Connect with us

Hi, what are you looking for?

Horse Racing TodayHorse Racing Today
Parx Horse Racing Tips

Horse Racing Today

Horse Racing Today – Parx Racing Picks Live – Monday, November 21, 2022

Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips

Horse Racing Picks

PARX Racing Full Card Picks

Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Turf Paradise

Picks with the Professor’s Play of the Day

Parx Horse Racing Picks and Commentary

Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping 

Race 1

2 – Major Cam – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

6 – Sensible Jim – He finished 2nd in his last race only losing by a neck and receiving the highest last race speed rating.

3 – Verbier – He switches to a high % winning jockey and drops in class today.

4 – Principe – Returning to a route should help him.

Alternate:

5 – Staff Sergeant

1 – Stella’s Tour

 

Race 2

5 – I’m a Coco Pebbles – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and her jockey in last 7 days has finished in the money in seven out of thirteen starts, winning five races (13 5-2-0).

7 – Glowing Star – She drops in class today and should improve while returning to a route.

3 – Lady Fox – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.

2 – Isabella Smile – She drops in class today and the trainer wins 17% of claiming races he has a horse entered in.

Alternate:

8 – Lady Brexit

1 – Mineshaft Magic


Race 3

2 – Cold Walker – He finished in the money in two out of four races, winning one of the starts, drops in class today and has a good 4f workout on 15Nov.

6 – Chrome Dixie – He is a closer who is coming off the turf to the dirt where he has performed well in the past.

1 – Jovial – He has been off for more than 8-months but has been working out in preparation of today’s race where he won a race easily at today’s distance and the rail post is winning at 21% clip.

7 – Ruffy – He drops in class today and he has a good 4F workout on Nov-15.

Alternate:

5 – Southern Runner

Race 4

3 – Nickys Notion – She finished in the money in her last eight races and has the highest last race speed rating.

8- Queen Lucky – She finished 3rd in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

1 – Fancy Scepter – She was a little over her head in her last race and drops back in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey and can improve while returning to dirt.

4 – Cup of Life – She has finished in the money in eleven out of fifteen races at PARX Racing and drops in class today.

Alternate:

5 – One Pair of Hands

7 – Random Luck 

 

Race 5

5 – My Brother Neil – He won his last race at PARX Racing, drops in class, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and the trainer/jockey combo in last 14 days has won two out of three starts.

6 – Sovereign Change – He has a lot of early speed and will have no problem with the distance.

4 – Showing Off – He can either go to the front or come from off the pace to win a race and has high % winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Lawlessness – He has done well at PARX Racing in the past and has a good trainer. 

Alternate:

7 – Jack Gave Back

1 – Tempestuous


Race 6
 

8 – Puttheglassdown – He likes the track finishing in the money in 59% of his starts, winning 23% of the races and has finished in the money in 59% of the time at today’s distance.

7 – Golden Spoke – He only needs to repeat his last race to be competitive and has finished in the money in six out of seven races at today’s distance.

1 – Fast Breakin Cash – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.

3 – First Navy Admiral – He has an early foot and a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

2 – Satchel de Ritches

6 – Rack Gin

Race 7

8 – Mischievous Juan – He finished in the money in four out of the last five races, winning two of the starts and has the highest last race speed rating.

5 – Dangnabbit – He can either go to the front or come from off the pace to win a race and lost his last race by only a neck.

9 – Rudy Rod – He switches to a high % winning trainer, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

7 – Will Take Contro – He likes the track finishing 3rd in his last race at PARX Racing and has been improving his speed rating in each of the last three races. 

Alternate:

10 – Lemon Creek Louie

1 – Dougie

Race 8

7 – Dreaming of Smarty – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters, he is trained by John Servis and has a good 4f ft :47 B workout 4/69.

4 – Blue Royal – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has the highest last race speed rating.

1 – Ryan’s Fleet – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and the rail post is winning at 21% clip.

10 – Jackson Road – He has a high % winning trainer, a high % winning jockey and with a better start may do better in this race.

Alternate:

5 – Cumulus

2 – Frankieblueeyes 

 

Race 9

9 – Fast Intentions – She has won three races in a row and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Cabra Chica – She won her last race at PARX Racing and earned the highest last race speed rating.

6 – Cartwheel – She has won four out of seven races and including one at today’s distance.

4 – Live Aid – She ran 4th in her last race at PARX Racing but was only beaten by 2-lenghts and has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

14 – World Party

8 – Spanikopita


Race 10

8 – Imagism – She has been knocking at the door, finishing 3rd vs similar in her last race.

7 – Rolin N Controlin –She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a jockey in the last 7 days who has this record (13 5-2-0).

5 – Pellegrini – She finished 2nd in her last race just missing winning by a head.

1 – Bet On Drama – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, the rail post is winning at 18% clip and her trainer wins 29% when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.

