From dirt to turf, sprints to routes, today’s card offers multiple betting angles, and we’re breaking it all down with Smart Sheets to uncover the edge. Today’s show features: 🔹 Smart Sheets race-by-race analysis 🔹 Terry’s Best Bet 🔹 Early & Late Pick 4 strategy 🔹 Pace breakdowns and class analysis 🔹 Value horses and potential longshots Gulfstream can reward early speed in certain spots while turf routes often come down to trip and positioning. We’ll identify who fits today’s profile, where the pace pressure sits, and which horses may be overlays relative to their true chances. If you’re playing horizontals, verticals, or straight win bets, this breakdown is designed to help you structure your tickets with purpose. Drop your Best Bet in the comments — let’s cash at Gulfstream.
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Terry’s Picks
Gulfstream – 02-12-26
Race 1-Female
1 – Mi Amada – Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race as favorite last out; Trainer wins 25% with beaten favorites; Drops in class today; Jockey has strong win rate.
7 – Del Mar Sunrise: Finished 2nd last race, switches to a trainer with a 34%-win rate first after claim, drops in class, and is paired with a leading jockey.
5 – Nyfive – Finished 2nd last race; Features a top-percentage trainer and jockey; Good 4F workout (Feb-13).
Longshot:
4 – Colonial Sense – Finished 3rd last race; Features a top-percentage trainer and jockey; Blinkers added today.
Alternate:
2 – Striking Finale
8 – Lady Rockula
Race 2-Female
2 – Seeking a Prayer – Finished in the money in 3 races out of the last 4 starts at Gulfstream Park, winning 2 races; Has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Neodera – Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 7 career starts, winning 2 races; Drops in class today.
1 – Boot’s On the Moon – Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – My Anticipation – Drops in class today; Can go the distance.
Alternate:
6 – Reading Time
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,6,7/1,3/1,3/1,2,4,6,7 – Cost $50.00
Race 3
3 – Lomax – Drops in class today; Has high % winning trainer who wins in the 2nd race after a claim and Switches to high % winning jockey.
1 – Bernabeu – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Animated – Drops in class today; Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Frosted Punk – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Trainer has high win rates.
Alternate:
9 – Tapstick
5 – Numinous
Race 4
3 – Liam’s Song – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Eton – Finished 3rd vs tougher (on Turf) in last race; Drops in class today; Can improve at the shorter distance.
5 – Mr. Colossal – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Jockey have high win rates.
Longshot:
2 – Hillbilly Bob – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race, winning the previous start at Gulfstream Park; Has high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Esperanzito
4 – Message of Hope
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,5/1,2,4,6/3,7/2,3,7,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
4 – Brittany’s Way – Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 6 starts, winning 2 races; Highest last race speed rating; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Will Reign – Drops in class today; Has high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races in the 1st race after a claim; Bullet 4F workout (Feb-6).
6 – Phoebeinwonderland – Has high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races in the 1st race after a claim; Has high % winning jockey; Good 3F workout (Feb-09)
Longshot:
2 – Sunna – Finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance.
Alternate:
7 – Girl in Blue
Race 6
7 – Keep On Moving – Finished in the money in 4 races out of the last 8 starts, winning 2 races at Gulfstream Park; Jockey have high win rates.
3 – Dune Road – Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 13% of the starts; can handle the distance, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 17% of the starts.
1 – Vigano – Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
8 – Grim Reaper – Drops in class today; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Race 7
2 – Italian Wine – Won his last race at Gulfstream Park; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Lasix added.
7 – Esoooo – Won last race at Gulfstream Park; Best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters; Bullet 3F workout (Jan-23).
8 – Kazooza – Won his last race at Gulfstream Park; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – I’m Sam – Finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race; Can go the distance.
Alternate:
6 – Chalky White
4 – Chimuelo
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,7,8/3,4,6,7/4,7/2,3,5 – Cost $48.00
Race 8-Female
6 – Frosted Kisses – Finished in the money in 5 races out of the last 6 starts, winning 1 race Has a high % winning jockey.
7 – My Blessing – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Acheron – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Pretty Shy: Finished in the money 3 times in last 4 starts; trainer has a 38%-win rate with first-time horses. Blinkers added.
Alternate:
2 – Giddy Up Baby
Race 9-Female
7 – Kapoor – Has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Chatter – Finished 2nd in last race; Features a top-percentage trainer and jockey.
6 – Merry Madison – Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Isla Grande – Won her debut race in Argentina; Features a top-percentage trainer and jockey; Lasix added.
