Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Gulfstream Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Delta Downs
Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – Stormy Stella – Ran third in his last race and drops to the class- Has the highest last race speed rating and a good Trainer/Jockey combination.
5 – Cagua- Finished in the money in three out of seven races at Gulfstream Park and has Finished in the money in three out of four races at today’s distance.
6 – Splicer – Returns to a distance that seems to fit her running style – Jockey in last 7 days (15 4-1-0) – Lasix added.
3 – Playa Inclusion – Showed speed in her last race and – Lasix added.
Alternate:
1 – Lluvia
7 – Brain Trust
Race 2
2 – Pretty Rachel – Won seven races out of the last eight races – Highest last race speed rating – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Chez Paree – Switches to a high % jockey Irad Ortiz, JR. – Sharp 3F workout on 22Jan GP 3f ft :36 B 8/34.
5 – Time to Two Step – Finished in the money in ten out of sixteen races at Gulfstream Park and won the last one – The trainer wins 24% of the time going from a Route to a Sprint.
1 – Infatuating – Rail post is winning at a 22% clip – Drops in class today.
Alternate:
6 – Don’t Make Me Beg
4 – Dance Till Dawn
Race 3
1 – Stacias Ruby – Has improved his speed races three races in a row – Should improve at the shorter distance – Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
3 – Gossiping – Drops in class today -Can improve with Lasix & Blinkers added.
6 – Artificial Intell- First time starter – The jockey Luis Saez is winning at a 25% clip.
7 – Ultimate Breeze – The trainer wins 19% of the time when their runs 2nd time off layoff.
Alternate:
2 – O Princess
Race 4
4 – Ala Turka – Likes distance finishing in the money three out of three races winning two and likes the track finishing in the money four out of five races winning two – Lasix added.
5 – Chacalosa – Won last race at Gulfstream Park – Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Princess Cupid – Finished in the money in two out of two races, winning one of the races- Lasix added.
3 – Mount Sinai – The trainer wins 28% of the time with entries in All Weather surfaces.
Alternate:
7 – Blame It On Rose
Race 5
9 – All in Jest – Was carried out very wide in her last race finishing 4th,but improved her race from the one before – The trainer wins 22% of the time when their entry starts in a 2nd grass race.
5 – Zambak – Drops in class today and goes from Maiden to Maiden-Claiming and trainer wins 32% of the time doing this.
1 – Spooky Spice – Trying turf for the first time – The trainer wins 25% of the time when their entry goes from Maiden to Maiden-Claiming – Drops in class today.
12- Omixochitl – Trying grass – Drops in class today.
Race 6
8 – Brody’s Causeway – Won last race Gulfstream Park on the All-Weather surface – Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters ñ Hot Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days (5 2-0-1) – Lasix added.
7 – Shez Reckless – Debuting at Gulfstream after being off for more than 2 months – Trainer Larry Rivelli wins 40% with horses the take a 61–180-day layoff.
5 – Awesome Apeal – Won last race at Gulfstream Park at today 6 furlongs and shortens to 5-1/2 furlongs – Lasix added.
2 – Blushing Keylen – Showed early speed last race and finished 3rd vs tougher (on Dirt) – Should improve at the shorter distance – Lasix added.
Alternate:
4 – K Cottee
6 – Dolce Aprile
Race 7
4 – Leviosa – This is a hat trick horse after winning two races in a row going for a third – Has a high % winning trainer and Jockey
5 – Peachy Weachy won her debut race at Delaware in Oct 2021 – Has a decent workout on 12Jan 4f: 48.4 Bg5/16 – – Lasix added.
1 – Arrow Shape was beaten only 1-1/2 lengths (on AW) in last start- Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters
2 – Dignified was boxed and steady at the 1/16p finishing 3rd won her the previous race at Gulfstream and has a good workout of 4F workout on 19Jan GP 4f ft :47.4 B 5/22
Alternate:
6 – Candymeister
3 – Cajun Cousin
Race 8
8 – Systematic – Finished in the money in three out of five races winning one at Gulfstream Park. She is one for one at today’s distance.
7 – Mongolian Mission – Rank, bump, steady 1st turn and lost all chance – The trainer wins 24% of the time when running entries in claiming race.
