Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Horse Racing Picks
Horseshoe Indianapolis Full Card Picks
Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Picks with the Professor’s Parlay of the Day
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Will Rogers Downs
Horseshoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Picks and Commentary
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – Superduty Justice – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – No Man Can – He won his last race and has a trainer who wins 24% of the time in claiming races.
3 – Pure Tap – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last start and has a trainer who wins 20% of the time in claiming races.
7 – Indy Rebel – He has won a race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has a trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-2).
Alternate:
1 – Mydadsbetrthanyurs
6 – Can’t Say Elly Mae
Race 2
1 – Hazy Command – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, has the highest last race speed rating, and the rail post is winning at a 19% clip
2 – Patna – She drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (4 2-1-1).
6 – Off We Go – She should improve while returning to dirt and her trainer wins 18% of the time with a horse he moves from turf to dirt, and she has a bullet 4F workout on Sep-24.
4 – Easy on my eyes – She won her last two races at Horseshoe Indianapolis, going for a hat trick.
Alternate:
5 – Princess Elin
3 – Lofthouse
Race 3
8 – Rockin Justice – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating.
7 – Akamai – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race and drops in class today.
5 – Silent Sonata – He finished 3rd (on Dirt) in last race and his best turf speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
1 – Jacksons Gold – He has finished in the money in two out of four races this year, winning one at Horseshoe Indianapolis at today’s distance.
Alternate:
6 – Galileo’s Rock
Race 4
6 – Sweet Justice – She has won three of her last four races at Horseshoe Indianapolis, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Diamonds N Denim – She drops in class today and returning to dirt should help.
1 – Mama Lou – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, the rail post is winning at a 19%, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-0-2).
4 – Keen Ice Sight – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and the trainer wins 33% of the time with a horse that won its last claiming race.
Alternate:
3 – Wild Tapit
2 – Gift Wrapped
Race 5
10 – Counter Offer – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a trainer wins 44% of the time in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
11 – Marv’s Magic – He drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
4 – Scarlet City – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a trainer wins 20% of the time in claiming races.
2 – Lord Dylan – He returns to the turf and has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (15 4-1-5).
Alternate:
1 – Grey Streak
3 – Texas Gano
Race 6
7 – Double Tuff – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis; has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
8 – Mr Manning – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and the distance will not be a problem.
1 – Rock N June Bug – He drops in class today; the rail post is winning at a 19% clip and he has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Jova – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Music to My Ears
Race 7
5 – Lily’s Home – She has finished in the money in four out of four career races finishing 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race and her breeding suggests she will like the grass.
1 – Catcha Later Mo – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating, the rail post is winning at a 18% clip and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
11 – Vivid Exposure – She ran 2nd in her last race and may improve cutting back to 5 furlongs.
6 – Goldblooded – She drops in class today, has a trainer who wins 21% of the time in the 2nd career race of a horse he has entered and may improve with Lasix added.
Alternate:
13 – Fame Street
10 – Chrome Dessert
Race 8
1 – Bumpy – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the time when bringing back a beaten favorite to race again and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Go Early Stay Late – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
9 – Dossier – He ran 4th vs similar in his last race and a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (15 4-1-5).
6 – Just a Notion – He has early speed and may lead all the way and showed a large improvement in his last race.
Alternate:
8 – Cha Cha Larry
5 – Majestic Zeus
Race 9
10 – The Veteran – Shortens up which should help.
8 – Cc Sweet Thing – Just missed finishing 3rd.
4 – Pjay – Trouble last race and still ran 3 rd.
1 – I Beacha – She hopped outward start in her last two races and may finish better with clean start.
