Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Delaware Park Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Presque Isle Downs
Delaware Park Horse Racing Tips and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race #1
7 – Midnight Trick – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race receiving the highest last race speed rating and has the best dirt speed among today’s starters.
3 – Shoot Themessenger – He didn’t seem to like the turf and has a trainer who wins 21% of the time when going from turf to dirt, plus he makes a massive drop-in class today- He has high % winning jockey Jeremy Rose.
5 – Rayo Negro – He drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Lucky for Shore – He was eased and walked off in his debut race, but I will give him another chance as he was well bet in debut and jockey Jaime Rodriguez is in the irons.
Alternate:
4 – Creative Magic
Race#2
1 – Visual Artist – He drops in class today has a high % winning trainer and jockey who in the last 14 days has this record (9 3-1-3).
5 – Goodluckchuck – He has won two races in a row going for a hat trick, he won his last race at Charles Town and drops in class today.
6 – My Man Pots N Pans – He has finished in the money in his last four races, winning one of the starts – He should improve while returning to dirt and has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Mystic Link Will – He comes in from Tampa Bay Dows to try Delaware Park, should improve while returning to a route and the Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (2 2-0-0).
Race 3
3 – Maestria – She returns from Gulfstream after finishing eleventh when lugging out and bobbling at the start – Her trainer/jockey in the last 14 days has this record (4 3-1-0) and a good 4F workout (Jun-04).
8 – My Thoughts – She returns to Delaware the track of her last win and trying turf for the first time, but her breeding suggests she will like the grass and her Dam has produced 2 Turf winners – She drops in class today and the trainer wins 50% of the time when his entry races for the 1st time on grass – Lasix added today.
2 – Miranda’s Desmond – She comes in from Laurel to try Delaware Park for the first time and returns to turf where she has done better in the past in addition she switches to a high winning % jockey.
5 – She’s a Big Deal – She has a high % winning jockey, the trainer wins 20% of Allowance races he enters a mount in and trainer/jockey in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-1).
Race 4
7 – Tappin Josie – She ran 2nd vs similar in her only start and was well bet in her debut – The trainer wins 28% of the time when taking a horse from a maiden race to a maiden special weight race.
2 – Istria – She has a decent workout of May 26th, and the trainer wins 18% of the time when taking a horse from a maiden race to a maiden special weight race.
5 – All About Me – She is a first-time starter, her Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter, breeding suits today’s sprint distance, the trainer wins 18% of the time in dirt starts and she has a good 4F workout onJun-08.
9 – Lucky Freedom – She is a first-time starter, and she has Trainer in the last 14 days has this record (4 3-0-0).
Alternate:
3 – True Queen
Race 5
11 – Borgobythesea – He likes Delaware Park finishing in the money in all three races he has competed in, winning two of the starts and finished 3rd vs similar in last race at Delaware Park.
10 – Dreamin of Seville – He has finished in the money in four out of the last five races, winning one of the starts and finishing 3rd in his last race at Delaware Park.
2 – Threeohtwocassie – He is perfect at Delaware Park winning four out of four starts – He has done well on the turf winning eight out of thirty starts, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and the trainer has in the last 14 days won three out of four starts.
6 – Prince of Caps – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race and has a trainer who wins 29% of the time when bringing back a beaten favorite to race again.
Alternate:
3 – Jag
Race 6
4 – Raise a Speights – She has finished in the money in all three of her career races, winning her last start at Delaware Park.
2 – Life Is a Banquet – She tried Keenland and ran a disappointing race and now returns to Delaware Park where she won her last race by 23 lengths – She switches to a high % winning jockey and drops in class today.
6 – Serifos – She won her last race at Pimlico and now is trying Delaware Park for the first time.
5 – Windcracker – She ran 2nd in last race, switches to a high % jockey and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
3 – Grunder’s Call
Race 7
8 – Seduce – She likes the turf finishing in the money in two out of two starts – She has a high % winning jockey and ran 2nd vs similar in her last race.
10 – Etheric – She is a deep closer finishing in three career races in second or third – She has the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Aioli – She is trying grass for the first time, finished 3rd vs tougher and drops in class today.
4 – Culdee – She had trouble in her last race and finished 6th, breeding suggests she will like the grass, Dam has 8 winners from 10 starters and 5 Turf winners, and she drops in class today.
Alternate:
5 – Solidarity
6 – Morethanastorm
Race 8
3 – Chilling Secret – He ran 2nd in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Stalking – He ran 2nd in his last race and should improve at the longer distance.
8 – Gunhand – He comes in from Pimlico to try Delaware Park for the first time and returns to dirt after a bad turf race try.
