PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Will Rogers Downs – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 4-1-2025
Race 1-Female
4 – Denali Rae– She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Road to Dreams – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes and she has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Leviosa – She drops in class today and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
5 – Between Dreams – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and likes today’s distance.
Alternate:
6 – Bahama Pearl
Race 2
5 – Hardy Choice – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Clancy O’Toole – He has won two races out of his last four starts and he switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Remarkable Mo – He has won three races out of seven starts at PARX Racing, he switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Big John – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the claiming races he has a horse competing in.
Alternate:
3 – Doctor Doom
$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,7/2,3,4,6,7/3,6/2,3– Cost $40.00
Race 3
6 – Carnaby – He ran 2nd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Just Cheesy – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Captain Crush – He ran 4th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – It’s Authentic– He had trouble in his last race which effected his finish and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when using 2nd time Lasix.
Alternate:
7 – Sunny Magic
5 – Fast N Sweet
Race 4
3 – Parkerness – He drops in class today, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes.
6 – Financial Strength – He has finished in the money in his last four starts, finishing 3rd vs similar in last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Aaraj – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the claiming races he has a horse running in and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Bobby’s Candy – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 65% of the races, winning 6% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 67% of the races, winning 11% of the starts.
Alternate:
5 – The Grayt Pumpkin
4 – Flashy Alex
$.50 Pick 4: 3,6/2,3,5,9/1,4,8,9/3,4,5,8– Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
2 – Solemn Oath – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Tiz Race Day – She has won four races out of eight starts at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (8 3-2-2).
9 – Classy Miss – She won her last race at PARX Racing, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
5 – Juradicial – She has finished in the money in her last three starts, finishing 2nd vs similar in her last race.
Alternate:
6 – Miss Chamita
7 – Heleonortiz
Race 6
9 – The Judge and Jury – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 71% of the races, winning 29% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 57% of the races, winning 29% of the starts.
4 – Poppy’s Pride – He has finished in the money in three races out of his last five starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Roan Burgundy – He has a high % winning trainer and the rail post is winning at 18% clip.
Longshot:
8 – Mac Daddy Too – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Grahmalamadingdong
3 – Jewels in the Bay
Race 7-Female
8 – Tempest Rising – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race after being bumped at the start switches to a high % winning jockey and she has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Golden Moonlight – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Tavin – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 40% of the races taking a horse from a sprint-route- sprint and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Fast Motion – She ran 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Broad Jumper
$.50 Pick 4: #2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9/5/5/1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
5 – Friday Surprise – He finished 2nd in his three career races, his early speed running style helps his chances so the shorter distance will be a plus, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and Lasix is added.
8 – Alchemism – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Son of Thor – He has won two races out of his last three starts and he switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Jadon’s Honor – He has won his last race and he switches to a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Sircharlybrown
Race 9
5 – Eloquist – He ran 2nd in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the route races he has a horse running in and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – In Spades – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 24% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races and he has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Duke of Gloucester – He has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
1 – Point Dume – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Bernie’s Mitts
4 – Classic Union
Bet: $15.00 Win & $25.00 Place: #5 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: #5/1,3,6 – $10.00 Exacta:5/1,3,6
Race 10
9 – Borracho Concho – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Free Folk – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 100% of the races and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 80% of the races, winning 20% of the starts.
11 – Checking Boxes – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Z’s So Good – He has finished in the money in three of his last four starts and he likes the distance.
Alternate:
1 – Stouthearted
2 – Miracle Trip
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #5 – Eloquist
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 48% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Hit Hard, 8+ Bonus
4 – DENALI RAE – first time two starts in a row in about a year – should be finally healthy
5 – BETWEEN DREAMS – cutting back in distance helps – consistent performer
9 – SHAKE IT BABY -Ness Horse that will be forward – not top jock on board
6 – BAHAMA PEARL – should be forward and likes the off track
Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 47% w2w – PP: Bold Outside In
5 – HARDY CHOICE – TLRSP# +4 – left arrow horse – Ness & Pennington – 2nd up
4 – CLANCY O’TOOLE – biggest class dropper – better EP in last
2 – REMARKABLE MO – should be the pacesetter where 47% go w2w
7 – BIG JOHN – will be closing and getting more distance helps
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
7 – SUNNY MAGIC – one of two with a PAR race – pacesetter and Top TOTAL PACE of 2 ½ lengths
4 – IT’S AUTHENTIC -track dropper and getting better by the race
2 – JUST CHEESY – biggest class dropper by about 2 lengths – maintenance work – the other PAR runner
3 – CAPTAIN CRUSH – should be forward – good chance to be better in round 2 off the side for the first time
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4+ Discount with Outside being a little better
7 – AARAJ – TLRSP# +5 – 1 Length ES edge – cutting back in distance helps
3 – PARKERNESS – Ness & Silvera – PARX 5/0-2-3 – drops by a length in class
2 – BOBBY’S CANDY – 3SP# increases – but looks like a wallpaper horse that hangs late
6 – FINANCIAL STRENGTH – a lot of back class – ITM 4/4 in 2025
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
2 – SOLEMN OATH – PACO – consistent performer – with PACO 4/2-1-1
9 – CLASSY MISS – smoked around the track in her last – TLRSP# +5
3 – TIZ RACE DAY – Ness and Sanchez on a horse that should be forward –
4 – IFIHADACHANCE – SIM FAV with by far best C-ZONE – been regressing bonce back coming?
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – POPPY’S PRIDE – going to be likely pacesetter – 1 length EP edge – PACO
9 – THE JUDGE AND JURY – Sanchez and Ness – much better EP in last – cuts back in distance
1 – ROAN BURGUNDY – tr & jy trainer combo won ¾ with +5.75 ROI – strong rail
2 – GRAHMALAMADINGDONG – TLRSP# +3, better LS in last
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – GOLDEN MOONLIGHT – Ness and Sanchez – best published work prepping
5 – TAVIN – TLRP# +5 – resume says 3rd up will be top performance
7 – PEARLS AND HEELS – much better EP in last – 3rd up and cuts back in distance
2 – CONFIRMED GENIUS – Top TOTAL PACE – 2 ½ Lengths
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4+ Discount with Outside being a little better
5 – FRIDAY SURPRISE – coming in from Toga – speed and 1st Lasix – Pacesetter
4 – SIRCHARLYBROWN – smoked around the track in last better ATB and fractions
2 – SON OF THOR – PACO – big win in his last and 3rd up
8 – ALCHEMISM – SIM FAV and most consistent performer at a level close enough to win
Race 9: 1 Mile – Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Outside In and Rail Struggles
7 – BERNIE’S MITTS – outside speed with 2 length ES edge – better EP
1 – POINT DUME – on the rail with speed – Sanchez and Ness won lone PARX race with ease
5 – ELOQUIST – PACO and Ness – much faster final mile time in his last
6 – IN SPADES – cutting back in distance helps – maybe a peak race and regression today?
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4+ Discount with Outside being a little better
1 – STOUTHEARTED – speed and fade in last – cut back in distance on strong rail helps
2 – MIRACLE TRIP – was trending higher before heading to the bench – solid work between
9 – BORRACHO CONCHO – PACO – should be upfront – better late in last
8 – FREE FOLK – 3rd up – just missed in his last – maintenance work between
