Del Mar Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Evangeline Downs – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free Del Mar Picks
Terry’s Picks:
Delmar – 8-07-2025
Race 1-Female
4 – Fire Ile – She finished 2nd vs similar in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and she has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Little Tinker Elle – She drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse competing in, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters she has a high % winning jockey and she has a bullet 4F workout on Jul-27.
2 – Cheekwood – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Pride of Queens – She drops in class today, and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse competing in.
Alternate:
6 – Alluring Valentine
7 – Dragon Kat
Race 2-Female
6 – Shady Stripes – She ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in her only start as the heavily bet favorite in her debut and blinkers added today.
7 – Too Sassy – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, can improve while trying grass, and she has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Danzing Daisy – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a good jockey and a good 4F workout on Aug-01.
Longshot:
3 – Midnight Cowgirl – She is a first-time starter who has a high % winning jockey and she has a bullet 4F workout on Jul-23.
Alternate:
4 – Victoria’s Jewel
5 – Keep the Pavels
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6,7/2,7/2,7,8/1,2,3,4 – Cost $48.00
Race 3–Female
2 – Twilight Empire – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, she has the highest last race speed rating, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Sweet Hello – She has a high % winning jockey and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
3 – Ivory Moon – She drops in class today, and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the races with a horse’s 1st time competing at a route.
Longshot:
5 – One Arrow – She has won one race out of two starts at Del Mar, and at today’s distance.
Alternate:
6 – Violet Storm
Race 4–
7 – Tariff – He has won two races out of his last three starts, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Curvino – He drops in class today, switches to a high % jockey, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the races when shipping a horse in to compete and he has the best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
2 – Earned Not Given – He has won two races out of his seven career starts, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Typhoon Tommy – He has finished in the money in four races out of his eight career starts, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Brother Tony
1 – Backdoor Royalty
Race 5
1 – Ya’ll Come – He ran 3rd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and blinkers are added today.
4 – Crime Lord – He is a first-time starter who has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the dirt races a horse he trains runs in and he has a good 4F workout on Aug-01.
2 – Brunchandcrunch – He finished poorly in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Salient – He is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a good 5F workout on Jul-30.
Alternate:
6 – Kiss for Lulu
7 – Tiger to You
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4/6,9/1,7/2,3,6,7,8,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 6–
6 – Mr. Leasure – He won his last race at Del Mar, likes the turf finishing in the money in three races out of four starts, winning two of the races, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Russells Hustle – He is having a good year finishing in the money in 71%, winning 29% of the start, he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % jockey.
7 – Baldoro – He has finished 2nd in the last three races and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – De’ Medici – He finished 3rd in his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
5 – Dealers Special
8 – Smooth Salute
Race 7-Female
1 – Lady Gregory – She has finished in the money in nine races out of her last ten starts, winning two of the races, drops in class today, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Danzingwith Maxine – She has won her last two races in a row, she has a high % winning trainer, she has high % winning jockey Mike Smith and she has a good 3F workout on Aug-02.
5 – Young Love – She has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Blue Wildcat – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
6 – Eltonsingsanother
Bet: $40.00 Win: 1 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 1/7- $10.00 Exacta: 1/4,5,6,7
Race 8-Female
10 – Ms Brightside – She has finished in the money in four races out of her last five starts, winning one of the races, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Lady of Power – She drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the claiming races he has a horse running in and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Blue Oasis – She ran 2nd in her last race, drops in class today, she has the best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Coralgableskaylin – She ran 3rd in her last race, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the claiming races he has a horse running in she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Thirst for Passion
8 – Lady Lithesome
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #1 – Lady Gregory
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 3/8 w2w – PP: 1-3 None, 4-7 Best, 8+ Bonus
8 – CALL ME SUSIE – all noes – need to put the two first timers fist
7 – DRAGON KAT
3 – LITTLE TINKER ELLE – kind of hard to get past the last workout – 4f in 46.3 – just hope she didn’t leave her best on the backside – TLRSP+7
1 – PRIDE OF QUEENS – tough call over the 4, but only MSW dropper – all sorts of problems in debut
Race 2: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed, 47% w2w – PP: Rail None, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Best
6 – SHADY STRIPES – 6/5 Favorite in debut – hit PAR – any 2nd race improvement and it would take plenty to beat her
3 – MIDNIGHT COWGIRL – top rated 1ster – July 4th work – 4f in 46.4 – oooh, that’s fast
4 – VICTORIA’S JEWEL – 2nd rated 1ster and that last work of 4f in 47.3 works for me
1 – DANZING DAISY – tough call over the 7 – solid works and 3rd rated 1ster
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,7/2,3/1,4,7,8/3,4,7
Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
3 – IVORY MOON – Lone E – highly likely to be on the front and Top C-ZONE – how many times do I need that combo win before putting on top?