3 – Rosa Star has finished in the money 60% of the time at Gulfstream – Returning to the turf and has the best turf speed among today’s starters
5 – Alpha Babe has been off for more than 2 months, but has been working out in preparation for this race – Drops in class today
Alternate:
1 – Miss Delicious
Race 9
10 – Easy Stride just missed winning the last two races – Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) – Highest last race speed rating (tie)
8 – Not So Easy Won last race at Gulfstream – Hot Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days (4 2-0-0)
1 – Papa Honorran finished 3rd vs similar in last race – Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) – Highest last race speed rating (tie)
7 – Ocean Ride won his last two race at Gulfstream Park
Alternate:
9 – Resident Liberal
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 1 Mile 70 yards AW: 62 races, 35 won by stks/closers, 7 w2w – PP: 1-7 fair, small drop 8+
4 – Stormy Stella – 3rd after a layoff, J/T L Saez/Jose D’Angelo, 40%, only drop 32-23, TPLRSP, Top EP/LP
5 – Cagua – top LP#s, fist Lasix, 9f works since last start, best form on AW
6 – Splicer – 1st off layoff, OK works, tr: Gilberto Zerpa 26% 46-90 days, 10% win/50% ITM
3 – Playa Inclusion – 2nd off break, flashed speed, 1st Lasix, much better fractions,
Race 2 – 7 Furlongs D: 19 races, 14 won by speed, 4 w2s – PP: inside 3 and 8+
2 – Pretty Rachel – by far top EP#s, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, LRSP>PAR, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10
3 – Chez Paree – decent work on Jan 22, top LP# by a good margin, hasn’t run well fresh, upgrade to Irad
5 – Time to Two Step – won last w2w, 3 SP# Increase, 3rd off bench, last 3rd of 3 best, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
4 – Dance Till Dawn – showed some early leg in last on dirt, 3(0-2-0) on fast, Top Pedigree, biggest DROP 54-22
Race 3 – 6 Furlongs D: 60 Races, 57 won by speed, 27 w2w – PP: Rail, inside 3 and 8+
6 – Artificial Intell – first time started, gets top jockey Luis Saez, OK works getting prepared
5 – Crooklyn – top Pedigree, best LP numbers by a decent margin,
7 – Ultimate Breeze – Tom Carley DROP 53-23
1 – Stacias Ruby – tough call with #3 GOSSIPING, you know what that means, taking Stacies Ruby’s bullet work as the tie breaker
Race 4 – 5 ½ Furlongs AW: 25 races, 18 won by speed, 5 w2w – PP: Rail, 8+ then 2-3 better than 4-7
5 – Chacalosa – 2nd off layoff, slight improvement post debut, Tr; Larry Rivelli 35% 2nd off, DROP 54-41
7 – Blame It On Rose – Fastest 1/4 Fractions, 3 SP Increases, 1st Lasix, TPLRSP# AW?
2 – Princess Cupid – big improvement race #2, been well bet in both starts, fav on debut, early pace with 1st Lasix, 3 works since last on Dec 23, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
4 – Ala Turka – won last with big effort, went to sidelines, only worry is might need a race
Race 5 – 7 ½ Furlongs Turf: 6 races, 4 won stkrs/closers, 0 w2w – PP: 2-3 or 8+
8 – Magnolia Road – should be better in 2nd off break, Tom Carley DROP 65-30
1 – Spooky Spice – biggest DROP 126.8-35, Top Pedigree, TOP EP/LP Combo if no 13
5 – Zambak – Tom Carley DROP 65-30, good work in her last, 1st Lasix, 1 of 2 that cost $50k
10 – Bravo Zulu – best early race # last out 1st turf, speed with 1st Lasix, Tom Carley Drop 60-30
Race 6 – 5 ½ Furlongs AW: 25 races, 18 won by speed, 5 w2w – PP: Rail, 8+ then 2-3 better than 4-7
8 – Brodys Causeway – TPLRSP#>Par, 1st Lasix, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, 2nd best EP/LP Combo
4 – K Cottee – been well bet in both starts, improved big time in race #2, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
5 – Awesome Apeal – 3rd off a layoff, 3rd was best in only 3 race cycle, Top Pedigree, Other with top EP/LP
6 – Dolce Aprile – 2nd off the break, Luis Saez upgrade, DROP 34-28, BEAT FAV, much better fractions in last
2 – Blushing Keylen – 3rd off a layoff, missed as chalk in last,
Race 7 – 5 ½ furlongs D: 11 races, 9 won by speed, 4 w2w – PP: 4-7 bias, inside 3 lower
4 – Leviosa – big EP advantage, Top Pedigree, 4 SP# increases mist Lasix w/speed,
2 – Dignified – finished 1 ½ lengths behind #4 last out, 5 SP #increases, top late pace #s
1 – Arrow Shape – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, one of 2 biggest DROP 54-39, 2nd best EP
3 – Cajun Cousin – good works getting ready, first Lasix with back speed
Race 8 – 1 1/16 miles Turf: 39 route races, 24 won by speed, 11 w2w – PP: Slight inside 3 bias
8 – Systematic – should be better in 2nd after a layoff, upgrade to Irad, 1 for 1 at the distance
1 – Miss Delicious – 1st off the claim for Tr; Michael Maker, 2nd off the bench should improve
7 – Raspberry Ballet – price with some good late pace, LRSP>PAR
4 – Mongolian Mission – 2nd start after a layoff, two strong workouts since last race
Race 9 – 1 Mile 70 yards AW: 62 races, 35 won by stks/closers, 7 w2w – PP: 1-7 fair, small drop 8+
7 – Ocean Ride – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, best races have been on all-weather, 3(1-1-0) at distance
1 – Papa Honor – 1st off the claim, 26% winner for trainer Gustavo Delgado, 3SP# Increases
10 – Easy Stride – tied for TPLRSP#, 3SP# Increases, strong late push. 4(0-2-1) at Distance
2 – On the Couch – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, 2nd go with Luis Saez, should as good in 3rd off bench
