PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 11-19-2024
Race 1
8 – Musical Heart – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, can improve at the shorter distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Fast Bob – He has finished in the money in his last four starts, winning the last race by 7-lenghts and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
1 – Turnsandconditions – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, the rail post is winning at a 21% clip and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Mischievous Juan – He won his last race and drops in class today.
Alternate:
8 – Musical Heart
7 – Petulant Delight – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
Race 2 -Female
6 – Juradicial – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Gormley Girl – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last races at PARX Racing, can improve at the shorter distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Akna – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
5 – Miss Alex – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Cup of Life
1 – Bella Maria
$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,6/2,4,5/1,2/1,2,3,4 – Cost $48.00
Race 3 -Female
2 – Bythenumbers – She finished 3rd in her last start and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Rumint – She has finished in the money in her three races out of her last four starts, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to a route and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Summersattheshore – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 64% of the races, winning 14% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.
Longshot:
6 – Louella Street – She was beaten only 1- length in her last start and her early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
1 – Ritaan
3 – Tootsie Toes
Race 4 -Female
2 – Annieworkstoomuch – She has finished in the money in her last five starts, winning two races and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Moonlit Magic – She has won two races out of the last three starts, the rail post is winning at a 21% clip and she has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Survival Rose – She finished 3rd in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
10 – Pretty Lily – She has finished in the money in her last five starts, winning two races and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
8 – Union Belle
3 – Designated
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2/1,3,4/3,7/3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
4 – Melt With You – He has won three races out of his last five races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Time to Cruise – He finished 2nd in his last start as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – This Run’s for You – He finished 3rd in his last race, he has a trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Epic Luck – He switches to a high % winning trainer and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Martini Martin
6 – Rich’s Way
Race 6 -Female
3 – Ambitiously Placed – She has won her last four starts, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Woohoo Jackie Blue – She has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Principia – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
Longshot:
1 – Flashndynamite – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Emirates Affair
5 – Grace Reformed
Race 7
3 – Awesome for Sure – He is another horse on today’s card who has won his last four starts, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
6 – October Bliss – He won his last race and the cutback in distance will be a plus.
4 – Booster Shot – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a good 4F workout on Nov-13.
Longshot:
9 – Villanito – He won his last race by 9-lenghts earning the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is close to the avg winning speed.
Alternate:
7 – Jake Brake Alley
8 – Dr Bayter
$.50 Pick 4: #3,4,6,7,8,9 /4,8/1,7/3,4,7,12 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
8 – What Does It Take – He has finished in the money in nine out of his last ten starts, winning one of the races, finishing 3rd vs similar in last his race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Get Set – He came very wide into the stretch finishing 5th in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Navy Rules – He has won three races out of the last five starts and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Iconic Legacy – He can improve while returning to a sprint and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Bourbon Calling
Race 9
1 – It’s Game Time – He has won two races out of the last three starts, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – In Spades – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 25% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 80% of the races, winning 30% of the starts.
5 – Capital Idea – He has finished in the money in four out of his five career starts, winning one of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Jasper’s Pride – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Kerness
8 – Egot a Poker Face
Bet: $24.00 Win: #1 – $2.00 Exacta Box: #1,5,6,7 – $4.00 Exacta: 1/5,6,7 – $5.00 DD: 1,7/3,4,7,12
Race 10
3 – Zihuatanejo – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when taking a horse from a route- sprint and he has a high % winning jockey.
12 – Utility – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Track of My Tears – He won his last race at PARX Racing.
Longshot:
7 – Star of Caesarea – He has finished in the money in his last three races, winning the last start and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – My Brother Charlie
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #1 – It’s Game Time
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 4+Discount
6 – FAST BOB – TLRSP#+ 8, explosive LS and LS was big yesterday
8 – MUSICAL HEART – resume says 2nd up should be better, maybe a lot better
10 – ROAN BURGUNDY – lowest level in last 10 and a good chance to improve in second of the sidelines
2 – ROB THE RICH – 3rd off the layoff and another running at the lowest level in a long time
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 4+Discount
6 – JURADICIAL – been facing tougher, should be out front and room to bounce up in round 2 off the bench
4 – AKNA – better fractions last and most back class
5 – MISS ALEX – better ATB with faster fractions despite going longer
2 – GORMLEY GIRL – held speed longer last out and cuts back from 1m70y
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 4-7 Small Discount
5 – SUMMERSATTHESHORE – TLRSP# +5 and top TOTAL PACE +5,
2 – BYTHENUMBERS – very consistent performer that will be closing
4 – RUMINT – Ness/Silvera – much better fractions last out
6 – LOUELLA STREET – just missed at this level last out – should be forward
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 4+Discount
2 – ANNIEWORKSTOOMUCH – better ATB in last – room for more upside in 2nd Parx race
3 – DESIGNATED – TLRSP# +6, will be rolling at the end and should not be far from the pace here
1 – MOONLIT MAGIC – significant class drop after running faster early fractions and pace
5 – SURVIVAL ROSE – fairly consistent and will be closing at the end
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 4-7 Small Discount
1 – THIS RUN’S FOR YOU – lone E that should be forward and has some closing ability as SIM FAV
3 – TIME TO CRUISE – Ness/Sanchez – better ATB in last
4 – MELT WITH YOU – Ness/Paco – most consistent horse but PARX 2/0-0-0
5 – MARTINI MARTIN – plenty of back class and chance to be better in 2nd up
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 4-7 Small Discount
4 – PRINCIPIA – Ness/Paco on a track dropper with a bullet work
3 – AMBITIOUSLY PLACED – won 4 in a row – better EP in last, TLRSP# and class drop
7 – WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE – Sanchez/Ness – winner 2 in a row
5 – GRACE REFORMED – smokes the last two routes at PARX pilot/co-pilot – should be forward here
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 4+ Discount
4 – BOOSTER SHOT – only horse with a Par race on recent resume and SIM FAV – nice work
3 – AWESOME FOR SURE – is just ¾ a length from winning 5 in a row
9 – VILLANITO – TLRSP# +3 with much better LP and usually pairs up good starts
6 – OCTOBER BLISS – won his first PARX race with ease after track dropping from NYRA – same owner/trainer
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 4+ Discount
7 – NAVY RULES – TLRSP#+6 – better fractions despite going a little longer
8 – WHAT DOES IT TAKE – Ness/Sanchez always ITM at Parx and Distance
4 – GET SET – better early in last – should be involved from start to finish – SIM FAV
6 – ICONIC LEGACY – good chance to be on the front with 32 Q 30
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 4-7 Small Discount
1 – IT’S GAME TIME – TLRSP#+3 – Pennington/Ness – should be forward
5 – CAPITAL IDEA – track dropper from primarily NYRA – Clement and Carmouche
7 – IN SPADES – the most back class and a bullet work between races
2 – KERNESS – Ness/Silvera and very consistent performer
Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 4+ Discount
3 – ZIHUATANEJO – a couple of 3rd in 2 at Parx – will be closing
12 – UTILITY – missed by a neck at this level in last
1 – MY BROTHER CHARLIE – hot rail – will be closing – same fractions in last despite going longer
14 – THIRD WATCH – BTN FAV in last after track dropping from KY – let’s see if he takes in round 2 at Parx
