PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 4-14-2025
Race 1-Female
6 – Onthisharvestmoon – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – K D Kakes – She has finished in the money in four races out of her five starts at PARX Racing, winning one start and she has a high % trainer and jockey.
3 – Pretty Lily – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has the highest last race speed rating and can handle the distance.
Longshot:
4 – Far too Foxy – She has a high % trainer and her early speed running style helps her chances.
Alternate:
7 – Chit Chat Chub
Race 2–
2 – Stonecold Reaction – He finished 3rd vs similar in only start, was well bet in debut and Lasix is added.
3 – Lookin Wild – He has the best Prime Power Number: 106.2 (1st) and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Carnaby – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint, he has the highest last race speed rating and returning to a sprint will help.
Longshot:
1 – Master of Tweets – He has a high % jockey and the rail post is winning at a 24% clip.
Alternate:
6 – Chucky Our Law
4 – Fastidious
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5/2,6/2,3/1,3,4,6,7,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
6 – Book Runner – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 17% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races, winning 20% of the starts.
2 – Alilnalot – He has finished in the money in three races out of his last four starts, winning one of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Big John – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the route races he has a horse running in.
Longshot:
1 – Ferrari Kid – He won his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Dance a Dini
4 – Run Cory Run
Race 4
3 – Inspeightoftrainer – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % jockey.
2 – We Be There – He won his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Tycoon – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and his early speed running style helps his chances.
Longshot:
1 – Jardani – He drops in class today, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Aula
4 – Nifty
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5,6/3,4,6,7/1,2,3,5,6 /1 – Cost $50.00
Race 5
7 – Amazing Woo – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the sprint races he has a horse running in and can handle the distance.
6 – Starlord – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Scudetto – He has finished in the money in four races out of her last five starts, winning one of the starts and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Run My Card – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – King Deivys
8 – Tap the Candy
Race 6-Female
3 – Untouchable – She finished 3rd vs similar in her only start, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Alyvia Mavis – She ran 4th in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Love Park – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance, the rail post is winning at a 24% clip and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Music Clarifcation – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Peachy Promises
8 – Cruising Gal
Race 7-Female
1 – Rock Me Gently – She has finished in the money in nine races out of her last ten starts, winning the last two starts and she has a high % winning trainer and high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
5 – Lookingfortreasure – She has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and she has a high % winning trainer. and jockey.
8 – Telephone Line – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 80% of the races, winning 40% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as she has finished in the money in 68% of the races.
Longshot:
9 – Put the Crazy Away – She has finished in the money in four races out of her last six starts, winning the two races, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Everheart
6 – Melody’s Kiss
Bet: $10.00 Win & $20.00 Place: 1 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: 1/5,8,9 – $10.00 Exacta: 1/3,5,8,9
$.50 Pick 4: #1,5/1,3/7,9,11/2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 8-Female
3 – Peach Perfect – She has won two races out of her last three starts, switches to a high % winning trainer and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Hi Heeled Warrior – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 70% of the races, winning 30% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as she has finished in the money in 70% of the races, winning 50% of the starts.
6 – Girlfromouterspace – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Amalfi Lady – She won her last race and she has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
8 – Classy Miss
Race 9–
7 – Liberte de Bayeux – He ran 3rd vs tougher in his last race, he drops in class, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
11 – Prince of Chill – He has finished in the money in eight races out of his last ten starts, winning two of the starts, drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.
9 – Rerally – He has finished in the money in five races out of his last seven starts, winning three of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Try Harder – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning jockey.
Race 10-Female
4 – Kates Warriorheart – She ran 3rd vs tougher in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and she switches to a high % jockey.
5 – Imperio Azteca – She has finished in the money in three races out of her last four starts and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
2 – Classic Mystery – She drops in class today and he has a trainer who wins 20% of the Maiden Claiming races he has a horse running in.
Longshot:
9 – Norho’s Gamble –She drops in class today, her early speed running style helps her chances, the shorter distance may help and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
7 – Creamrisestothetop
3 – Whiskey and Rain
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #1 – Rock Me Gently
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
2 – K D KAKES – maybe pops in 2nd up – bad trip in last – move inside helps
6 – ONTHISHARVESTMOON – consistent performer – similar fractions despite going longer
3 – PRETTY LILY – TLRSP#+8 – some regression concerns – but usually pairs peaks
4 – FAR TOO FOXY – pacesetter with a 1 length edge
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Discount, 8+ a little Better
3 – LOOKIN WILD – only horse with a PAR Race
2 – STONECOLD REACTION – 2nd race improvement and first LASIX
5 – CARNABY – TLRSP# +3 – cutting back in distance helps
6 – CHUCKY OUR LAW – biggest class dropper with the 3 and only 3rd race
Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 44% w2w – PP: Outside In
2 – ALILNALOT – good chance to be the pacesetter – Ness and Sanchez
6 – BOOK RUNNER – dropping nearly 1 ½ lengths in class – bullet work prepping
4 – RUN CORY RUN – the other big class dropper – much better late in last
1 – FERRARI KID – if the 2 is not on the lead, this one will be
Race 4: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Outside in 4+ The Same
3 – INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER – Ness and Sanchez again – better ATB
2 – WE BE THERE – ran a faster final time at 1 1/16 th miles versus 1m70y
5 – TYCOON – TLRSP# +5 – faster by more than a second
6 – AULA – pacesetter by about 1 ½ lengths
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Same Discount
3 – RUN MY CARD – TLRSP# +3 and has a 2 length LS edge -better ATB and Fractions
5 – STAY FUNNY – on the front – catch me if you can
7 – AMAZING WOO – just missed last out after coming from GP
4 – SCUDETTO – 3rd up and other 3rd up was the best of the cycle
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Discount, 8+ a little Better
3 – UNTOUCHABLE – 2nd race improvement takes her over par
2 – ALYVIA MAVIS – only horse with a PAR race
1 – LOVE PARK – 3 out of 3 first timer on the rail – decent works
5 – PEACHY PROMISES – another 1ster – above 2.5 and all the others are no
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Discount, 8+ a little Better
3 – EVERHEART – TLRSP#+5 – better ATB and fractions – 3 starts for the first time
1 – ROCK ME GENTLY – PACO on the rail – ITM 9/10 races
5 – LOOKINGFORTREASURE – 2 for 2 at PARX since – 3rd up and resume says it should look like last
2 – EMILY’S ON FIRE – has a PAR race – faster at 7f vs 6f in the prior race
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Ealy Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – PEACH PERFECT – definitely in form right now – proper distance 19/6-2-3 – just 2 wins in 11 at any other
1 – HI HEELED WARRIOR – faster by nearly 4 seconds – that’s crazy fast
6 – GIRLFROMOUTERSPACE – much better fractions in last
4 – AMALFI LADY – TLRSP# +3 – SIM FAV – killed it in last – big race followed by another
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Discount, 8+ a little Better
7 – LIBERTE DE BAYEUX – SIM FAV and biggest class dropper – PACO – Ness. Track dropper with a bullet PARX work
3 – TRY HARDER – ITM 8/9 at the distance – two works between races
9 – RERALLY – run back to Feb 26th race and it’s a wrap
10 – PALM ISLAND – maybe better in 2nd up – but just 1 win 5 races – OTB in the others
Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
4 – KATES WARRIORHEART – TLRSP#+4 – PACO an 3rd career start
5 – IMPERIO AZTECA – should be in the lead – been close in 3 of 6 races
2 – CLASSIC MYSTERY – 3rd up – biggest class dropper and has a PAR RACE
10 – MOPSY – first timer versus mostly nos – 2.61 of 3 points