Alternate:
2 – Rogues Last Game
7 – La Lora Lita
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1:
4 – SUPERDUTY JUSTICE – Left Arrow Horse, better fractions at 6f v 5 ½, TLRSP#, maintenance work since
6 – CAN’T SAY ELLY MAE – EP#s put him close to the front at a distance where being 1st or 2nd at the quarter pole wins at a high rate – we’ll take at shot with 15-1 ML in 3rd off the bench
7 – INDY REBEL – although it doesn’t look like, last race was a lot better than it looks with better fractions
3 – PURE TAP – has the top LP#s in the field and should not be all that far off the pace
Race 2:
1 – HAZY COMMAND – BB – Left Arrow Horse with top EP/LP on high win rate rail, INDY 1/1 – distance 6/2-2-2
2 – PATNA – was a lot better early in last, dropping from NGSTK, should also be involved from the jump, real nice September works getting ready
6 – OFF WE GO – flips from turf to dirt. 21% winner for tr Genaro Garcia – fast 4f bullet work on Sept 24
5 – PRINCESS ELIN – top LP, should be better in 3rd off the break, maybe better 3rd off the break
Race 3:
8 – ROCKIN JUSTICE – TLRSP# and drops from 100K NGST finishing 2nd, resume says 3rd off the bench could be best
7 – AKAMAI – Hindy Grass 8/1-4-1 – likes to hang late, distance 2/1-0-1, third in same race as top choice in last
4 – LOADEMUPJUSTICE – lone PC horse in the field, usually gets way pack and tries to rally hard at the end
2 – MILLION DOLLAR RED – gets a weight break, should be closing, ITM Hindy Turf 10/2-3-0
Race 4:
1 – MAMA LOU – by process of elimination – gets top spot, rail wins, INDY 4/0-3-1, should be in the mix at the end
6 – SWEET JUSTICE – Left Arrow Horse – faster fractions last out, 3 SP# increases, but regressed in #4 last two times
8 – DIAMONDS N DENIM – the break is the key, if she has the lead at the first call, gets courageous, if not, loses all confidence – all or nothing
3 – WILD TAPIT – half the field has similar EP#s and could duke it out on the lead, lone closer with top LP, could be ideal pace fit
Race 5:
4 – SCARLET CITY – HIndy 14/3-6-1, spotty off the bench record, top EP/LP combo
11 – MARV’S MAGIC – tie TLRSP# and drops in class, has some of the most LP and consistent performer
1 – GREY STREAK – Left Arrow Horse, is the other to tie for TLRSP# and drops in class t06o, lowest level since winning MCL 25k
2 – DUCHOSSOIS – might be better in 3rd after a layoff, 2nd best LP#s and has some back speed too
Race 6:
Probably most competitive race on the card
3 – MUSIC TO MY EARS – EP horse in a race filled with speed, 3rd after a break, Distance 21/9-0-4
7 – DOUBLE TUFF – better early in his last, 3SP# increases, another that likes the Distance 29/10-7-4
6 – JOVA – has the most LP in a race that could get fast upfront. Top EP/LP combo, bullet work since last race
8 – MR MANNING – resume says to expect more in round 2 off the sidelines, should be on the gas from go
Race 7:
6 – GOLDBLOODED – LS – Left Arrow Horse – has EP edge and 1st Lasix, drops in class, bullet work
10 – CHROME DESSERT – real sharp workouts getting prepped for debut
2 – ISABEL ALEXANDRA – another with good works getting ready – Eddie C angle, bullet two back followed by maintenance – Top Pedigree #s by a long shot
13 – FAME STREET – AE – drops in class, gets 1st Lasix, will be closing
1 – CATCHA LATER MO – in case the 13 doesn’t get in.
Race 8:
9 – DOSSIER – should be involved early and has the top LP and +EP/LP edge
1 – BUMPY – better fractions last out, BTN FAV – tr Randy Klopp rebounds at 26%
6 – JUST A NOTION – improved nicely from debut in last, another step up would likely be enough
5 – MAJESTIC ZEUS – decently bet in debut, didn’t show much, lets see if he picks it up today
Race 9:
10 – THE VETERAN
4 – PJAY
8 – CC SWEET THING
1 – I BEACHA
2 – ROGUES LAST GAME
3 – MIRI V
Horseshoe Indianapolis Post Position and Speed Bias
Horseshoe Indianapolis Post Position and Speed Bias 10-4-22
Horseshoe Indianapolis Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
