PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Race 1
8 – Surfboard – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Action Dream – He ran 2nd vs similar in his only start, he has the highest last race speed rating and he can handle the distance.
1 – Free Bird Bordo – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance so returning to a route can help and he has a high % winning trainer distance who wins 19% of the dirt races starts he has a horse competing in.
Longshot:
3 – I’m Not a Baby – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Inside Secret
2 – Badbadbobby
Race 2-Female
6 – Royal Upstart – She tried turf in her last race and can improve while returning to dirt, drops in class today, and she has high % winning Jockey.
9 – The Last Jet – She ran 2nd in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Callie Rae – She drops in class today, and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint.
Longshot:
1 – Missuptowntoodelou – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 23% clip, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races in maiden claiming races.
Alternate:
5 – So Steady
$.50 Pick 4: #1,3,4,5,6,9/1,2,3,5/3,8/1,5– Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
3 – Salagadoola – She won her last race, has a trainer who wins 33% of the races when dropping a horse off a win has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Nana Fanny – She finished in the money in four of her last five races, winning one of the starts and drops in class today.
5- Scott Alaia – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and a good 4F workout on Jul-10.
Longshot:
1 – Good Penny – She has an early foot so she can improve at the shorter distance, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, the rail post is winning at a 19% clip and has a high % winning trainer.
Race 4-Female
8 – Khozy Colby – She drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Corona Campione – She won her last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Lucky Opportunity – She won her last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Java’s Lucky Lady – She has a win at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
1 – Java’s Lucky Lady
6 – Steal the Deal
$.50 Pick 4: #3,4,7,8/1,3,5/1,6,8/5,6– Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
1 – Battalia – She won her last race at PARX Racing, the rail post is winning at a 23% clip, she drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Raichu – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race and has a high % winning trainer.
3 – All Hail Mo – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race.
Longshot:
8 – Aunt Berra – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 63% of the races, winning 18% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 66% of the races.
Race 6
1 – Jackson Road – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at Delaware, the rail post is winning at a 23% clip and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Curlins Cruzin – He won his last race at PARX Racing; he has a high % winning trainer and he has high % winning jockey.
8 – Top of the Street – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Trumpet Call – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the sprint races he has a horse running in.
Alternate:
3 – Humble Joe
4 – Onlygodcanjudgeme
$.50 Pick 4: 1,5,6,8/5,6/2,10/2,7,10 – Cost $24.00
Race 7-Female
6 – Summersattheshore – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Designated – She ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Emily’s On Fire – She won his last race at PARX Racing; her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
4 – Union Belle – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, switches to a high % winning jockey and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
7 – Diane’s Merlot
3 – Kokopelli Girl
Race 8-Female
6 – Maximus Angelicus – She finished 3rd vs similar in only start as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and she has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Central to Success – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 5 starters, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races with 1st time starters and she has a good 4F workout (Jul-10).
9 – Hopeforgreatness – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the races when using 1st time blinkers and can improve while returning to the dirt.
Longshot:
11 – Hippy Hippy Shake – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races in 2-year-old races and she has a bullet 3F workout (Jul-17).
Alternate:
12 – Miss Raucus
10 – Bitcoin Baby
Race 9
10 – Hornbeam – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Visual Artist – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Brilliant Chase – He has high % winning trainer and jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
8 – Uncle Water Flow – He won his last race at PARX and he has high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Hey Porter
$.50 Pick 4: 2,7,10/3,4,5,6/3/1,2,4,6,7,8,9,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 10
4 – Real Talk – He finished 3rd vs similar in last his race, highest last race speed rating and switches to a high % jockey.
3 – Souper Fly Over – He won his last race at PARX and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Meet Me At Mundis – He switches to a high% winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 1st after claiming a horse and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – New Commission – He won his last race at PARX and he has high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
7 – Easy Day
2 – B B Bad
Race 11
3 – Great Navigator – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, he has high % winning trainer who wins 40% of the races when taking a horse from a route-sprint and he has high % winning jockey.
7 – The Judge and Jury – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 80% of the races, winning 40% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 40% of the races.
6 – Midlaner – He has high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-1).
Longshot:
2 – Speedy Bolt – He won his last race at PARX and he has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
5 – Veeson
Race 12
11 – Flat Lucky – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race and he has high % winning trainer and likes the distance.
8 – Midnight Act – He drops in class today; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has high % winning trainer.
