Aqueduct Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Hawthorne Race Course – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free Aqueduct Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Aqueduct – 4-10-2025
Race 1 – Female
1 – Goldcrest – She won last her race at Aqueduct, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the claiming races he has a horse competing in and she has a high % winning jockey, and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Collect Dattt – She won last her race at Aqueduct, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – R Funny Bizness – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 63% of the races, winning 13% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as she has finished in the money in 60% of the races, winning 20% of the starts.
Longshot:
6 – Shezanarcticqueen – She ran 3rd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Maggie T
2 – Jackie the Joker
Race 2 – Female
1 – Roman Goddess – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Mad for Maddy – She has won two races out of the last three starts, she has a high % winning trainer and Lasix & Blinkers are added.
5 – Harlan’s Bond – She has a high % winning trainer and blinkers are added today.
Longshot:
4 – Fast Kimmie – She won her last her race at Saratoga, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
6 – Troubled Luck
3 – La Grotte
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,5/1A,4,5,6/2,4/2,4,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
4 – Dark Devil – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Frantic – He switches to a high % winning jockey, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden race to maiden claiming race a good 4F workout on Apr-03.
6 – Tears in Rain – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1A – Don Corleone – He finished in 2nd vs similar in his last start and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Pandemic Hero
2 – Party With Smarty
Race 4–
4 – Amundson – He finished in the money in his last six starts, winning four of the races and he switches to a high % winning trainer and he has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Tetsu – He ran 2nd in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the claiming races he has a horse competing in and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – He’smyhoneybadger – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Brew Pub – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he can improve while returning to a sprint.
Alternate:
1 – For Some Reason
6 – Bad Larry
Race 5–– Female
6 – Artemis Sound – She won last her last race at Aqueduct, she has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Scarborough Fair – She has won two races out of the last three starts, she has a high % winning trainer and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
2 – Quiet Confidence – She finished 3rd in her last race, her early speed running style helps her chances so the shorter distance is a plus and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
3 – I’m Kidding – She ran 2nd in her last three races and she can handle the distance.
Alternate:
7 – Dangerous Affair
1 – Graceful Rose
$.50 Pick 4: #2,3,4,6,7/1A,2/1,2/1,2,5,6,7 – Cost $50.00
Race 6
1A – Blown Cover – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Torpedo Run – He finished in the money in four races out of the last five starts, winning one race, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Messi the Magician – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a bullet 4F workout on Mar-22.
Longshot:
6 – Twirling Vine – He won last his race at Aqueduct and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – First Trumpet
Race 7- Female
1 – Pocket Queens – She won last her race at Aqueduct, she likes the distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Carmen’s Candy Jar – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, can improve while returning to a route and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Pretty Magical – She won last her race at Aqueduct and at today’s distance.
Longshot:
5 – Lady Rainicorn – She won last her race at Aqueduct, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the route races he has a horse competing in and she has a good 4F workout on Apr-05.
Alternate:
6 – Valtellina
Bet: $40.00 Win: 1 – $5.00 Exacta: 2,4,5,6/1 – $10.00 Exacta: 1/2,4,5,6
Race 8
5 – Lou – He finished 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 66% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Jerry’s Out – He finished in the money in his last four starts, winning one of the races and he has a bullet 4F workout on Mar-31.
7 – Just Licorice– He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Steel Vengeance – He won his last his race at Aqueduct and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Miles and Miles
Best Bet of the Day at Aqueduct Racing – 7th Race #1 – Pocket Queens
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 32% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-3 Fair, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
5 – COLLECT DATTT – should be pilot/co-pilot – better ATB and fractions in last
1 – GOLDCREST – win and place in two at the distance
4 – MAGGIE T – better ATB on last with a work between races
3 – R FUNNY BIZNESS – should get a great trip as the top C-Zone
Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 23% w2w – PP: Outside In
2 – MAD FOR MADDY – speed with first last in last – winner 2/3 at the distance 1 of 1 at AQ
1 – ROMAN GODDESS – chance to be better in the 3rd up – but has struggled at AQ 17/1-4-8
3 – LA GROTTE – 3SP increases in a row
5 – HARLAN’S BOND – tough call over the 4 + but consistently higher numbers
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Outside In
5 – FRANTIC – has to be on top as potential leader with top C-Zone and possible lone E
3 – PANDEMIC HERO – well bet in both starts – catching first Lasix and look at that last work
6 – TEARS IN RAIN – 2nd race parability
4 – DARK DEVIL – plenty of upside – TLRSP# +3
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 32% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-3 Fair, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
4 – AMUNDSON – highly consistent performer and resume says room for top effort in 3rd up
1 – FOR SOME REASON – likely pacesetter and PP are strong when he gets the lead
2 – TETSU – has a PAR RACE and has some solid works prepping
5 – HE’SMYHONEYBADGER – if the 1 doesn’t get the lead, he is biggest class dropper
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Outside In
3 – I’M KIDDING – very likely pacesetter – better in 2nd up? Distance 2/0-2-0 – taking a shot
6 – ARTEMIS SOUND – TLRSP# +5 – smoked in only race at AQ
2 – QUIET CONFIDENCE – only horse with a PAR RACE – should be forward with upside
4 – SCARBOROUGH FAIR – can never overlook tr Linda Rice – LONE PC
Race 6: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Small Discount, 8+ Same Bonus as Rail
4 – MESSI THE MAGICIAN – decent works between races OK off the bench – LONE YES
6 – TWIRLING VINE – by far best C-Zone and much better ATB in MCL 30k win
7 – MAJESTIC ARC – could be lone E and chance to be best in 3rd after a layoff
1A – BLOWN COVER – Terry ANGLE on the trainer scratching the other entry
Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 23% w2w – PP: Outside In
2 – CARMEN’S CANDY JAR – has the best mile time by about a second
1 – POCKET QUEENS – won two in a row – sizable gain in other 2nd up
5 – LADY RAINICORN – crushed in in last in first rout and 2nd race
6 – VALTELLINA – only horse with a PAR RACE – better ATB in last
Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 23% w2w – PP: Outside In
2 – STEEL VENGEANCE – EP that could be on the lead but doesn’t need it
1 – JERRY’S OUT – SIM FAV and has more than a 1 length TOTAL PACE edge
5 – LOU – better EP and Faster Fractions and drops in class – fastest 1 mile time
6 – MILES AND MILES – 3rd up and has one of the best times and upside
