PARX Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for PARX Racing on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mahoning Valley
Parx Picks and Plays
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
4 – Fancy Scepter – She ran 2nd in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Island Belle – She drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 3rd race off a layoff.
7 – Elevenmonthslater – She returns to a route which may help.
Longshot:
5 – Wildcat Girl – She has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Tempest Rising
6 – End of the Rainbow
Bet: $1.00 DD: 2,4,7/ 8,9
Race 2
9 – Strawberry Cone – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Big Brown Shoes – He has a high % winning trainer and has a bullet workout on Feb 27th.
5 – Jovial – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
1 – Porsupuesto – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and switches to a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has won two out of four starts.
Alternate:
7 – Ava K’s Boy
6 – Ruthenian
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 5,8,9/5,8,9/1,5,7,8,9
Race 3
6 – Hoopla – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has a high % winning trainer and he has the highest last race speed rating.
4 – Doctor Doom – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Iconic Legacy – He has won two races out of the last three starts, finishing 2nd in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
3 – Hotpot – He has won two races out of the last three starts and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
1 – Abuelo Nuno
5 – Ruffy
Bet: $1.00 Pick 3: 6/4,6/1,2,3
Race 4
4- Golden Wildcat – He finished in the money in his last three races, finishing 2nd vs similar in last race and has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Almond Cider – He has finished in the money in his last five races, finishing 2nd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Lt’s Jacknthebox – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races when going from a sprint-route-sprint and Lasix is added.
Longshot:
2 – American Day – He is returning to dirt which can help, and he drops in class today.
Alternate:
7 – Principe
1 – Ninth of April
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race #4,6- 5th race # 1,2,3 – 6th race # 3- 7th race #3,4
Race 5
1 – Big Ambition – She ran 3rd vs similar in her last race, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Lookinatlightening – She switches to a high% trainer and jockey, the trainer wins 33% of the races when using 1st time Lasix and the trainer / jockey combo in last 14 days has won four out of five starts.
2 – Tempted to Touch – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and Lasix is added.
Longshot:
5 – True Phenomenon – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Blanchiment
8 – Uptown Charlotte
Bet: $.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,3
Race 6
3 – Catalon – She has an early foot finishing 3rd vs tougher in her last race and, drops in class, has the highest last race speed rating today.
2 – Shewearsthepants – She switches to a high % winning trainer and can handle the distance.
1 – Seven Years Later – She drops in class and the rail post is winning at 18% clip.
Longshot:
4 – Golden Bow – She has a high % winning trainer and has a high % winning jockey who has won three out of the last ten races.
Alternate:
6 -Charlotte Webley
5 – Fall Campaign
Bet: $10.00 Win #3
Race 7
4 – Cup of Life – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Bet On Drama – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a trainer who wins 31% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
6 – Escandalo –She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and can improve while returning to a sprint.
Longshot:
2 – Wild Keylimar – She has a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (4 2-0-1).
Alternate:
7 – Flora
5 – Only Girl
Bet: $.50 Pick 5 – 7th race #4- 8th race # 1,3,7 – 9th race # 3,5 – 10th race #2,7 – 11th #3,5,10
Bet: $10.00 Win #4
Race 8
1 – Upfor Parole – He has a high % winning jockey, and the rail post is winning at a 18% clip.
3 – Ninja Prize – He finished in 2nd vs similar in his last two races, the shorter distance may help, and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
7 – Bear Or Bull – He is a first-time starter and his breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Longshot:
6 – Gambler’s Run – He has a high % winning jockey, and he has a decent 4F workout on Feb-08.
Alternate:
4 – Luckily Leyton
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 8th race # 1,3,7 – 9th race # 3,5 – 10th race #2,7 – 11th #3,5,10
Race 9
3 – Boss Cara – She can either lead or come off the pace to win and won her last race at PARX Racing by going to the front, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a bullet workout on March 8th.
5 – Touring Maryanne – She won her last race at PARX Racing, switches to a high % winning jockey and has the highest last race speed rating.
4 – Jet Force – She highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
6 – Twirling Wind – She drops in class today.
Alternate:
1 – Sweet Lilly Factum
Race 10
2 – Dreaming of Gerry – He has finished in the money in four out of four races at PARX Racing, winning three races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Strugar – He has won two out of the last three races and has high % winning trainer Jamie Ness and high % winning jockey Frankie Pennington.
1 – Kobe B – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in last 14 days has won four out of five starts and a good 4F workout on Mar-06.
Longshot:
5 – Large – He finished in the money in his last three races and finished 3rd in his last race.
Alternate:
4 – Mr. Roundtree
Bet: $10.00 Win #2 – Bet: $1.00 DD: 2/ 1,3,4,5,8,9,10
Race 11
5 – Artistic Reason – He has finished 2nd in his last two races, has a high % winning trainer who wins 50% of the races in the 2nd start with a horse that he has claimed, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and the jockey in the last 7 days has this record (10 3-1-1).