10 – Mucho Macho Eddie – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race at PARX and he has high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – Super John – He has a high % winning jockey and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
2 – Hang Tight
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race
10 – Hornbeam
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Bonus
1 – FREE BIRD BORDO – a run back to the MCL win and he’s the winner – good works
8 – SURFBOARD – Z pattern and faster by about a second, a pair of decent works since – should be better today
9 – ZOPPI FISCHBEIN – does have a pair of par level races, the only in the field but 1 win in 26 races
7 – INSIDE SECRET – should be forward, one of his best works prepping
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fairish, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Small Discount
No speed in this race, get forward and w2w is a real possibility
1 – MISSUPTOWNTOODELOU – rail boost, most lightly raced, maybe more than we’ve seen
4 – CALLIE RAE – Z Pattern, slowly getting better, 3rd up with a pair of works between races
6 – ROYAL UPSTART – ITM both races at this level and a par level race
9 – THE LAST JET
Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 45% w2w – PP: 1-3 Bonus, 4-7 Big Penalty, 8+ Best
3 – SALAGADOOLA – drops off a huge win, has a bullet work since, about 50% profit on the W
5 – SCOTT ALAIA – 2nd off the claim for Ness, drops to lowest level in last 10, a trio of great works
2 – NANA FANNY – class and track dropper with numbers that win at this level
9 – BEYOND A MILLION – been close at this level the last three, about a second faster last out
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Discount a little from Inside Out
8 – KHOZY COLBY – TLRSP#+6 and top TOTAL PACE +10 – 5/2 would be a blessing
7 – JAVA’S LUCKY LADY – run back to her last first up race – lowest level of her career
4 – LUCKY OPPORTUNITY – Paco Rides and was better ATB in her last
3 – CORONA CAMPIONE – lone PC horse and should be forward
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Big Rail Edge, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Penalty, Better Inside Out
1 – BATTALIA – Q30 horse that should compete for the lead on the bonus rail
5 – RAICHU – class dropper that ran a little faster fractions and a longer distance last out
6 – GRYPHON’S WINGS – showed some EP improvement last out
3 – ALL HAIL MO – makes the 3rd start off the bench, catches a 10 pound weight break
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Big Rail Edge, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Penalty, Better Inside Out
1 – JACKSON ROAD – rebound race coming in 3rd up
6 – CURLINS CRUZIN – TLRSP# +6 and that was first at Parx after coming from Gulfstream for Saffie
8 – TOP OF THE STREET – improved enough in 2nd Parx race after track dropping, another move up the scale today could be enough
3 – HUMBLE JOE – has some of the most LS and should be close to the front vs these
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 19% w2w – PP: 1-3 Bonus, 4+ Inside Out
2 – EMILY’S ON FIRE – TLRSP# +6 – sort of a drop from MCL 40k
5 – DESIGNATED – Parx 3/1-1-1 after coming in from Turfway, last race was the best of the 3
4 – UNION BELLE – Paco in the 3rd up – finally healthy horse? First time to make it 3 in a row
6 – SUMMERSATTHESHORE – 7SP# increase in a row – 8 would be enough – Lone EP
Race 8: 4 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 2/3 w2w – 2 wins from 2/3 the other 4-7
5 – CENTRAL TO SUCCESS – 3/3 – great back bullet July 10th – 4f in 47 breezing from gate
11 – HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE – 3/3 Paco – good works, bullet and go
2 – STRONG LIKE SARA – another 3/3 with a back bullet – 4f in 47.4
1 – NOT TOO LATE – workouts are all bullets and a weight break
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Bonus
2 – VISUAL ARTIST – just rerun last race for Ness and Silvera -down in class w/ TLRSP# +4
10 – HORNBEAM – always close at this level – strong mid move in last
6 – HEY PORTER – either of his last two PARX race probably wins here
4 – TRENDING UP – has some crazy late pace at times – Tom horse – up for a piece
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Big Rail Edge, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Penalty, Better Inside Out
4 – REAL TALK – Paco going to the lead and he isn’t giving it up
6 – MEET ME AT MUNDIS – claim and drop for Ness, 39% winner – Alpha for a 27% trainer – small profit
7 – EASY DAY – consistent performer with plenty of back class
3 – SOUPER FLY OVER – lone PC horse – will be coming at the end and not far off early here
Race 11: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Big Rail Edge, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Penalty, Better Inside Out
7 – THE JUDGE AND JURY – Ness/Paco – bullet work since last – going to send
6 – MIDLANER – Q30 horse – dangerous if he can get the lead – strong works – won last 1st up
3 – GREAT NAVIGATOR – track dropper with the most back class – should be better in 2nd up
2 – SPEEDY BOLT – TLRSP# – faster fractions – Peak SP# – regression? If not – could win again
Race 12: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Bonus
1 – COBBLE ROAD – rerun last race and he is your winner – better EP and fractions
11 – FLAT LUCKY – winner 2/3 at the distance and 3rd up for Ness
10 – MUCHO MACHO EDDIE – sings of life in last – much better middle out
8 – MIDNIGHT ACT – lowest level of last 10
