE’S OUR TIZ
Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 25% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair
6 – LAURANA – MSW dropper with maybe the most upside with only 3 starts
4 – SPLASHY – 4 SP# increases in a row for another of the 3 MSW droppers
12 – GOOD MISSION – flashed speed in debut – well bet – cut back from 6 ½ helps
10 – MAJULU – strong chance to be pacesetter – 2nd by a head at this level last out
