Fair Grounds Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Laurel Park
Free Fair Grounds Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Fair Grounds – 11-28-2024
Race 1 -Female
3 – Emilyhasherturn – She has finished in the money in three out of the last five starts at the Fairgrounds, winning one of the races, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Jaydyn Cat – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the claiming races he has a horse running in, her early speed running style helps chances so can improve at the shorter distance.
2 – Copper Moon – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
5 – Sum Charm – She won her last race and she has a trainer who wins 28% of the claiming races he has a horse running in.
Alternate:
6 – Taken It
7 – Steal Me Over
Race 2
8 – Dream Scheme – He drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating, he has the best turf speed among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
12 – Deep Manhattan – He is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests he will like the grass and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Blue Chair Bay– He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 34% of the races when using 1st time Lasix and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
10 – Infinite Luck – He finished 2nd in his last race and Lasix is added.
Alternate:
4 – El Muheet
6 – Tom’s Magic
$.50 Pick 4: 8,9,10,12/1,2,3,4/3,4,8,9/8,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
3 – Kenmore West – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Aztec Gem – He has finished in the money in four out of his five starts at the Fairgrounds and the distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in four out of the six starts at today’s distance.
2 – Doolgaroux – He drops in class today, can improve while returning to dirt and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – You Good – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 5 starters, breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Louisiana Wildlife
5 – Who Is Chief
Race 4 -Female
9 – Candy Bar – She closed to finished 2nd beaten only a head in her last start, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Dona Illusion – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Ragtime Lady – She has finished in the money in four races out of the last five starts, winning one race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Mo Shiro – She has finished in the money in two out of the two starts at the Fairgrounds, winning one of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Nippy Star
8 – For Love and Honor
$.50 Pick 4: #3,4,8,9/8,9/1,2,4/4,5,6,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 5 -Female
9 – Mo Smoking – She has won two out of her last three starts, should improve while returning to dirt and she has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Sabra Tuff – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Ground Control – She has finished in the money in three out of the four career starts, winning one race, has a high % winning jockey and a good 4F workout on Nov-21.
Longshot:
2 – Betsy’s All In – She won her last race by a whopping 26-lenghts and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races when shipping a horse in to compete.
Alternate:
1 – Sue’s Little Zing
7 – Pat Hand Girl
Race 6
2 – Executor – He has finished in the money in three out of the three career starts, winning one race, has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Golden Afternoon – He ran 2nd in vs tougher his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Look to the Cross – He has finished in the money in three out of the four career starts, drops in class today winning one race, the rail post is winning at a19% and Lasix is added.
Longshot:
12 – Boss of All Bosses – He won his last race, he has a high % winning trainer, he has a good 4F workout on Nov-23 and Lasix is added.
Alternate:
3 – Clapping
6 – Curahee
Race 7
6 – Texas Cyclone – He is a first-time starter whose Sire wins 25% of the races with 1st time starters, Dam has 5 winners from 8 starters and 1 stakes winner, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a bullet 3F workout (Nov-22).
5 – Zoom – He is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance, he has a high % winning trainer and a good 5F workout on Nov-22.
4 – Chases Magic – He is a first-time starter whose Sire wins 17% of the races with 1st time starters, Dam has 1 winners from 2 starters and 1 stakes winner and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Map of Donegal– He ran 2nd in his debut race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Pretty Capable
8 – Tresillian
$.50 Pick 4: #2,4,5,6,7,8/10,8/1,7/1,5,10,12 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
10 – Steady On – He can improve while returning to a route, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters he has a high % winning trainer and blinkers are added today.
8 – Eff Thirty Five – He has finished in the money in six out of the last seven starts, winning four of the races, he has a high % winning trainer and has a good 4F workout on Nov-20.
3 – Higgins Boat – He finished 3rd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Realignment – He has won two out of three career races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Recker Point
4 – Red Road
Race 9
7 – Red Flag – He comes in from Delmar to try the Fairgrounds after winning his last three races in a row, he has a high % winning jockey and he has a good 5F workout on Nov-17.
5 – Montalcino – He has won both of his last career races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Bo Cruz – He won his last race, drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a good 5F workout on Nov-21.
Longshot:
11 – Champlin – He won his last race, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a good 4F workout on Nov-18.
Alternate:
9 – Komorebino Omoide
Bet: $24.00 Win: #7 – $2.00 Exacta Box: #5,7,10,11 – $4.00 Exacta: 7/5,10,11 – $5.00 DD: 1,7/1,5,10,12
Race 10
5 – Nine Part – He won his debut race, has the highest last race speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the Allowance races he has a horse running in and he has a high % winning jockey.
10 – Givemeasecond – He won his debut race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
12 – Benji Star – He has won one race out of three starts at the Fairgrounds and he can handle the distance.
Longshot:
1 – Yockey’s Drivethru – He won his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races when shipping a horse in to compete and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Alvarado Cat
6 – Garfish
Best Bet of the Day at Fair Grounds Racing – 9th Race – #7 – Red Flag
Rich’s Ranks
Fair Grounds Show Data Sheet (CLICK HERE)
Without looking at past performances, here are some suggested exactas just using the attached Data Show Sheet.
Race 1: Exacta Key Box: 2/3,4,5
Race 2: Pass – maybe small 7,8,9,12 Exacta Box
Race 3: Win 3 and Exacta Key Box: 3/1,6
Race 4: Exacta Key Box: 9/,4,5,8
Race 5: 2,8,9 Exacta Box
Race 6: Exacta Box: 2,4,6,7
Race 7: Exacta Box: 1,2,4,6
Race 8: Exacta Box: 1,3,10,12
Race 9: Exacta Box: 5,9,10,11
Race 10: Exacta Key Box: 5/2,3,10
