Horse Racing Picks, Analysis, Handicapping and Tips
Terry and Rich discuss…
Horse Racing Picks
Gulfstream Park Full Card Picks
Gulfstream Hot Dog and Prime Rib Pick 4s
Box it Up
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Penn National
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
10 – Banker’s Hours – Drops in class today -He has a high % winning jockey, High % trainer – Lasix is added and trainer wins 27%: of the time when their entries have 1st time lasix
7 – Mr Mac Quhae – Finished second in the last two races earning the highest last race speed rating – His best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters -Can improve with Lasix added
2 – Canaan – Drops in class today – Good workouts
8 – Wow Line – Breeding suits today’s sprint distance – Hot Trainer in last 14 days has this record (5 3-0-0) – Sharp 3F workout (Jan-08)
Race 2
3 – Elliereeseaston – Closed to Finish third vs tougher in last race – Switches to a high % winning jockey and the trainer wins17% when dropping Down 2+ classes – Hot Jockey in last 7 days has this record (12 4-1-1)
6 – Gaga Oh La La Finished in the money eight of eleven times at Gulfstream Park – Blinkers added today
7 – Cozy Cafe -Closed to just miss winning her last race at Gulfstream earning highest last race speed rating High % trainer entries win 24% of the time after 46-90 days – best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters
4 – Kenya Sun – Won one race out of three at Gulfstream Park – She has High % trainer winning at a 24% clip
Race 3
2 – Tape to Tape – Was in front in most of his last race, may improve at the shorter distance – Hot Jockey in last 7 days has this record (12 4-1-1)
6 – Starlite Walker – Dam has 1 winner from 3 starters- Has high % winning jockey Luis Saez
5 – Proud Contender – Finished in the money seven out of eleven races – He has the highest last race speed rating – Blinkers added today
4 – Out Work’n – Showed early speed in his last race and may improve while returning to a sprint
Race 4
4 – Jazzy – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – Has a high % winning Jockey – trainer wins 23% of the races when bringing a Beaten favorite back to race – Her best AW speed is fastest among today’s starters
7 – Dreaming of Audrey – Ran 2nd vs similar in last race and received the highest last race speed rating
5 – Sweet Actress – Finished in the money in four of her last five races – Distance will not be a problem
2 – Bonnie’s the Best – Hot Trainer in last 14 days has this record (6 2-1-1)
Race 5
8 – Diligent – Finished in the money in seven of his last races, winning two – Has the highest last race speed rating
3 – Outshine – Won last race at Gulfstream Park and received the highest speed figure at today’s distance – Hot Trainer/Jockey combo in last 14 days has this record (3 2-0-0)
4 – Captain Thunder – Finished 3rd vs similar in last race – trainer wins 19% of Claiming races – Hot Trainer in last 14 days has this record (8 3-0-0)
2 – Seguimi – Drops in class today – Best AW speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed – Sharp Bullet 4F workout on 05Jan Pmm 4f ft :48 B 1/22
Race 6
6 – Senora Roma (BEST BET) – Finished in the money six out of seven career races, winning two of the races – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and a Sharp 4F workout (Jan-07)
3 – Richies Great Girl – Finished in the money seven out of her last eight races, winning four races – She likes the track, turf, and distance
2 – Tracy Ann’s Legacy – Finished in the money 73% of the time during her career, winning 30% of the races – Switches to a high % jockey Paco Lopez and the trainer wins 27% of the races when bringing back a Beaten favorite
8 – Tiple – Finished 3rd in last race and earned the highest last race speed rating – Her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters
Race 7
2 – Prince of Iron – Won his debut race at Gulfstream – has a high % winning trainer -Well bet in debut – Lasix added – Hot Jockey in last 7 days has this record (12 4-1-1)
4 – Adventure Seeker – Won two in a row and goes for a hat trick – Has the highest last race speed rating – His best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters and Lasix is added
1 – Yes I’m a Beast – Won last race at Gulfstream Park -Trainer wins 25%: of the time when their entries have 1st time lasix
7 – Icy Storm – Won his debut race (IND 05/03 5f Dirt gd SOC 0) – Well bet in debut
Race 8
2 – Tiz Rye Time – Ran 2nd three races in a row -He has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high %winning jockey – Drops in class -Hot Jockey in last 7 days has this record (12 4-1-1)
4 – Scary Larry – Coach Hudson – Broke bad in last race, had trouble and so I am throwing out that race – He ran second his only race at Gulfstream Park and second twice at today’s distance
6 – Brother Brad– He ran third in his last race at Gulfstream Park and at today’s distance-Been in the money in all but one career races
7 – Man On the Moon – Has high % winning Jockey Luis Saez and should improve while returning to Dirt
Race 9
3 – David’s Rose– Won last race at Gulfstream Park – High % trainer earning the highest last race speed rating – Switches to a high % winning jockey Paco Lopez – Lasix added
5 – Chacalosa – Stumbled start and lost all chance – Drops in class today and the trainer wins 40% in second start w/turn – Should improve while returning to a sprint and has the best AW speed among today’s starters – Lasix added