Alternate:
2 – Arami’s Factor
5 – Rock the Rainbow
Bet: $20.00 Win: 7 – $10.00 Exacta Box:4/7 – $10.00 Exacta: 7/3,4,6- $5.00 Exacta Box: 4,6,7
Race 10-Female
3 – Spinning Class – Switches to a high % jockey; Has a high % winning trainer; Drops in class today; Highest last race speed rating.
2 – She’s Chloe – Finished 3rd vs similar in only start; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Thames: Drops in class; trainer wins 19% moving horses from maiden to maiden claiming; shares fastest turf speed today; top jockey riding.
Longshot:
7 – Elektra King – Finished 3rd in last race; Features a top-percentage jockey; Blinkers added today.
Alternate:
4 – Added Touch
1 – Basilica Light
Best Bet of the Day at Aqueduct – 9th Race – #7 – Kapoor
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Closers, 24% w2w – Rail Fair otherwise Outside In
1 – MI AMADA – fairly steady performer – OK works – Irad
2 – STRIKING FINALE – heavy SIM FAV – better EP and fractions in last – TLRSP#+3
5 – NYFIVE – stand out C ZONE –
7 – DEL MAR SUNRISE – maybe out front – also better EP and Fractions
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs AW – Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Outside In
6 – READING TIME – TLRSP# +3 – steady with some upside
1 – BOOT’S ON THE MOON – another C ZONE stand out
4 – SPEIGHTFULELECTION – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE
3 – NEODERA – tough call over the 2 – but could be the pacesetter – but both red flag races in last
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,4,6/1,3,4,10/1,3/1,2,6,7
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards AW – Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
1 – BERNABEU – SIM FAV – Top PAR +
3 – LOMAX – TLRSP# and 5 ways better
10 – ONE MORE DUKE – going to be out front with Top Total Pace
4 – ANIMATED – 3 SP# increases – Yes Horse better EP
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards AW – Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
3 – LIAM’S SONG – TLRSP# +9 – Better ATB – maybe pacesetter – only 3rd race
1 – ETON – Top TOTAL PACE and SIM FAV – super Strong PAR+
4 – MESSAGE OF HOPE – better LP and top C ZONE – be it light – 2nd up
2 – HILLBILLY BOB – caught a price with this yesterday – only horse with better EP/Fractions
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3/1,2,7/2,7,8/2,3,5,6,7
Race 5: 5 Furlongs Turf – Early Speed, 50% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Best, 8+ Bad
1 – WILL REIGN – clearly been in versus better – recent works might show why – better EP/Fractions big drop
2 – SUNNA – better ATB – shortening up helps – 1st turf is the question
7 – GIRL IN BLUE – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE
6 – PHOEBEINWONDERLAND – tough call over a few others – tr hits at 27% 1st after claim
$5 Exacta Key Box: 1/2,4,6,7
Race 6: 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, 21% w2w – PP: Outside In
8 – GRIM REAPER – SIM FAV and TOP TOTAL PACE – 3rd up with upside
7 – KEEP ON MOVING – most consistent and catches Irad today
2 – JOEY MUSCLES – out front with standout C ZONE
3 – DUNE ROAD – tough call over the 1 – but better numbers across the board
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs AW – Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Outside In
5 – COPERNIUM – ONLY YES with major ES edge – and drops – CYA bye bye
7 – ESOOOO – TLRSP# +6 and Top TOTAL PACE
3 – I’M SAM – maybe-1 that drops in class – better in 2nd up?
2 – ITALIAN WINE – High C ZONE with some upside – better ATB
$0.50 Pick 4: 5,7/2,4,6/3,4,6,7/2,3,5,8
$5 Exacta Key Box: 5/2,3,6,7
Race 8: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – Stalkers, 21% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – ACHERON – Lone E SIM FAV on the Lead and +50% PAR+
6 – FROSTED KISSES – 3rd up with a couple of decent works between
2 – GIDDY UP BABY – too big a LP edge to ignore + 10 and Top TOTAL PACE
7 – MY BLESSING – been off since April – decent enough works
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Outside In
7 – KAPOOR – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE +5 – by far best PAR+
3 – ISLA GRANDE – invader from Argentina – won down there by 10
6 – MERRY MADISON – comes in from CD – usually translates and gets Irad
4 – CHATTER – YES horse with solid C ZONE rerun last race is enough
Race 10: 1 Mile Turf – Stalkers/Closers, 20% w2w – PP: Strong rail, 2/3 Worst, 4+Fair
8 – QUEEN MCKINZIE – Top TOTAL PACE +9 – YES horse on biggest drop
2 – SHE’S CHLOE – 2nd race parability way past PAR
5 – THAMES – MSW dropper that seems to be able to run multiple styles
3 – SPINNING CLASS – MSW Dropper with Irad
$0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,8/2,3,5,8/1,2,3,5,8,9
