PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 9-23-2024
Race 1
4 – Youbetterbejoking – He finished 4th in his last race after he stumbled badly at the start, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 2nd race off a layoff.
1 – Fuego Sos – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse, the rail post is winning at a 18% clip, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Checking Boxes – His early speed running style helps his chances and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – My Boy Tullio – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
Race 2 -Female
7 – Peach Tea – She drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 33% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden to a maiden claiming race and switches to a high % winning jockey.
4 – Miss Ellary – She ran 2nd vs tougher (on Turf) in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she drops in class today.
3 – Leretha – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 45% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden to a maiden claiming race and has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Racey Ruby – She won her last race at Monmouth Park, switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Twisted Empress
5 – Gee Charlie
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,7/1,2,4,6/1/1,3,4,6,7,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
1 – Hoppy Time – He finished 3rd in his last race and the rail post is winning at a18% clip.
6 – Four Days Early – He drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has high % winning jockey.
2 – Curagio – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – End the Violence – He finished in 5th after a slow start in his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Hero’s Spirit
Race 4
1 – First Squad – He drops in class today, has trainer who wins 19% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to a route and has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
2 – Whoosh – He has high % winning trainer and jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Rossington – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Voy Y Vengo – He has a trainer who wins 22% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to a route and his early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
3 – Rossington
Bet: $15.00 Win: #1
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2/1,3,4,6,7,8 /1,5/4,5 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
1 – Divine Miracle – He has finished in the money in his last five starts, winning three of the starts and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Fightertown – He ran 2nd vs tougher (on Turf) in his last race, drops in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey and he has a bullet 4F workout on Sep-13.
8 – Winnin’onweekends – He is going for the fourth win in a row, drops in class today and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Vine Jet – He finished 3rd in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Legal Deal
7 – Blake B.
Race 6
5 – Traffic Master – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Smoke Wagon – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the dirt races he has a horse running in and he has high % winning jockey.
7 – Striking Sparks – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a bullet 4F workout on Sep-17.
Longshot:
3 – Hermoso Hombre – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race and he has high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Renegade Serenade
4 – Zoppi Fischbein
Race 7-Female
5 – Ringer Card – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a bullet 4F workout on Sep-12.
4 – Solve the Puzzle – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her only start, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and Lasix is added.
6 – Beautifulcrazygirl – She finished 2nd in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Wine and Roses – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Flagrunner
7 – No Tricks
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: #2,4,5,6
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,5,6/2,9/1,4/2,4,8,9,10 – Cost $50.00
Race 8
9 – Palm Island – He ran 2nd vs similar in last his race, he has high % winning trainer and he switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
2 – Kohler’s – He has won the last three starts at PARX Racing and he has high % winning trainer.
4 – Morethanafeeling – He has high % winning trainer and jockey and can improve at the shorter distance.
Longshot:
1 – Disturbed – He ran 2nd in his last race and he has high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
Bet: $10.00 Win & $20.00 Place: #9 – $20.00 DD: 9/4
$.50 Pick 3: 2,4,9/1,4,5/2,4,9,10 – Cost $18.00
Race 9
4 – Just Call Ray – He finished 3rd in his last race, he switches to a high % winning trainer and he switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
1 – Laytown – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 80% of the races, winning 27% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 71% of the races, winning 24% of the races.