6 – Firenspice – Won her debut race at Gulfstream Park – The trainer wins 20%: of the time when their entries have 1st time lasix – Well bet in debut
1 – Mount Sinai – Won last race at Gulfstream Park – Rail post is winning at 23% clip – High % winning Jockey Luis Saez – Lasix added
Race 10
9 – My Sunny Valentine – Finished second in her last race on the turf – Receiving the highest last race speed rating
8 – Twelveo’clockrock – Switches to a high % jockey Tyler Gaffalione – Should improve while returning to a route – May improve with Blinkers added today
7 – Blue Twirlin – Trained by Mark Casse – Returning to the turf
6 – Cocoa Icing– Decent workout
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1 – 5 ½ Furlongs AW: 18 races, 12 speed, 4 w2w – PP: Strong inside 3 and 8+
7 – Mr Mac Quhae – 1st Lasix, showed some speed 2 back, 10% win/50% ITM
1 – Unified Conquest – Top Pedigree, just ran on Jan 1st, quick turnaround, better fractions last out
10 – Banker’s Hours – 1st Lasix, speed 2 back, excuse in last, Drop 43-23, S Joseph Jr 35% 1st MCL
8 – Wow Line – 1st time starter, decent works, trainer Amador Sanchez winning at 29%
Race 2 – 1 Mile D: 32 races, 26 won by speed, 13 w2w – PP: Poor Rail win rate, 2+ fair
7 – Cozy Café – 10% win/50% ITM, LRSP>PAR, decent works since last run late November
4 – Kenya Sun – should be better in 2nd off bench, Top Pedigree, best fractions last out
3 – Elliereeseaston – small drop in purse 22-19, off since June, OK works, has 2 seconds in 3 @ distance
6 – Gaga Oh La La – ITM 8/11 @ GP, 10% win/50% ITM, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
Race 3 – 7 Furlongs D: 13 races, 10 won by speed, 3 w2w – PP: Big Inside 3 and 8+ bias
5 – Proud Contender – Top LRSP#, 10% win/50% ITM, OK works prepping, #1 combo EP/LP
2 – Tape to Tape – Top EP#s, could improve in second after a layoff
6 – Starlite Walker – first time starter, decent works getting ready, Pappa did well fresh, momma speed
4 – Out Workn – first time Gelded, good early pace, nice bullet work at GP on 12-21, drop 50-35
Race 4 – 1 1/16 Miles AW: 19 Races, 10 stkrs/clsrs wins, 2 w2w – PP: weak inside 3, 4-7 best, 8+ OK
4 – Jazzy T (BEST BET)– missed as the favorite, tr Rohan Crichton rebounds at 23%, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
5 – Sweet Actress – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, top LP#s, AW 3-0-1-1, 3 seconds better final time
7 – Dreaming of Audrey – LRSP>PAR, could improve in 2nd off bench, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
1 – Foxtrot Seville – DROP 43-23, 1st go w/ Tr M Tombetta, 21% winner, good works since last
Race 5 – 1 1/16 Miles AW: 19 Races, 10 stkrs/clsrs wins, 2 w2w – PP: weak inside 3, 4-7 best, 8+ OK
3 – Outshine – 1st off the claim, 19% winner for Tr Amador Sanchez, Top Pedigree, 4 SP Increase
7 – Devoted Kitten – 3/4 @ distance, Beaten FAV, Tr Jorge Delgado Rebounds at 26%
8 – Diligent – won last, W/P/S in 3 at Distance, LRSP>PAR, 3 SP Increases
1 – Mr Matuschek – Beaten FAV, Tr Robert Mosco rebounds @ 22%, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
Race 6 – 5 Furlongs Turf: 21 Races, 12 won by speed, 8 w2w – PP: 1-3 and 8+ Moved to AW
3 – Richies Great Girl – it’s in the name, ITM 6/7 @ Dist 3ws, DROP 90-62, 2nd off bench
4 – Fouzia – 2nd off bench, strong works since last race, Top Pedigree, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
5 – Reinagol – 2nd start with Tr Carlos David, 29% angle, always well bet, much faster fractions in last
6 – Senora Roma – 5 straight HQ starts, bullet and go off the layoff, might need one
Race 7 – 6 Furlongs D: 47 races, 44 won by speed, 19 w2w – PP: Fair
2 – Prince of Iron – speed with 1st time Lasix, well bet in debut
4 – Adventure Seeker – another 1st L w/speed, ITM 5/6, 4/5 @ Dist, LRSP>PAR, 3SP Increases
1 – Yes Im a Beast – another 1st L w/speed, Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, 5/6 ITM on a fast track 3ws
5 – Never Satisfied – 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions, Win By > 1 Length, Improved big time in 2nd start
Race 8 – 1 Mile D: 32 races, 26 won by speed, 13 w2w – PP: Poor Rail win rate, 2+ fair
2 – Tiz Rye Time – improved 3 SP, 16 furlongs of OK works since last, best efforts at distance
1 – Menelik – Fastest 1/4 Fraction LAST 10, best EP #s, super fast 3F work on Jan 8
6 – Brother Brad – very good works since last race, always well bet, 3SP# increase
8 – Critical Threat – DROP 72-41, top LRSP#, one of the best combos of EP/LP
Race 9 – 5 ½ Furlongs AW: 18 races, 12 speed, 4 w2w – PP: Strong inside 3 and 8+
3 – Davids Rose – Top Pedigree, LRSP>PAR, won last by 12, 1st Lasix w/speed
6 – Firenspice – won debut with by far strongest late pace #s, 1st time Lasix, well bet in debut
1 – Mount Sinai – 23% winning rail, won last on AW by 6 ¼ w2w, 1st Lasix, LRSP>PAR
5 – Chacalosa – 2nd start with Tr: Larry Rivelli 8ws in 20 races, DROP 400-54, LRSP>PAR
Race 10 – 1 Mile Turf: 33 races, 20 won by speed, 9 w2w – PP: strong inside 3
9 – My Sunny Valentine – LRSP>PAR, 3 SP # Increases, 2 Fastest Opening 1/4 Fractions
7 – Blue Twirlin – LRSP>PAR, DROP 52-43, 21 Furlongs in works since last, should be fit
2 – Fleeting Glimpse – DROP 60-43, could improve in 2nd off the bench
8 – Twelveoclockrock – small drop, resume says she could improve in 2nd start off the bench
