Keenland Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Evangeline Downs – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free Keenland Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Keenland – 4-09-2025
Race 1 – Female
5 – Ashes and Diamonds – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey, she can improve while trying dirt and Lasix is added.
8 – Vintage Ring – She is a first-time starter whose Sire wins 17% of the races with 1st time starters, her Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters, she has a high % winning trainer and she has a good 4F workout on Mar-29.
4 – Rockaway Reef – She ran 2nd vs tougher (on AW) in her last race, drops in class today and she has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
9 – Midnight Muse – She ran 2nd in her last race and has a high % winning trainer who wins 100% of the races when taking a horse Up 2+ classes.
Alternate:
3 – Victorious Nyquist
Race 2
4 – Night Time – He drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer and jockey, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Kant Beat the Rock – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the claiming races he has a horse competing in, he has a high % winning jockey and a good 4F workout on Mar-28.
11 – Forgiving Spirit – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races when taking a horse from an AW to Dirt and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Liltonytwophones – He ran 2nd in his last race and his early speed running style helps his chances.
$.50 Pick 4: 5,7/1,7,8/2,12/1,2,4,5,6,8,9,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
7 – Dr. Park – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey, he was well bet in the debut race and he has a bullet 3F workout on Apr-01.
1 – Chaching Chaching – He ran 2nd in his last race only missing by a nose, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout on Apr-01.
8 – Don Corleone – He finished in 2nd in his last start and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
9 – Knicks Gate – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and he has a high % winning jockey.
Race 4–Female
12 – Home First – She finished 3rd (on AW) in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Here’syourtrouble – She drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when taking a horse from a Maiden race to a Maiden Claiming race and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Rock Harbor – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a bullet 4F workout on Apr-02.
Longshot:
8 – Rainbow Glow – She drops in class today she has a high % winning jockey.
Race 5–
10 – All Jokes Aside – He won last his race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Coast Along – He has won two races out of his last three starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Let It Ride – He has not raced for more than 8 months starts but has several workouts in a row in preparation for this race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Urban Legend – He finished 6th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Chiseler
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,4,5,6,8,10,11 /1,4/6,14/3,5,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 6
1 – Protege – He finished in the money in five races out of his last six starts, winning one race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Tiger’s Legacy – He drops in class today, he finished 6th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Bebedouro – He won last his race and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – Sir Pistolero – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, can improve while returning to dirt, he has a high % winning jockey and blinkers added today.
Alternate:
5 – Chryso Alogo
Race 7
6 – Lion of Justice – He won his debut race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
14 – Valentinian – He won his debut race, highest last race speed rating (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Skate Away – He won his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Ashley’s Archer – He ran 2nd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Bet: $40.00 Win: 6 – $5.00 Exacta: 9,10,14/6 – $15.00 Exacta: 6/9,10,14
Race 8
11 – Presider – He finished in the money in his last four races, winning one of the starts his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – British Isles – He finished 2nd in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has a bullet 4F workout on Apr-02.
5 – Rotterdam – He was beaten only 1-1/2 lengths vs similar in last start and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Ngannou – He finished in the money in three races out of four career starts, winning one race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
13 – Sicilian Defense
6 – Sand Pipes
Best Bet of the Day at Gulfstream Racing – 7th Race #6 – Lion of Justice
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Big Discount
8 – VINTAGE RING – no yesses in PAR column – first timer with some excellent works
4 – ROCKAWAY REEF – second race upside with 1st Lasix – MSW dropper
1 – VANISHED – rail stinks but has some ES and enough LP to hit the board
9 – MIDNIGHT MUSE – Chris P angle – 2nd in last with a maintenance work
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
4 – NIGHT TIME – SIM FAV – Top TOTAL PACE of a length – 1st up record is shaky
2 – MOLTO VIVACE – lone CLASS DROPPER – should be forward – best race on dirt
5 – KANT BEAT THE ROCK – could step up his performance in 2nd up – 2 works between races
11 – FORGIVING SPIRIT – 3rd up – outside post hurts – but great chance to be pacesetter
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2-3 Discount, 4-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Fairish
1 – CHACHING CHACHING – big rail bonus – none have hit PAR – 2nd RACE PARABILITY
9 – KNICKS GATE – as I mentioned – none have hit PAR -1ster with a back bullet at Keene
7 – DR. PARK – another horse with 2nd race improvement potential – works say he will send
8 – DON CORLEONE – potential pacesetter in 3rd up
Race 4: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Stalkers, 24% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Like the Rail
5 – ROCK HARBOR – TLRSP# +4 – maybe lone E – much better ATB and crazy fast work since
2 – HERE’SYOURTROUBLE – MSW dropper – making 2 starts in a row for the 1st time – finally healthy – biggest in race edge 1 ½ lengths LS
9 – SWEET STAR – last race better than it looks with some better fractions and better ATB
3 – SR. MARY MARGARET – speed, 1st Lasix – MSW dropper
Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 21% w2w – PP: 1-7 All Above Water – 8+ None
8 – URBAN LEGEND – resume says he will be better in the 2nd up
11 – RUN CURTIS RUN – will be rolling at the end – distance 9/0-4-3
2 – COAST ALONG – won both at the distance – should be forward
10 – ALL JOKES ASIDE – longshot with TLRSP# – strong on distance and surface
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2-3 Discount, 4-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Fairish
4 – TIGER’S LEGACY – only horse with a PAR RACE – Top TOTAL PACE of more than a length
1 – PROTÉGÉ – IRAD – ITM 5/6 at the distance
8 – PARTYVICIOUS – pacesetter with better PACE early and late with FASTER FRACTIONS
7 – MUSICAL MAESTRO – very consistent horse – better EP and should have more in 2nd up
Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Stalkers, 24% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Like the Rail
14 – VALENTINIAN – Top TOTAL PACE of 2 ½ Lengths – more than 3 Lengths LP – 2nd race
6 – LION OF JUSTICE – 2nd race improvement and won debut with ease $1.1 Million horse
5 – CUT THE DUST – Only PAR RUNNER – faster fractions and should be on the lead
10 – SKATE AWAY – IRAD – plenty of upside in just the 3rd start – a lot of works prepping
Race 8: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Stalkers/Closers, 21% w2w – PP: Huge 1-3 Edge, 4+ Similar Sizable Discount
3 – BRITISH ISLES – highly consistent performer and killer fast work between races
11 – PRESIDER – TLRSP# +6 – will try to go forward from the outside – could get caught wide
5 – ROTTERDAM – another PAR RUNNER that’s consistent with plenty of LP
1 – SHOPPER’S REVENGE – IRAD – huge rail advantage – has a PAR RACE – why not at a price