2 – TWILIGHT EMPIRE – by far top PAR+ – better EP and Fractions, SIM FAV, +6 TOTAL PACE
5 – ONE ARROW – gambler’s fallacy – cold jockey and trainer – does her best when forward – will be today and sooner or later the jockey or trainer has to heat up – right?
7 – SWEET HELLO – most back class at the distance – signs of life in last, a little faster final time
$20 Win: 3
$20 Exacta Box: 2,3
Race 4: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Big Inside Out
8 – CURVINO – SIM FAV – 1 of 2 YES horses, Top PAR+ , Tr Miller and Jy Hernandez win at 46% that’s strong – biggest class dropper
4 – BROTHER TONY – the other YES horse coming off MC 40 win – short resume says big pop potential in 3rd up
7 – TARIFF – has found his legs in 2025, has 4 semi hot works between races
1 – BACKDOOR ROYALTY – rail is too strong to ignore – tons of potential in just 4th race, better EP and 2nd up
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,4,7,8
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 1/11 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2-7 Discount, 8+ Big Edge
4 – CRIME LORD – 3.0 firster with strong last work – bullet and go
7 – TIGER TO YOU – 2nd rated firster with long odds and some really good works too
3 – SALIENT – 3rd rated firster and classic 5f work before heading to the track
1 – YA’LL COME – could be the favorite – been well bet both times – BTN FAV in last – money burner and rail stinks – if he beats me, he beats me
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,7/2,4,6,9/1,5/3,7,8,10
$0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,4,7
Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 2/6 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Best, 4+ Inside Out
6 – MR. LEASURE – 3 of his 4 turf races more than fit – stumbled badly in the lone off effort
9 – RUSSELLS HUSTLE – usually comes off the bench ready and will be rocking at the end
4 – DE’ MEDICI – been off since NOV – the back class is there – works are fast and drops
2 – CONCORD BRIDGE – SIM FAV – Top PAR+ , maybe ran too fast in last
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 1/11 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2-7 Discount, 8+ Big Edge
5 – YOUNG LOVE – TLRSP#+6 – SIM FAV – could be on the lead, doesn’t need it, 3rd up but first on dirt – ?
1 – LADY GREGORY – maybe the best horse with the worst post? Top TOTAL PACE
7 – DANZINGWITH MAXINE – HOF Mike Smith rides – won 3 of last 4 – some stiff works prepping, like 5f in 58.3 – that’s hot
6 – ELTONSINGSANOTHER – is another that can come off the bench ready to go – Tom Horse
Race 8: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 29% w2w – PP: Big Inside Out
3 – CORALGABLESKAYLIN – Inside post, TLRSP#+3 and Top TOTAL PACE
7 – LADY OF POWER – could improve in 2nd up and biggest class dropper
10 – MS BRIGHTSIDE – C’mon – everybody know Rispoli and Damato – but 4/0-0-0 of Del Mar Turf – excellent turf breeding though
8 – LADY LITHESOME – I think they think they had something here, got hurt, let’s see if my gut is right
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,7,8,10
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