5 – Army Times – He finished 3rd in his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Eloquist – He has finished in the money in seven of his last nine starts, winning two of the starts and he switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
10 – Flat Out Flying
6 – Tuskegee Airmen
Race 10-Female
4 – Secret Temptation – She has won two of her last three races, running 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Argentina Girl – She has won her last race at Laurel, has the highest last race speed rating, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
9 – Disco Daisy – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
10 – Gormley Girl – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, can handle the distance and she has high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Connelmaura
5 – Amalfi Lady
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #9 – Palm Island
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – FUEGO SOS – lowest level of her career – should be towards the front
2 – CHECKING BOXES – drops in class and is the other that should be forward
4 – YOUBETTERBEJOKING – 2nd start at Parx after coming from NYRA – should be better in 2nd up
7 – MY BOY TULLIO – got MCL win in last with best race – resume says 2nd off the sidelines should be similar
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with 4-7 a Little Discounted
4 – MISS ELLARY – Top TOTAL PACE +9, MSW dropper – last 3 on turf, catches a 7 pound weight break
3 – LERETHA – MSW dropper that should be on the pace
7 – PEACH TEA – PACO in second up and has some ES too
2 – RACEY RUBY – maybe the most upside with just two races and decently bet in both
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – CURAGIO – 2.5 first timer without much to beat
6 – FOUR DAYS EARLY – biggest class dropper and the closest to hitting par for this level
3 – HERO’S SPIRIT – could be the pacesetter – been consistent so far
1 – HOPPY TIME – lone E and good chance to be the pacesetter – Penn Shipper
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with 4-7 a Little Discounted
5 – VOY Y VENGO -track dropper from Colonial – going to be pacesetter +9 EP, really benefits from the 4 scratching
1 – FIRST SQUAD – only class dropper – last race better than it looks with better fractions/pace
6 – ROSSINGTON – chance to really pop or drop in second off the sidelines
2 – WHOOSH – some signs of life late in his last
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with 4-7 a Little Discounted
8 – WINNIN’ONWEEKENDS – just needs to repeat his last race – wins or runs off the board
3 – FIGHTERTOWN – track dropper with a bullet work prepping – Paco
7 – BLAKE B. – another track dropper from NYRA – small drop in class, not in for a price – in for a check
1 – DIVINE MIRACLE – good chance to be on the front +4 TOTAL PACE has late speed too
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with 4-7 a Little Discounted
7 – STRIKING SPARKS – first race at Parx for Ness with a bullet work getting ready
1 – SMOKE WAGON – rerun last race – bullet work since – should be sharp again
5 – TRAFFIC MASTER – Jamie Ness horse – much better late last out in his first race in the Ness barn, more improvement coming today
3 – HERMOSO HOMBRE – much better EP and early fractions last out
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – SOLVE THE PUZZLE – WTH is a Chad Brown horse doing here? coming to get a check – was 3/2 favorite in debut at Toga as a 2 yo – 3 yo with first Lasix
5 – RINGER CARD – been bet hard in all three races – 2nd up with a bullet work between starts
6 – BEAUTIFULCRAZYGIRL – just missed at this level last out – better in every race so far
9 – JOYFUL SONG – 3/3 first timer with a back bullet work at Parx
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 22% w2w – PP: Inside Three Best, 4+ Discount, but 8+ Better than 4-7
2 – KOHLER’S – last race was faster despite going longer – by far the lowest level – not in for a price
3 – ICONIC LEGACY – winner of two in a row, 3rd up and just needs to rerun last Parx race
9 – PALM ISLAND – PACO in a contested race – got to have – another running at his lowest level and not in for a claim
5 – CAPITAL CONQUEST – probably the most consistent performer – high floor/low ceiling type
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with 4-7 a Little Discounted
6 – TUSKEGEE AIRMEN – 3rd up, 1st Lasix with +6 TOTAL PACE edge
2 – ELOQUIST – Jamie Ness off the claim, you know the horse will show more today
5 – ARMY TIMES – another Chad Brown horse – WTH is going on – Kendrick and speed – drops from a pair of stakes races – lone PARX run not so good though
3 – MALIBU STAR – bullet work prepping – horse for the course 8 wins in 19 starts, just 1 in 12 elsewhere
Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 22% w2w – PP: Inside Three Best, 4+ Discount, but 8+ Better than 4-7
4 – SECRET TEMPTATION – a little better fractions last out – weight break
2 – ARGENTINA GIRL – lowest level in last 10 – ok off the bench
3 – AKNA – most back class and Z pattern in last
9 – DISCO DAISY – best chance to go w2w – but doesn’t need the lead
