Newmarket Horse Racing Picks and Analysis
WTH has Tom gotten rich into this week? A bunch of 2-year-olds, a field of 30+ horses and maidens at Newmarket Racecourse. What a way to return to Foreign Fridays after a late summer vacation.
Race 2: Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes
Race 3: Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes
Race 4: Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes
Race 5: bet365 Cambridgeshire
Race 6: Blandford Bloodstock Maiden Fillies’ Stakes
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track of the Day: https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Newmarket Horse Racing Picks
22 to 1 Tom’s Newmarket Tips and Commentary
RACE 1
British Stallion Studs EBF “Jersey Lily” Fillies’ Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 7f
9 – Geo
4 – Shining Pearl
8 – Royal Equerry
RACE 2
Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 (2yo) 1m
5 – Puppet Master
We are still determining who will ride this horse (I think it will be Ryan Moore), but he won his second start, going over one mile by four lengths. In his first race, he got going later but only managed a second. With a strong effort here, could he be headed to Del Mar in a few weeks?
6 – Royal Playwright
After winning his first start by three lengths, he returned to run third in a group three race at seven furlongs and had issues initially. Many factors suggest that he’s a horse wanting to run longer distances, and her other foals had some success doing just that.
7 – Wimbledon Hawkeye
He has made three reasonable efforts but only won the novice race by a neck on the all-weather. His last two races have been in group company, and he came up short in both. All those races were at seven furlongs, so adding distance may be what this horse needs.
RACE 3
Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f
5 – Lake Victoria
A winner of three in a row and won at the Curragh in a group one race. Her first three races were at seven furlongs; today, they drop her down in distance. It’s an exciting move if they are thinking of Breeder’s Cup Juvenile Sprint, but she needs to win today. Moore/O’Brien with a good, undefeated horse.
8 – Rayevka
She won her last race at six furlongs on the soft going at Chantilly. She ran well in her first race, running second by a neck on the heavy going. It is attractive to move shipping in and let’s see what happens.
6 – Leovanni
She won at Royal Ascot impressively, but her last run was not so good overall. She ran third and kept up with the leaders. This was her race at six furlongs, and I think she needs the race before putting in her best effort, which will be today.
RACE 4
Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Colts) Cl1 (2yo) 6f
7 – Shadow Of Light
He won his first two races at six furlongs and the novice and maiden levels. Stepping up to group 2, he ran a good race but did not make a solid effort, but he still ran second. Buick returns to ride, and this will be a winning effort.
8 – Whistlejacket
He’s been the favorite in all of his six starts. The last run was a reasonable effort at Deauville by three quarters of a length. He was beaten by the favorite, running in the early race. Will he run strongly again today or running in the money.
3 – Defence Minister
He’s undefeated after two starts and improved off his first start, but this is a big step up from the novice level. The last race was on the good to soft going, and he missed the start, sat fourth, and came on for the win. If he can do that today, he gets in the money run.
RACE 5
bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m1f
37 – Poniros
He is into the race because of the going, and he likes the slow-to-heavy going. After a short break, he returned to the races and ran a strong race at Ascot in September at one and a half mile. The trainer is adding blinkers. The draw is good, but don’t expect the price to be much above 10-1.
14 – Godwinson
Lightly raced 4yo and appears to enjoy running on the soft going. He won by a head on his return to the races last out at Goodwood over the soft going. A high draw helps.
7 – Norwalk Havoc
He just missed the last time out at Galway, and I am returning from a layoff. He’s not run well on the good going, but all his races today on the soft going have been good efforts. He adds a furlong for today’s race of the last attempt. Favorable odds.
12 – Silver Sword
He showed nothing this season from his five runs. He has past efforts in group races with a placing. He had troubles in his last race, but the race before, he showed interest early and nothing late. Maybe this time?
RACE 6
Blandford Bloodstock Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 7f
11 – Wild Angel
She ran once and finished third on the all-weather. She went wide and ran green. She needed the start. She will make a winning effort today. She should like the soft going.
3 – Digub
A nicely bred from a mare who produced a group one winner. This may be the shortest distance they will run in his career because all the foals won, going at least one-quarter-mile races and beyond. It should like the soft-going.
9 – Season Of Light
He is a first-time starter who bred and needs a race, but he has a top rider today, has been prepared for a reasonable effort, and has been transferred from Andre Fabre to Appleby.
RACE 7
Stradivarius First Foals 2024 Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 7f
10 – Granger Bay
8 – Mission to Moon
1 – Telemark
Rich’s Newmarket Racecourse Ranks
Race 1: British Stallion Studs EBF ‘Jersey Lily’ Fillies’ Nursery Handicap
5 – NAINA – just ran a dominating race, chance to a lot better the 2nd up
10 – MAGIC LOVE – caught a yielding track for the first time last out – best race by a big margin, maybe prefers softer footing
9 – GEO – also ran on f his better races on an off track in the 2nd up – same pattern here, that means he could be sitting on a career best
11 – CREATIVE LADY – came to from with a big effort last out – behind the top pick – 4th then and 4th today
Race 2: Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes
6 – ROYAL PLAYWRIGHT – 3rd in a Group 3 in second career start – improves today in 2nd up
7 – WIBLEDON HAWKEYE – showed more in every race and been facing the toughest competiton
4 – LUTHER – plenty of upside in 4th career race – just a half length from being undefeated in 3
5 – PUPPET MASTER – caught a soft track for the first time last out and won by 4 – maybe likes it squishy
Race 3: Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes
4 – DAYLIGHT – all 4 races on an off track – won both 1st up outings – that’s what we have today
2 – BABOUCHE – undefeated in a trio of easy wins – including a G1 last out
5 – LAKE VICTORIA – also unbeaten in three with a G1 win
8 – RAYEVKA – a nose from winning both start – last on soft – won by 4
Race 4: Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes
7 – SHADOW OF LIGHT – taking a shot at beating the big fav – just missed in a G2 last out, some rest, comes back fresh
8 – WHISTLEJACKEY – going to take all the money – but has not won in 3 of 3 first up chances – including the lone off the board finish
4 – IDES OF MARCH – is in good form – Ryan Moore rides the 8 though
1 – BLACK FORZA – got to overlook last race as he was blocked at KD
Race 5: bet365 Cambridgeshire
7 – NORWALK HAVOC – has run his best on an off track
8 – BALMACARA – has been in every race and the footing is not an issue
26 – ROI DE FRANCE – a little racing luck away from being unbeaten in 4
16 -THEORYOFEVERYTHING – all 3 wins on a soft track in 13 races – clearly likes it
Race 6: Blandford Bloodstock Maiden Fillies’ Stakes
8 – SAQQARA SANDS – 2nd race improvement for the experienced horse makes her a tough beat
3 – DIGUB/10 TEXAS STARLIGHT – I know those Irish horses can run well on the soft – taking both with momma and poppas from Ireland
11 – WILD ANGEL – well bet in its debut for tr Charlie Appleby – maybe get better in 2nd start
