PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 2-10-2025
Race 1-Female
2 – No Fake – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Swans Island – She finished in money in two races out of the last three starts and she switches to a high% winning trainer who wins 23% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
1 – Onthisharvestmoon – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
9 – Echo Lake – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and the rail post is winning at 20% clip.
Alternate:
3 – Stay Opportunistic
Race 2
6 – Six Whips – He finished in money in five races out of the last seven starts, running 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Up Against It – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Justinspeightofit – He drops in class today, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip and he has a high% trainer who wins 26% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes.
Longshot:
2 – Spotted Bull – He has a win at PARX Racing race and likes the distance.
Alternate:
4 – Super Constitution
3 – Reckless Place
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,6,7/3,5/1,2,4,5/3,4,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
3 – St Pete’s Passion – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Always Be Smart – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and he has a good 4F workout on Feb-02.
1 – Mister Lincoln – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races in the 1st start with the trainer and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Evasive Moves – He ran 2nd in his last race.
Alternate:
4 – Atrocious
6 – Renard
Race 4
4 – Twentyeighttothree – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
1 – Booster Shot – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and he has a trainer who wins 18% of the claiming race he has a horse running in.
2 – Get Like Mike – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to a route and his best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Longshot:
5 – Time Tested – He has won two races out of his last three starts and has a trainer who wins 18% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
Alternate:
6 – October Bliss
3 – Checkitup
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,5/1,3,4,8/2,3/3,8,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
8 – Riley’s Rockstar – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Strand Road – He won his last race at Aqueduct, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Mr. Bogan – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Skinny Joey – He won his last race at PARX Racing, the rail post is winning at 20% clip and he has a trainer who wins 33% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
Alternate:
6 – Cojelo Pa Ti
5 – Dr. Lou
Race 6
3 – Warrior Ted – He has finished in the money in four out of the last five starts, winning two of the starts, has a high % winning trainer and he has a bullet 4F workout on Feb-04.
2 – Try Harder – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Cisco Kid – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 43% of the races, winning 29% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.
Longshot:
6 – Mask Patrol – He has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Humble Joe
4 – Depoli
Race 7
11 – Alilnalot – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey, drops in class today and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
8 – Carbonite – He drops in class today and switches to a high % winning jockey.
3 – Ferrari Kid – He finished in money in two races out of the last three starts and has finished in money in 100% of the starts at today’s distance.
Longshot:
10 – Nicole’s King – He has an early foot so the shorter distance should help and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Scamp Walker
$.50 Pick 4: #3,8,10,11/5/2,7,8/2,6,7,8,9,11,12 – Cost $42.00
Race 8
5 – My Last Mission – He finished 4th in his last race after being bumped at the start; but won the previous race, so the shorter distance may help, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – What Does It Take – He won his last race at PARX Racing at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, he has a high % winning jockey and he has a good 5F workout on Jan-29.
2 – Roan Mountain – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 71% of the races, winning 13% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 67% of the races, winning 14% of the starts.
Longshot:
1 – Mo Rewards – He has finished in the money in 100% of the races at PARX Racing, winning 50% of the starts, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Hermoso Hombre
3 – Dream Knight
Bet: $15.00 Win & $25.00 Place: #5 – $5.00 Exacta: #1,2,4,6/5 – $10.00 Exacta:5/1,2,4,6
Race 9
8 – Optic Way – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Level Up – He won his race by 7-lenghts at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Amatteroftime – He closed to win his last start at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Awesome Flay – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and he likes the distance.
Alternate:
6 – Lucky Dude
4 – Koselio
Race 10
6 – Zap Motion – He has finished in the money in four out of the last six starts, winning two of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Swift Tap – He drops in class today, his early speed running style helps his chances and he has a win at today’s distance.
11 – Wynn Giant – He has finished in the money in three out of the last four starts, winning one of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 53% of the races, winning 18% of the starts.
