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Churchill Downs Horse Racing Tips

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Horse Racing Today – Churchill Downs Picks – Thursday, June 2, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Tom and Rich discuss…

Horse Racing Picks

Churchill Downs Full Card Picks

Terry’s Belmont Park Best Bet

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Churchill Downs Horse Racing Tips and Analysis

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1 – 6 ½ Furlongs, 20 races, 14 won by speed, 4 w2w -PP Strong rail bias, 2-7 a little better than par, 8+ yet to win

2 – BRUNELLA – won her last by 5 ¾ lengths, better in the first half mile, maybe geared down a touch at the end

1 – TAKE CHARGE ERICA – resume says there is potential for strong gains in race 2 off the bench, but 6/0-1-0 at CD

6 – GIRLS A BULLET – ITM 7/2-2-2 at the distance, been through a claiming merry go round, should be the one of the strongest at the end

5 – DARLENE STRONG

4 – TAPALONG

3 – DOUBLE DAWN

 

Race 2 – 5 ½ Furlongs, 6 races, 5 won by speed, 1 w2w – PP: rail fair, 2/3 way underperform, 8+ best, 4-7 bonus

2 buckets, going all first times expecting one to win

 

2 – BOXSTER – maybe I am nuts, but May 30 work of 3f in 34.2? That’s fast, his last four workouts were all very good – Bejarano gets off the 6 and 7 to ride here

1 – CURLY JACK – two bullet works in a row at Keeneland,

8 – EL CERRITO – $370k horse, by far the most expensive in the field, works are OK, but not as good as the first two

4 – PERFECT PRANK – another with good works and breeding that suggests he’ll have some early punch

5 – CIGARETTE BOAT

7 – MO’S TREASURE

6 – MABUHAY

 

Race 3 – 1 Mile, 13 races, 12 won by speed, 3 w2w -PP: rail and 8+ underperform, 2/3>4-7

10 – HESTON – drops in 2nd start off the claim, noticeable SP# increase in only other 2nd start, better fractions in last

1 – LEVEE PROUD – not a fan of the rail, but Kenneth McPeek won 6/10 dropping 2+ classes and 29% in second starts with a horse

2 – PRINCE OF GLORY – drops in class, in last race ran the same 6f time at 1 1/16 miles as 6f, trainer Paul McGee wins at 23% in 3rd starts off the break

9 – CHROME’S RIGHT – Tyler G is tonight’s TPE guest, last time I didn’t play the guest it cost me. TG rode this horse 2 back for a 2nd place at GP

6 – THISPOINTINTIME

3 – MAJOR CAM

13 – CONSIDER

 

Race 4 – 1 Mile Turf, but rain is expected, 8 races, 6 won by speed, 4 w2w -PP: rail to par, 2-7 underperform, 8+ bonus 

8 – TWIRLING PATTI – TLRSP#, drop MSW to MCL – 19% on the drop, , tried CD turf before at 1m, 2nd by a head

11 – LEAD ME – slightly improved in 2nd career start, debuted at 6f, 1 1/16 miles last out, should be better in 2nd route, two works between races – best LP#s

1 – ONE FULL MOON – better times for ¼, ½ and 6f times at 1m compared to 6 ½, bullet workout on May 18th and then another good 4f work on May 27

9 – COLONEL ABY B – if the 15 doesn’t get in, high floor/low ceiling horse, should run well enough to factor and has best late #s behind the 11

5 – DEVIOUS

3 – DILMUNIA

 

Race 5 – 6 Furlongs, 37 races, 26 won by speed, 13 w2w – PP: Rail just 3 winners, 2+ play fair

4 – OLD PHO – last race was better than it ended with big gains in the first ½ miles, expecting a more complete effort in 2nd off the bench

3 – BELIEVING – limited resume says she’ll be at her best in the 3rd start off the break

1 – EPICUREAN – want to rank higher, but the rail just isn’t winning at the distance, TLRSP#, Distance 5/0-3-1

7 – GORMAN – has some early pace and gets Lasix for the first time

2 – FRACING NASTY

6 – PISTOL

 

Race 6 – 6 ½ Furlongs, 20 races, 14 won by speed, 4 w2w -PP Strong rail bias, 2-7 a little better than par, 8+ yet to win

5 – TANGLED EMOTIONS – biggest drop, TLRSP# on grass, cut back in distance and moves to dirt, getting 1st time blinkers,  a decent work between races

1 – OUT WORK’N – strong rail bias, it could be wet tonight, had a fast work on mud May 24, 47.4

3 – TEO – major 2/4f improvement in his last, a maintenance work between, carried his speed longer in last and could be better in 2nd off the bench

6 – URBAN VANCOUVER – the first time starter with the best works, IMO, and doesn’t have much to beat beyond the top three

9 – LOOKINFOREXCITEMEN

8 – AMAZING ROCKET

2 – WHISKEY ROAN

4 – MAD ADAM

 

Race 7 – 1 1/16 Miles Turf, 11 races, 6 won off the pace, 1 w2w -PP: Rail and 8+ big bonus, 2/3 way under underperform, 4-7 slightly underperform

8 – ABSAM – 1st off the claim for trainer Michael Maker, 54 winners in 200 tries, drops in class here

3 – HIGHESTDISTINCTION – bullet work on May 26 in the mud, and a decent work before that on May 18

5 – OPRY –hasn’t races since September, Eddie C angle, mixed record after returning from a longish break

1 – KINGMEISTER – rail with speed, ran his best LP# last out and could step forward in 2nd off the bench

2 – LEBLON

7 – POLICY OPTION

4 – KOUFAX

 

Race 8 – 7 Furlongs, 14 races, 9 won by speed, 4 w2w -PP: Inside out bias

5 – PHAROAH’S HEART – missed as the favorite in her last, tr Steven Asmussen rebounds at 25%, a lot of good workouts since last start

6 – MINUTE WALTZ – been on the bench since November 21, but CD is the right place to come back 5/1-1-3

9 – BE LIKE WATER – not the biggest fan of MDW winner in 9th try, but TLRSP# and tr Victoria Oliver wins 28% following MDN win

4 – FLASHY CHARGE – got off to slowish start in last and still ran some of her best fractions, 1 trip on a wet track and is lone win and it was at CD

7 – LAYNLOMAKNDOUGH

8 – SOCIAL DILEMMA

2 – THANOZAPPER

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