Horseshoe Indianapolis Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free Horseshoe Indianapolis Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Horseshoe Indianapolis – 10-02-2024
Race 1
7 – Goldwyn – He ran 3rd in his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, has the highest last race speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has high % winning jockey.
6 – Conference Calling – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and has a good 4F workout on Sep-21.
1 – Ease My Mind – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance, the rail post is winning at a 23% clip and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
10 – Jackson’s Buddy – He is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
12 – Cantarito – He drops in class today; his Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning trainer.
13 – Illegal Contact
Race 2-Female
3 – Galoshes – She finished 3rd in her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Channah Del Mar – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and she has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Lilah – She has finished in the money in two of her four starts at Horseshoe Indianapolis, winning one of the races, and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the Allowance races he has a horse competing in and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Front Cover – She has a high % winning jockey.
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,3,7/3,6,7,8/3,4,10/2,9– Cost $48.00
Race 3
6 – Reiteration – He ran 2nd in his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, has the highest last race speed rating and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Creek Valley – He ran 2nd in his last three races out of four starts at Horseshoe Indianapolis finishing 7th in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 24% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
7 – Humor’s Image – He has a high % winning jockey and blinkers are added today.
Longshot:
8 – Mister Ezra – He has finished 4th in his last start and he has high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Michigan Left
2 – Handsome Hannah
Race 4-Female
4 – Crosley – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis, but was disqualified and placed 5th, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 35% of the races in a horse’s 1st route race and has a good 4F workout on Sep-21.
3 – Solrun – She has won two out of her last three races at Horseshoe Indianapolis and her regular jockey Rodney Prescott returns to ride her.
10 – Jolly Justice – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Touchdown Pass – She has finished in the money in three of her last four starts, winning two of the races and the shorter distance may be a plus.
Alternate:
1 – Shipshewana
7 – Rafaella
Race5-Female
9 – Fawn Liebowitz – She has finished in the money in three career races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Broadway Lights – She finished 3rd in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer and she has a good 4F workout on Sept-25.
5 – Stubby – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden-to-maiden claiming race.
Longshot:
10 – Kinzie Queen – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Two Timer
4 – Kate Wins
Race 6
4 – Rocketing – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and he has the highest last race speed rating.
2 – Kingsbury Road – He likes Horseshoe Indianapolis finishing in the money in 56% of the races, winning 22% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 67% of the races.
5 – Positive Change – He can improve while returning to dirt, he has a high % winning trainer, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a good 4F workout on Sep-25.
Longshot:
3 – Theo’s Promise – He has finished in the money in three out of his last four starts, winning one of the races and he has high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
8 – Dattts Life
7 – Cringe
Race 7
13 – Stellar Vino – He has finished in the money in five out of his six career starts, winning one of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
14 – Silver Heist – He ran 2nd in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a bullet 4F workout on Sept-26.
3 – Two Beers by Ten – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer
Longshot:
15 – Stellar Vino – He has a high % winning trainer.
Race 8-Female
4 – Elegant Justice – She has finished in the money in three career starts, winning two of the races, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Don’t Miss Out – She finished 2nd in her last race and she has a has a high % winning trainer.
9 – Off Pitch – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and she has a trainer who wins 18% of the races in 2YO races he has a horse competing in and a good 4F workout on Sep-21.
Longshot:
11 – Shesmyhuckleberry – She won her last race by 7-lenghts at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Miss Candela
1 – Hot Middles
Bet: $20.00 Win & $30.00 Place #4 – $10.00 DD: 4/1,4,10
$.50 Pick 4: 4,6/1,3,4,10/4,5,9,10/1,5,9– Cost $45.00
Race 9-Female
4 – Corningstone – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the Non-Graded Stakes he has a horse competing in, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has the best dirt speed among today’s starters.
10 – Brittanysgldnfaith – She won her last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and she has a trainer who wins 20% of the races in dirt starts he has a horse competing in.
1 – Louder Than Words – She has finished in the money in her last ten starts, winning five of the races and she has a good 4F workout on Sep-25.
Longshot:
3 – Itzforever – She finished 2nd in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Three Coats
5 – Bluelightspecial
Race 10
4 – Demolisher – He is undefeated in 4 career starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has a bullet 5F workout on Sep-20.
5 – Run Away Rojo – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Zolo – He has won two out of his last three races at Horseshoe Indianapolis and he has a trainer who wins 25% of the races when taking a horse from the Turf to Dirt.
Longshot:
9 – Highest Memories – He has won four out of his last five races.
Alternate:
8 – C. J’s Storm
Bet: $20.00 Win #4
Race 11
1 – Large Pour – He is undefeated in 2 career starts, winning both easily and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Jazzole – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Mondavila – He won his last race easily at Horseshoe Indianapolis and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Special Creed – He won his last race at Horseshoe Indianapolis and has a bullet 5F workout on Sep-25.
Alternate:
3 – Dr. Alex Is In
Race 12
2 – Zahavis Crown – He finished 3rd in his debut race at 250 yds, now stretches out to 300 yds. which should help and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Rafa – He has a high % winning trainer and gets his normal jockey back in the irons.