Longshot:
2 – Title Shot – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
12 – Hidden Promise
9 – Notable Bob
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #5 – My Last Mission
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 3/10 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Rough, 8+ Bonus
7 – SWANS ISLAND – Top TOTAL PACE +6 – better EP in last – Pacesetter
9 – ECHO LAKE – should be closing – some mid race issues in last
2 – NO FAKE – PACO – TLRPS#+ 5 and better PACE ATB in last
1 – ONTHISHARVESTMOON – the rail has too big of an edge to ignore
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2-3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Discount
7 – UP AGAINST IT – biggest class dropper – 1 ½ lengths – AON at PARX 4/2-0-0 same for distance 7/3-0-0
6 – SIX WHIPS – ITM 6/7 at PARX – consistent performer – should be forward
1 – JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT – big rail edge and better EP In last – dropping by a length
2 – SPOTTED BULL – going to be closing and most consistent of what is left
Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Stalkers, 3 races 1 w2w – PP: None Inside 3, Outside in from 4+
6 – RENARD – Ness not the best on Debut – but this horse might have plenty of talent – 1ster with some excellent back works
5 – ALWAYS BE SMART – Track Dropper – Distance 5/0-2-2
3 – ST PETE’S PASSION – Paco on a horse with three straight 2nd place finishes. 3 SP# Increases and TLRSP+ 3
1 – MISTER LINCOLN – Track dropper that might prove to have too much ES for the rest
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Small Rail Discount, 2/3 Biggest Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
4 – TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE – Top TOTAL PACE +6 – Paco and much better EP in last – drops
1 – BOOSTER SHOT – TLRSP# +9 – drops 1 ½ lengths in class
6 – OCTOBER BLISS – maybe too much ES for the rest
2 – GET LIKE MIKE – tough call over the 5 – but more back class
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 3/10 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Rough, 8+ Bonus
4 – STRAND ROAD – TLRSP#+4 and room for more in 3rd up
3 – MR. BOGAN – 3SP# increases before heading to the bench – ES1 1st Lasix and Paco
1 – SKINNY JOEY – Paco rode this in last out – horse was claimed – tr Hugo Padilla big off the claim
6 – COJELO PA TI – most likely pacesetter and gets 1st Lasix
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Discount
2 – TRY HARDER – TLRSP#+ 7 – better EP and chance to be better in 2nd up
1 – CISCO KID – another with room to take it higher in 2nd up and should compete for the lead
3 – WARRIOR TED – distance 5/2-1-1 – but Penn shipper – pacesetter
6 – MASK PATROL – Paco on a closer that ran better fractions last out
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 3/10 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Rough, 8+ Bonus
11 – ALILNALOT – Ness – Snachez – familiar path coming in from Laurel – lone Parx trip didn’t go so well
3 – FERRARI KID – consistent performer in a wide open race – distance 2/0-1-1
8 – CARBONITE – can’t overlook Paco in a race where any can win – should be forward
12 – DOS DE OROS – Better ATB – closer with a little extra distance
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Small Rail Discount, 2/3 Biggest Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
5 – MY LAST MISSION – Sanchez – Ness – best race was in a 1st up at Parx, like today, 2 bullet works prepping
6 – WHAT DOES IT TAKE – TLRSP# +8 – resume says 2nd up should look a lot like the 1st up
1 – MO REWARDS – a nose away from being undefeated on Parx dirt
4 – HERMOSO HOMBRE – tough call over Paco and the 2 – but younger and serious late pop
Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: 3 Races. Stalkers, 0 w2w – PP: Outside In
7 – LEVEL UP – just smoked around the track in his last – maybe better 2nd up
8 – OPTIC WAY – Top TOTAL PACE +6 Better ATB with similar fractions despite going longer
2 – AMATTEROFTIME – Ness – Sanchez – better ATB and faster by about 1 ½ second
5 – SIMOVITCH – missed as the FAV versus some of these last out – another in 2nd up
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Small Rail Discount, 2/3 Biggest Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
6 – ZAP MOTION – Top TOTAL PACE +8 – better ATB in last – maintenance workout – pacesetter
7 – SAILOR’S RETURN – missed by a nose at this level in his last – a little quicker early
11 – WYNN GIANT – any of the last 3 probably good enough
9 – NOTABLE BOB – tough all over the 3 – been consistent where as 3 regressing