3 – Absentee – She drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
10 – Angelus Warrior – He has finished in the money in seven out of the last eight races, winning two and switches to high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Acker – He has won a race at PARX Racing in the past and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Speightster Red
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bump, 2-7 close to Fair, 8+ Major Ding
4 – FANCY SCEPTER – regularly in the money, 9/0-2-4, TLRSP# in last
5 – WILDCAT GIRL – could be better in the 3rd off the break and goes long for the first time
7 – ELEVENMONTHSLATER – last race was a little better than it looks with better times
1 – TEMPEST RISING – true MSW to MCL dropper with a +8 LP edge
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5/4,5,7/1,2,4,5,7
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 41% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias – 4-7 Discounts, 8+ Fair
5 – JOVIAL – better fractions at 7f versus 6f, TLRSP#, better ATB
9 – STRAWBERRY CONE – maiden win in 5th try, usually well bet, decent work between races
3 – FULL CONTACT – real big jump in LP to get the maiden win in 4th try
8 – BIG BROWN SHOES – going to run at the same level was claimed, decent work getting ready
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 5/2,3,5,6/4,6/1,7
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 38% w2w – PP: Little Downgrade Rail, 4-7, all others a Slight Bonus
2 – ICONIC LEGACY – 3rd off the break with better times for 6 1/2 f
6 – HOOPLA – PARX 4/0-1-3, Distance 4/2-0-2, TLRSP# and highly consistent performer
4 – DOCTOR DOOM – 3rd in the cycle was slightly the best by a little bit, PARX 14/2-5-4
3 – HOTPOT – jy Andy Hernandez teams with tr Michael Moore winner 7/22 together
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,3,4,6
Race 4: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 41% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias – 4-7 Discounts, 8+ Fair
6 – ALMOND CIDER – plenty of EP +8 -2f, +64f – TLRSP# and held speed longer in last
4 – GOLDEN WILDCAT – 3rd off a layoff, lone 3 race cycle saw a little regression
5 – LT’S JACKNTHEBOX – 1st Lasix with some back speed, tr Robert Mosco winner 12/42 (29%) -Sprint-Route-Sprint
2 – AMERICAN DAY – MSW dropper, decent works getting ready to get back to work
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick: 4,6/1,7/3/3,4
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 41% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias – 4-7 Discounts, 8+ Fair
1 – BIG AMBITION – Ness/Silvera – TLRSP# and a bullet work since
7 – BLANCHIMENT – Track dropper and class dropper with +6 EP edge at 4f
5 – TRUE PHENOMENON – held early speed longer with better 2/4P#s
3 – LOOKINATLIGHTENING – showed early speed in 2nd start with 1st Lasix
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,7/1,5,7/1,2,3,5,7
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Inside 3 and 8+ Bias, 4-7 Discount
3 – CATALON – has a +17 LP edge as lone EP, things should set up perfectly for her
1 – SEVEN YEARS LATER – improving and dropping while most others are regressing
4 – GOLDEN BOW – short sprints is the right distance – 2/1-0-1
2 – SHEWEARSTHEPANTS – showed a little more EP in last – 1st off the claim for Michael Catalano, Jr 14%
Suggested Wager: $1 Trifecta: 3/1,4/1,2,4,6
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bonus, 2-7 Almost Fair
4 – CUP OF LIFE – missed by a nose at this level in her last, faster by about 2 seconds
3 – BET ON DRAMA – BTN FAV in last, tr Felix Flores-Coba rebounds at 31%
2 – WILD KEYLIMAR – most lightly raced horse in the race, room for unknown upside
6 – ESCANDALO – consistent performer and tough call over the 1,5,7
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4/2,3,4/2,3,4,5,6
Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Inside 3 and 8+ Bias, 4-7 Discount
3 – NINJA PRIZE – last race was better than the finish with a little quicker 6f time in slop
Rolling with 1st timers next
2 – BEN’S IMAGINE – like the Jan 19th work, 4f in 49.1
6 – GAMBLER’S RUN – a little better works than the 7
7 – BEAR OR BULL – we’ll take another first timer
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,3/3,4,5/2,7/3,5,9,10,11
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Rail and 8+ Bonus, 2-7 Almost Fair
3 – BOSS CARA – won last, maybe a little deceptive with slowish times – decent work since
4 – JET FORCE – has a + EP edge through opening ¼, no idea how the track will play today, but speed was killer yesterday
5 – TOURING MARYANNE – TLRSP#, first off the claim for Tr Michael Pino – 22% winner, cut back in distance could help
1 – SWEET LILLY FACTUM – best of the rest with a rail edge
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4,5/3,4/1,3,4,5,6
Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 41% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias – 4-7 Discounts, 8+ Fair
2 – DREAMING OF GERRY – TLRSP# by a big margin, needs to regress or everybody else come up
7 – STRUGAR – APRX 2/1-1-0 since coming to PARX, nice work in March 9th
1 – KOBE B – 2 nice workouts getting ready for first race since Jan 25th, first up record is shaky
5 – LARGE – dangerous if he can get on the lead
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,7/1,2,7/1,2,4,5,7
Race 11: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed – 32% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bump, 2-7 close to Fair, 8+ Major Ding
10 – ANGELUS WARRIOR – first off the claim for Jamie Ness – 33% winner, off bench record is good too
5 – ARTISTIC REASON – lone P horse should get the trip he wants 5/1-3-1, cutting back a little distance helps
3 – ABSENTEE – lowest class that he’s run at in last 10, real consistent performer
11 – JARLIAN – TLRSP#, Distance 10/3-3-0, tough call over the 9
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,5,10/5,10/3,5,9,10,11
Parx Way to the Winners’ Circle Worksheet