3 – Wrs Mirror Image – He has improved his speed ratings in his last three races.
Longshot:
5 – Valiant Beacher – He finished 4th in his last race after having trouble at the start and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
11 – Louisiana in Love
9 – The Cartels Secret
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing –8th Race 4 – Elegant Justice
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 5 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 56% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Big Discount, 4+ Bonus, Inside Better than Out
6 – CONFERENCE CALLING – 3/3 first time starter
7 – GOLDWYN – 2nd race improvement would be hard to beat
13 – ILLEGAL CONTACT –likely pacesetter where more than half go w2w
10 – JACKSON’S BUDDY – 2.4/3 first timer
Race 2: 1 1/6 Miles Turf – OFF – 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus. 2/3 Dinged Hard, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Best
6 – UP THE ODDS – longest shot in a 5 horse race with a pair of bullet works, his best since the last race – why not?
3 – GALOSHES – 3rd up with an 8 point Top TOTAL PACE edge
2 – CHANNAH DEL MAR – 3rd up and popped might higher SP# only two 3rd starts
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair 1-7, Bonus 8+
3 – CREEK VALLEY – looks like a 2 horse race on paper – this one will be more forward than the 6
6 – REITERATION – if not, this one has run 2nd in last two and will be closing at the end, not sure shortening up helps
8 – MISTER EZRA – showed more ES last out – 3rd up could be better
2 – HANDSOME HANNAH – lightly raced making 3rd start, speed and fade in 1st up last out, maintenance work today = more stamina late
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Discount, 8+ Better
4 – CROSLEY – undefeated in two and either are winners versus these
7 – RAFAELLA – drastically better in 1st half mile last out – maintenance work before 3rd start after a layoff
10 – JOLLY JUSTICE – winner of 2 in a row on turf – upped SP# in last 3, wonder why she moves back to dirt?
3 – SOLRUN – better EP and fractions in her last compared to the last time she ran a mile
Race 5: 1 Mile Turf – OFF – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Discount, 8+ Better
2 – BROADWAY LIGHTS – just need to improve as much today as she did in her last race
5 – STUBBY – MSW dropper that faced far tougher in last
9 – FAWN LIEBOWITZ – only horse with a par race on the resume
3 – UNCORK IT – big enough ES advantage to stay upfront – can she hold on
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Discount, 8+ Better
4 – ROCKETING – most upside in the race making just 3rd start after TLRSP#
2 – KINGSBURY ROAD – bullet 5f work prepping for today and consistent performer
7 – CRINGE – rebound race in 3rd up – same pattern and a pair of previous 3 race cycles
5 – POSITIVE CHANGE – tough call over the 3 & 8 – but superior HINDY numbers
Race 7: 1 Mile Turf – OFF – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Tactical Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Discount, 8+ Better
13 – STELLAR VINO – by far the SIM FAV with all the scratches – fast dirt 4/1-3-0
14 – SILVER HEIST – track dropper that tested the waters of Derby Qualifying last year
11 – HOOSIER DADDY NOW – better ATB in last and a maintenance work between races
3 – TWO BEERS BY TEN – looks like the best of the rest –
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Inside Out Edge
4 – ELEGANT JUSTICE – better in every race – could end up the biggest favorite of the day
3 – MISS CANDELA – 2nd race improvement could be enough if the 4 regresses
11 – SHESMYHUCKLEBERRY – smoked the comp in her last race and 3 of her best works since
6 – DON’T MISS OUT – a run back to her maiden win at HINDY could win as well if the 4 takes a step back
Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus. 2/3 Dinged Hard, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Best
4 – CORNINGSTONE – class dropper with the most back class – 2nd up – HINDY 6/4-2-0
10 – BRITTANYSGLDNFAITH – upped SP# in last three with better fractions despite going longer
5 – BLUELIGHTSPECIAL – really dangerous on the lead and looks like that is where she will be
1 – LOUDER THAN WORDS – ITM 11/12 at HINDY and 5/6 at the distance
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus. 2/3 Dinged Hard, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Best
4 – DEMOLISHER – undefeated in 4 and you don’t know how good a horse is until it loses
10 – ZOLO – won his last 3rd up with ease – but needs to be forward – could be tough to get there today
2 – MOWINS – has exceptional late speed or mid moves at times – pair them and it could be a run away
9 – HIGHEST MEMORIES – a head away from winning 5 in a row
Race 11: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Inside Out Edge
1 – LARGE POUR – scratch my earlier thought – this could be the heaviest FAV of the day
9 – MONDAVILA – chance with 2nd race improvement – it would have to be a lot and the 1 regress too
5 – JAZZOLE – has the early pace to keep up
3 – DR. ALEX IS IN – another with enough early speed to try and steal – basically 3/5 are the same
Race 12: 300 Yards
2 – ZAHAVIS CROWN
3 – WRS MIRROR IMAGE
13 – FLYHI SECRET
8 – RAFA
