Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Churchill Downs Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Picks with the Professor’s Parlay of the Day
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Delaware Park
Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks
Charles Tango Cash’s Picks
1. 7,3,2,6
2. 4,5,2,1a
3. 3,2,1,7
4. 9,5,1,6
5. 7,2,6,3
6. 5,4,3,7
7. 5,1,7,6
8. 2,3,5,1a
9. 3,12,4,5
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 7 Furlongs
7 – PLEASE BE KIND – has a ++2/4 edge versus the experienced horses, TLRSP#, Drops in class, tr Paul McGee winner 35% MSW to MCL
3 – SOMEBODY LOVES ME – has a ++LP advantage & EP/LP versus the experienced horses
5 – LITTLE SISTER SUE – 1st time starter with bullet and go, Florent Geroux rides, hmm!
6 – BRAGANZA – 1st timer w/ real nice workout on September 23 – like the July 23rd work too
Race 2 – 1 1/16 Miles
1A – CENTURION – has the top LP, could be better in 3rd off the bench, most consistent performer
5 – KEEPCALMCARRYON – TLRSP# was at CD, 25f works since last race, should be fit, 1st time gelded
4 – ICARUS – 1st off the claim for tr Thomas Amoss 19% winner, some better fractions last out, maybe better in 2nd off the bench, decent CD works for 1st CD run
6 – DEEP STATE – drops in class, distance no issue 2/0-1-1, 1st time claiming for tr Brian Lynch 25% winner, lone CD race was OK, works just OK too – concerning
Race 3 – 1 Mile
2 – WICKED SECRET – Left Arrow Horse, Julien Leparoux rolling so far at CD, gets off the 1 to ride to stay here, hmmm?
1 – PRINCELY – way back at the start of his last, strong rally, needs a better start
3 – LET ME LOVE YOU – better fractions in last on turf at KD, pressed on dirt in debut, expecting more today
5 – OVERLY D’ORO – 2nd start was good at CD, better 2/4 pace#s in last, but Belterra?
Race 4 – 6 Furlongs
8 – JESUIT – LS – CD 2/1-1-0, some decent works at CD, Mike Smith angle
1 – ATRAS – left arrow horse, flipping from turf to dirt – 30% winner for tr Brad Cox, likely to move forward in R2 off the break, but 2/0-0-0 at CD
9 – TRAINER PLEASE – +EP/LP edge, flashed speed on Santa Anita dirt, good Keeneland works getting ready to run on dirt again after the last 8 on grass
6 – FRISCO LINE – 1st off the claim for tr Brittany Vanden Berg, hits at 34%, not a fan of MCL 10 riser, but bullet and go – let’s rip
Race 5 – 7 ½ Furlongs
4 – ABSOLUTE LOVE – BB – 5 SP# increases, crushed in the last 2 at CD, off since June 29, two real nice works on Aug 28, Sep 4, a pair of maintenance works since, CD 16/5-2-4, Best CD#s
1 – AWESOME INDRA – 1st start with Saffie Joseph, jr, 23% angle, a pair of real fast works at Toga getting ready
3 – ENCHANTED NILE – one for one at CD, ITM 10/3-1-4 on a fast track, Distance 7/3-1-1
2 – MOHAYLADY – tough call over the 7, lone closer in a field of EP and P horses – should pick off a lot of speed horses as they fade
Race 6 – 7 Furlongs
5 – OURNATIONONPARADE – TLRSP#, a pair of strong works, including bullet in last, should remain sharp
3 – SUPREMACY – strong CD#s, 1st time claiming for tr Brad Cox, 28% angle
2 – WAYAKIN – drops in class, last 3 at CD – two huge wins and a second by 3/4s, most likely improves in 2nd off the break
6 – OUTLIER – tough call over the 1, but all or nothing at CD 5/3-0-0, good work at CD training track
1 – ASH FLAT
Race 7 – 6 Furlongs
5 – CAMP AKEELA – Chris P angle for maidens, MSW to MCL – 27% winner for tr Thomas Amoss
10 – STAR POSE – another MSW to MCL dropper for D Wayne Lucas, some really nice works between races, her best by far
7 – JOB’S NOT FINISHED – looking at the August 27 and September 2 works
6 – TIME FOR CHAMPAGNE – bullet and go first time, 3f in 35.3 is fast
Race 8 – 1 1/8 Miles
1A – KITTANSETT – flipping from turf to dirt 27% for tr Paulo Lobo, ++LP and + EP/LP, 1 for 1 at CD at 1 m, extra distance helps today
3 – INTREPID HEART – drops from 200k NGSTK, CD 9/2-3-1, 19f of works since Aug 28
2 – WEST WILL POWER – TLRSP#, consistently high performer, triple digits 3 of last 4 – only 3 hit 100 but just once
5 – HELIUM – should be very competitive at this level, won his first three races, a bunch of 2nds and 3rds since
7 – ETHICAL JUDGEMENT
Race 9 – 1 1/16 Miles
4 – IBERVILLE – twice at the distance 2/1-1-0, top EP/LP combo
3 – ICE BLAST – a lot of deviation in performances, can run away with this at his best or finish last at his worst
13 – TONAL IMPACT staying in claiming ranks after a win for tr Chris Hartman – 24% winner
8 – VASARIANO – at some point will take all the bullet works from the training track to the real track
Churchill Pace and Post Position Report
Churchill PP and Pace Worksheet 9-28-22
Churchill Downs Pace Worksheet 9-28-2022
