Parx Racing Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx Racetrack on a $100 Budget
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Parx Racing Picks and Suggested Wagers
Charming Charles’ Choices
Picks
1. 7,3,5,1
2. 7,4,5,8
3. 2,6,5,3
4. 7,6,10,4
5. 5,7,4,9
6. 2,3,1,6
7. 6,9,3,2
8. 4,7,6,9
9. 4,3,7,8
10. 7,3,6,9
11. 7,4,5,2
Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 7/14 w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
7 – PAGETT – NYRA track dropper and MSW to MCL drop
1 – SHADOW CHASER – TLRSP# and down in class, 4SP# increases and potentially better in 3rd off the bench
6 – SCANDALISSIMO – another track dropper from GP – a repeat of either of her his 1st two races would be good enough to win
3 – BEFRIENDTHEENEMY – Class Dropper, Chris P angle, 2nd off the bench
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,6,7/1,7/1,3,5,6,7
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 Under Par
5 – JOVIAL – ran better fractions through the 1st half mile last out
1 – MIZZEN MAN – missed by just a little in his last with improved LP
7 – BIG BROWN SHOES – TLRSP# and drops from ALW at Mountaineer and Flakes, uptick in third off the sidelines
8 – CAUSES TROUBLE – MCL riser with huge 2/4f pace numbers in last, not so sure he won’t be challenged today
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5,7/1,5/1,2,7,8
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 7/14 w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
3 – MISCHIEVOUS JONES – likely to be better in 2nd off the bench – much better late in last effort
7 – TANKINATOR – last race was better than it looks, especially in the beginning, dropping multiple classes helps – top PARX# by a decent margin
5 – CRAFTY DON – lone Parx race, last out, was good enough to win this one
2 – HOMETOWN HERO – best work on dirt – tr Jonathan Wong wins a lot dropping multiple classes
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,7/3,7/2,3,5,6,7
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 Under Par
7 – CAN’T COMPLAIN – TLRSP# and coming downs from 75K NGST -1st Lasix and could be on pace
10 – TRUE PHENOMENON – decently bet in debut and was steady, another that 1st Lasix should help
5 – KISS ME HARDY – 1st time, like the Dec 22nd work, 4f in 48.4 – third of 72
6 – MARION GRACE – missed at the FAV in last, moving up in class, don’t see how that help, but carrying less weight could help
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,7,10/7,10/2,5,6,7,10
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
7 – HOPE FOR GOLD – head away from winning 3 in a row – better fractions last out
3 – CALCULATED BREEZE – lone EP horse with back speed, will be closer to the front here
8 – ONE SLICK START – beat the top pick two back, distance 2/1-1-0
5 – BUFFALO SHUFFLE – has a +8 LP at 4f, down in class and 5/0-3-0 at the distance
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,7,8/3,7/3,5,7,8,9
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bias, 2-7 Under Par
2 – LASSIE’S NOTION – could be pacesetter, has a swift work since her last
6 – PERFECT DIRECTION – has the top EP/LP combo in the race, TLRSP# in last and moving down
3 – MEMENTO MI –should be fit for today, nearly same fractions at 1m70y as 6f in previous
1 – BIG TENTATIONS – comes in from Laurel and a few tier 1 tracks like GP and SAR
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,6/2,3,6/1,2,3,6,7
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Off the Pace, 2/8 w2w -25% – PP: 1-3 and 8+ Bonus, 4-7 Discount
6 – IMA PHAROAH – kind of wild – at his best, probably easy work, at his worst, done early – Jan 17 bullet hints at the good version
9 – HIDE THE RANSOM – better ATB in last, kind of sketchy on slower fractions, but Parx 9/1-4-1 and distance 2/1-1-0
3 – CAJUN LOVER – should be on the gas from go, +EP at 4f, if he can hold the lead into the stretch, confidence will grow
2 – E T’S CANDY MAN – maybe better in third off the break, resume says same as last
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6,9/6,9/2,3,5,6,9
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
7 – WINDSOR GOLD – good works, early speed and get the blinkers
9 – BURN THE EVIDENCE – has a +9 EP edge at 4f, 1st Lasix should help here
6 – MARVELOUSMOONDANCE – TLRSP#, Parx 6/0-4-1, cutting back in distance could help, top LP
4 – PRACTICAL WAY – hard choice over the 1, but taking GP dropper with bullet and go over Charles Town shipper
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,6,9/7,9/1,4,6,7,9
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bias, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
3 – DREAMING OF GERRY – 2/2 at Parx, both EZ wins at 1m70, one by 8 the other by 10
8 – GOOD CULTURE – really consistent performer, start is the key, good start combined with solid LP is what backers are hoping for
9 – RED REVOLUTION – is also 2/2 at Parx and both at the distance, better ATB better early times
7 – EDGE OF GLORY – sim says he is an overlay and better ATB last out too – just ¾ lengths from winning last two at the distance
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,8,9/3,8/3,5,7,8,9
Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 7/14 w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Bonus
6 – NO CONFESSION – MSW win in 8th try, but TLRSP#
3 – BLUE ROYAL – also coming off the maiden win, 3rd try, major EP upgrade in last with a pair of nice works since
7 – SHACKINTHEBOX – down in class and has EP, catching Lasix should help
8 – PAYNTED WARRIOR – dropping from a pair of NGSTK and is only closer
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6,7/3,6/3,6,7,8,9
Race 11: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: 1 Race – way off the pace from 2/3
7 – CALL FITZROY – TLRPS# with seconditis – three place finishes in a row
2 – SON OF A SAINT – horse is coming right back, tr Jospeh Taylor winner 2/3 with 1-5 days off
5 – LONG GRAY LINE – better early in last and has some late punch
4 – RONIN WARRIOR
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,7/2,7/2,4,5,7,10
PARX Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet