Belmont @ the Big “A” Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Fair Meadows – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free Belmont @ the Big “A” Picks
Terry’s Picks:
Race 1-Female
3 – My Magic Wand – She has won three races out of her last four starts, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Sarir – She is owned and trained by Linda Rice, ridden by high % winning jockey Jose Lezcano and her best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
6 – My Two Sophia’s – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 3rd race off a layoff, and she likes the distance.
Longshot:
4 – Justthefactsjack – She has finished in the money in two out of three career starts.
Race 2-Female
5 – Embraceable Gal – She has finished in the money in his nine races out of the last ten starts, winning two races, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Snappin Buttons – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 70% of the races, winning 30% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as she has won the only start, she has had at today’s distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Khali Magic – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 64% of the races, winning 28% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 82% of the races and winning 45% of the starts.
Longshot:
1 – Fast and Frisky – She has finished in the money in five races out of eight starts at Aqueduct, winning two of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Mommasgottagun
4 – Racing Colors
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5,6/2,3,5,6,7/1,5/3,5 – Cost $50.00
Race 3
5 – Spirit Dragon – He ran 2nd in his debut race, and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 50% of the races when taking a horse up one class and he has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Remember the Chief – He finished 3rd in his last two starts, his early speed running style helps his chances so the shorter distance can help, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a good 4F workout on (Jun-20).
2 – Grey Ace – He has the highest last race speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie), Lasix is added and he has a good 3F workout on (Jun-21).
Longshot:
3 – My Swagg Daddy Lou – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Hoppertunity Wu
Race 4
1 – Senegal – He ran 3rd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, the rail post is winning at a 21% clip and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Hero’s Medal – He drops in class today, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters he has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the claiming races he has a horse competing in and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – I’m Solo N in Love – His has a high % winning trainer, his best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed and he has a good 4F workout on Jun-19 and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Mo for the King – He has a high % winning trainer, can improve while returning to dirt and Blinkers are off.
Race 5-Female
5 – New Issue – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the Maiden Claiming races he has a horse running in and she has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Silver Pearls – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the sprint races he has a horse competing in and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Sheer Will – She drops in class today, her breeding suggests she will like the grass, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden to maiden claiming race, can improve while returning to a sprint and she has a good 4F workout (Jun-19).
Longshot:
4 – Midnightloveaffair – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races when bringing a horse back to run after being 90+ days away, and Lasix is added.
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,5/2,6,9/1,2/2,4,8,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 6-Female
9 – Starlight Dancer – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Ashdale – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the Maiden Claiming races he has a horse running in and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Addagirl Addie – She has a high % winning trainer, she may improve in the 2nd start since her layoff and her best turf speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Longshot:
4 – Purest Performance – Her best turf speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
1 – Alice Fantastic
Race 7-Female
1 – Dolomite – She has finished in the money in nine races out of nine career starts, winning four of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – The Big Calhouna – She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she can handle the distance.
3 – Cupid’s Heart – She has finished in the money in her last ten starts, winning three races, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Tipple – She has finished in the money in four races out of five career starts, winning two of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Golden Degree
5 – Tricky Temper
Bet: $20.00 Win & $30.00 Place: 1 – $10.00 Exacta Box:1/2 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: 1/2,3,6
Race 8-Female
4 – Tahila – She has finished in the money in three races out of four career starts, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 100% of the races when using 1st time Lasix on a horse, she has the best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Willful Mama – She has finished in the money in four races out of eight career starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – High End – She has an early foot so the cut back in distance will help, she has a high % winning trainer who win 30% of the Maiden Sp Wt races he has a horse competing in and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Ultra Cameo – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
5 – Saratoga Snow
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #1 – Dolomite
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2+ Mostly Fair
3 – MY MAGIC WAND – only class dropper – SIM FAV and top PAR+ and a great work
5 – HILLERITO – TLRSP#+5 – track rise and more distance – questions to answer, Irad
4 – JUSTTHEFACTSJACK – likely pacesetter – better EP and Fractions
2 – SARIR – better early fractions and consistent performer
Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Inside Out, Strong Rail
1 – FAST AND FRISKY – strong rail – TIM 5/5 at the distance and Irad rides for the 1st time
5 – EMBRACEABLE GAL – consistent performer – Top TOTAL PACE – SIM FAV
6 – SNAPPIN BUTTONS – should be the pacesetter – better EP
3 – KHALI MAGIC – tends to come off the bench hot – like today – 3 works between races
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Rocks
5 – SPIRIT DRAGON – 2nd race improvement puts him well over PAR w/ 1st Lasix
3 – MY SWAGG DADDY LOU – 1ster vs noes and a few maybes, May 8 Back bullet 47.1
2 – GREY ACE – even money SIM FAV – consistent and 1st Lasix
6 – HOPPERTUNITY WU – 2nd race upside too – could be the pacesetter
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Inside Out, Strong Rail
5 – HERO’S MEDAL – by far biggest class dropper – at times stakes level LS
6 – I’M SOLO N IN LOVE – TLRSP#+3 – could benefit from cutting back in distance
1 – SENEGAL – distance and track fit – but likes to hang late
7 – MO FOR THE KING – will be on the lead with a 2 length ES edge
Race 5: 6 Furlongs Outer Turf – Bias: Early Speed, 44% w2w – PP: Strong Outside In
1 – SHEER WILL – MSW dropper – thankfully not on the rail
5 – NEW ISSUE – first time starter with solid breeding and OK works
3 – SILVER PEARLS – 3rd at this level last out in a wide trip – maybe likes return to grass
4 – MIDNIGHTLOVEAFFAIR – debut on turf works here – 1st Lasix helps
Race 6: 1 1/8 Miles Turf – Bias: 1 Race – Closer from 4-7
9 – STARLIGHT DANCER – TLRSP#+3 with a 1 length LS edge and should not be far behind
2 – ADDAGIRL ADDIE – decent chance to be better in the 2nd up – Z Pattern
5 – I HEARD SOMETHINGS – better ATB and popped in only other 2nd up – only dropper
4 – PUREST PERFORMANCE – last of the 3 YES horses with a weight break
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Rocks
1 – DOLOMITE – TLRSP# +3 – TOP PAR+ – ITM 6/6 at AQ and undefeated in 2 at the distance
2 – THE BIG CALHOUNA – winner 2 in a row – SIM FAV and better ATB with Irad
3 – CUPID’S HEART – Top TOTAL PACE – and fires off the bench – strong works between
6 – TIPPLE – won both of her races at AQ including one at 7 furlongs
Race 8: 6 Furlongs Outer Turf – Bias: Early Speed, 44% w2w – PP: Strong Outside In
4 – TAHILA – Only YES horse with Top TOTAL PACE of nearly 2 lengths – 1st Lasix helps
2 – HIGH END – 2nd race improvement and cutting back in distance could get it done
10 – PRACTICAL ROMANCE – boom or bust in the 3rd career race after stepping back a little in the second career start
5 – SARATOGA SNOW – some ES and gets 1st Lasix – been of since October – decent works