4 – Nantucketer – He ran 2nd for the third time in a row, in his last race he got the highest last race speed rating and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Special Meister
2 – Chief Charlie
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 6 Furlongs, 19 races, 14 won by speed, 7 w2w – PP: heavy rail bias, 2-7 fair, 8+ no wins
5 – RAYO NEGRO – drops in class, showed some EP in debut, could improve in race 2
7 – MIDNIGHT TRICK – TLRSP# by a wide margin, going to require major step up from other to beat him
3 – SHOOT THEMESSENGER – taking a drop in class too, flips from turf to dirt and had some EP on turf last out, tr Richard Hendricks hits at 21% Turf to dirt
6 – LUCKY FOR SHORE – is taking too big of a drop to ignore, was 4-1 in MSW 72k debut and not to the bottom of the barrel, suspicious but see too big to ignore
Race 2 – 1 Mile 70 Yards. 4 races, 100% speed, 2 w2w – PP: rail bias, 4-7 bias, 2/3 underperform, 8+ no wins
1 – VISUAL ARTIST – drops in class and has the Jaime Rodriguez/Jamie Ness combo that hits at 30%, good works since last race, Eddie C angle
5 – GOODLUCKCHUCK – won two in a row at Charles Town on the lead, maintenance work out since, distance 6/3-2-0
6 – MY MAN POTS N PANS – is always close at the end, resume says he’ll be better in 3rd after a layoff
7 – MYSTIC LINK – ships in from TB, tr John Rigatteri hitting at 28% with shippers
Race 3 – 5 Furlongs Turf, 4 Races, 50/50, 1 w2w -PP: 1 from 2/3, 3 winners 8+
7 – PROPER MANNERS – Delaware 5/1-2-1, better pace#s in first off the bench, usually as good or better in race #2 after a layoff
8 – MY THOUGHTS – going to take a crack here, has Edge, 1st Lasix, tr Tim Woolley winner 4/8 first grass, Jeremy Rose not riding many but 12/4-2-0 when he does
2 – MIRANDA’S DESMOND – is dropping in class looking for a check, has some strong EP#s and better than average late legs for this crew
3 – MAESTRIA – drops for a 100K non graded, 1st on grass, 19% winner tr Cathal Lynch, really working out fast
Race 4 – 5 Furlongs, 3 races, 100% speed, 2 w2w -PP: 4-7 been the strongest
5 – ALL ABOUT ME – has the best workouts of any of the 1st time starters
7 – TAPPIN JOSIE – lone experienced horse with a decent debut, 9/2, plenty of EP, but likely to be very low odds
2 – ISTRIA – tr Cathal Lynch 24% with MSW, smoking at Delaware to start 13/7-2-1
4 – TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK – looking at the May 14th work of 4f 49.2, second best of 15, looks a lot better than most of what the rest have put on paper
Race 5 – 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf, 7 races, 6 won by speed, 4 w2w – PP: Inside 3 dominating
1 – READY REWARD – is one for one on Delaware Turf, tie TLRSP# and Drops in class on the high win rate rail. Just needs to run back 3 races to that Delaware turf win
3 – JAG – drops in class and has his best LP#s in his last 10 races, resume says a big pop is possible in round two off the bench
10 – DREAMIN OF SEVILLE – been facing much tougher, but has been off since October, but tends to run well off the bench
2 – THREEOHTWOCASSIE – forget what you see on paper, he is 4 for 4 on Delaware grass, has just 4 wins in 34 races on anything or anywhere else
Race 6 – 1 Mile, 16 races, 9 won off the pace, 1 w2w – PP 4-7 most prominent, just 1 from the rail, 0 from 8+ and 2/3 slightly underperform
5 – WINDCRACKER – comes in for OP where he ran TLRSP vs stronger company and improved fractions
4- RAISE A SPEIGHTS – improved in each of his three starts, much improved pace#s in first half mile of last effort
2 – LIFE IS A BANQUET – last race was brutal, sine he’s worked very well, looks like he’ll go back to his form in the first three career starts, a lot of EP and try to hang on at the end, short field help
3 – GRUNDER’S CALL – debut fits, problems in career race 2 with in race problems, going long for the first time and could be the pacesetter
Race 7 – 1 1/16 Mile Turf, 6 races, 50/50, 2 w2w -PP: all winners 4+
8 -SEDUCE – just missed at this level in her last, could make up the difference in her second start following a long layoff
10 – ETHERIC – come in from Tufway Park, Aqueduct and Laurel, triple track drop, will be way back and try to close. Drops in class as far as purse money goes
4 – CULDEE – track dropper from AQ, TB and GP, trying grass for the 1st time, Christophe Clement horse so you have to think he should take to grass
5 – SOLIDARITY – we’ll take a shot with the 200K first time starter with good works
Race 8 – 1 Mile, 16 races, 9 won off the pace, 1 w2w – PP 4-7 most prominent, just 1 from the rail, 0 from 8+ and 2/3 slightly underperform
4 – NANTUCKETER – comes in from TB and has a decent work at Delaware, TLRSP# and expecting a bump on the track drop
6 – SPECIAL MEISTER – track dropper for GP, concerning that the works are bad at Delaware too, but this will be the softest bunch he’s faces, if he can’t handle this, then…
1 – STALKING – could rank this one higher, but the rail has just 1 win in 16 races, but he was much better in the 2nd half of his last race
5 – TINY TIN – tr Jose Ramirez won 3/8 2nd start after a claim, tough call over the 2, but has reason to be better in 2nd start after a layoff