Alternate:

6 – Catalon

2 – Unkoalafied

Rich’s Ranks

Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed with a rail edge, 4-7 slight discount

2 – MAJOR CAM – left arrow horse with a + edge at 4f and improved late in last

3 – VERBIER – has close to a ++LP advantage and has some back speed

6 – SENSIBLE JIM – missed by a neck after holding the lead late in last, cuts back a touch and has a bullet on NOV 10

1 – STELLA’S TOUR – not much difference between here and the 5, so we’ll play the rail edge

 

Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed with a rail edge, 4-7 slight discount

5 – I’M A COCO PEBBLES – TLRSP# and catches a weight break here, better ATB, maintenance work between starts

3 – LADY FOX – PARX 6/0-3-1, maybe better in 2nd off the break

7 – GLOWING STAR – gets Paco, 3rd off a layoff, was best of the trio in last 3 race cycle

8 – LADY BREXIT – lone EP horse, last was a major clunker, rebounded nicely following the last bomb

 

Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with Rail Bias the rest are fair

2 – COLD WALKER – could be pacesetter and has the best combo of EP/LP, decent work between races

1 – JOVIAL – clearly something went wrong in last, off since March, but won only other PARX race by 12 – works have been steady and look on schedule, looking for him to run back to winning form

7 – RUFFY – down in class, resume says better in R2 off the bench, last was better than it looks with faster fractions early

5 – SOUTHERN RUNNER – was a lot better through the fist half mile of his last race

 

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ fair with rail discount

9 – ALWAJD – LS – maybe bled in debut? Off since August 1, comes back with 1st Lasix and that November 5th bullet work says she could be much better today

10 – BUNNY BONUS – 1st time starter with a bunch of solid works

3 – NICKYS NOTION – knocking on PARX door, 12/0-6-2, a little better in first half mile of last with TLRSP#

1 – FANCY SCEPTER – rail kind of worries, but could be on the lead, drops in class, PARX 3/0-1-2

 

Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed 1-7 fair, 8+ Bias

5 – MY BROTHER NEIL – better ATB with tie TLRSP# as lone P, drops in class and could be better in R3 after a layoff

4 – SHOWING OFF – could be the top horse in the race, but is making 1st start off the bench, resume says he might not be his best

6 – SOVEREIGN CHANGE – likely pacesetter in 2nd off the claim for tr Guadalupe Guerrero, 24% winner for 14% trainer

2 – LAWLESSNESS – most LP in the race, most likely to run a complete race with top EP/LP combo

 

Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 2+ fair with rail discount

8 – PUTTHEGLASSDOWN – BTN FAV last out, seems to run better off the rail

3 – FIRST NAVY ADMIRAL – has a +EP edge at 2/4f, faster fractions and 2/4 pace#s last out

1 – FAST BREAKIN CASH – Jamie Ness and Ruben Silvera, similar fractions last out at 7v 6f

7 – GOLDEN SPOKE – tough call over the 4, but distance 7/3-1-2 and should be coming late

 

Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Inside Speed, small discount 4-7, 8+ fair

5 – DANGNABBIT – has a +4 edge, 3SP# increases, same fractions at 6 1/2f v 5 1/2f

10 – LEMON CREEK LOUIE – Left Arrow Horse with 3SP# increases too, considerably better late in last

8 – MISCHIEVOUS JUAN – TLRSP#, +EP/LP combo, 6SP# increases, spotty PARX record

7 – WILL TAKE CONTROL – Lone P horse in a field dominated by late comers, PARX 12/2-1-6

 

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with Rail Bias the rest are fair

4 – BLUE ROYAL – repeat of last race wins this, has a ++4 and top LP, faster by more than a second last out

10 – JACKSON ROAD – been well bet in both starts and has been off to slow starts, better start here helps

7 – DREAMING OF SMARTY – work outs have been consistent and strong getting ready for debut

3 – UNION PARK – low percentage trainer, but the OCT 22nd work was sparkling and maybe the best of all works for firs time starters

 

Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed with Rail Bias the rest are fair

9 – FAST INTENTIONS – winner 4 of last 5, Ness and Silvera again, a bunch of nice works getting ready,

6 – CARTWHEEL – PARX 5/3-1-0, last was only OTM finish, gets a 10 pound weight break today

5 – CABRA CHICA – TLRSP#, a half length from being undefeated in 2 at PARX, 1st off the claim, 23% angle for tr Richard Vega, doesn’t run many

14 – WORLD PARTY – PARX 5/3-0-1, gets weight break with Jose Gomez today

4 – LIVE AID – better ATB in last, should be involved from go to photo

 

Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Inside Speed, small discount 4-7, 8+ fair

7 – ROLIN N CONTROLIN – lone PC horse with top EP/LP combo in the field

8 – IMAGISM – Left Arrow horse, much better early in last, let’s see id she can hold on this time

10 – QUEEN OF CLASS – Track Dropper with some crazy good works getting ready for her fist since Sept 17th

1 – BET ON DRAMA – tough call over the 6, but been the betting fav 5 in a row, eventually she’ll live up to bettors’ faith

Parx Racing Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet 

Parx Pace Worksheet 11-21-22

 

You May Also Like

International Horse Racing Picks

We had so much fun winning there last week, Tom and Rich return to Rosehill for the richest two-year-old race in the world –...

International Horse Racing Picks

It’s back to Australia for a lucky 7 group rated races at Rosehill Racecourse for Tom and Rich. Some, pre-party horse racing to get...

International Horse Racing Picks

By: Thomas Deimel Twitter: @tjdhorseplayer I don’t have the final declarations for these races, so some picks may not be running. In most races,...

International Horse Racing Picks

Overnight racing at Sha Tin on the day clocks spring forward. Talk about confusing… but Tom and Rich are clear on which horses they...

Copyright © 2021 Horse Racing Today - ZoxPress Theme. Theme by MVP Themes, powered by WordPress.