PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 11-26-2024
Race 1-Female
7 – Hi Heeled Warrior – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she switches to a high % winning trainer and switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
6 – R Tenderoni – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the routes he has a horse competing in and high % winning jockey.
8 – Fast Mule – She finished 4th in her last race after being wide throughout the race, can handle the distance and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Gangster Rap – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and should improve while returning to a route.
Alternate:
3 – Captivating Cara
4 – Tomarie
Race 2
1 – Speightster Red – He finished 4th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Last Romance – He switches to a high % winning trainer, he has a high % winning jockey and has a bullet 4F workout on Nov-19.
8 – Irwani – He finished 3rd vs tougher (on Turf) in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Mega Charlie – He has an early foot, likes the distance and has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Alternate:
6 – Lord Winsalot
7 – Saint Marco
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,8,9/2,4,5,8/1,3,4/2,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 3 -Female
2 – Old Head – She has finished in the money in six out of the last seven starts, winning two races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Between Dreams – She came in from Penn National and finished 2nd in her debut race at PARX Racing and was claimed by a trainer who wins 20% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
8 – Haleigh B – She finished 5th in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, drops in class today and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Chloe Rose – She ran 2nd in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Alternate:
6 – La Tourista – She ran 2nd in her last race and is trainer by Scott Lake.
9 – Cedar Valley
Race 4 -Female
1 – Imperio Azteca – She ran 2nd vs similar in last race, her early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance can help and she has a high % winning trainer jockey.
3 – Fitness – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Alyvia Mavis – She drops in class today, can improve while returning to a sprint, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
9 – I Am Rue – She has a high % winning jockey, drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
11 – Carolyn Doris
$.50 Pick 4: #1,3,4,9/1,2,5,7/3,4/1,2,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
7 – Smoke Wagon – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the starts when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route and he has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Prince of Chill – He has finished in the money in five out of the last six starts, winning one of the races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Street Swagg – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when shipping a horse in to compete.
Longshot:
1 – Patriarchal – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the races in the 2nd start with this trainer and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Lost and Confused
3 – Ira the Icon
Race 6
3 – Olliemeister – He finished 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 37% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
4 – Theseguysgotgame – He has won three races out of his last seven starts, he has a trainer who wins 18% of the claiming races he has a horse running in and he has the highest last race speed rating.
6 – Haney Boys – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
8 – Jebologist – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance can be a plus and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
7 – Mischievous Juan
5 – The Angry Man
Race 7
4 – Gurt’s Warrior– He is having a good year finishing in the money in 85% of the races, winning 23% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races, winning 20% of the starts.
1 – Yes Sir Colonel – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 21% clip and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
2 – Rerally – He ran 3rd vs similar in his last race, and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Predominate – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Assembly Point
7 – Winged Foot
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,3,5,6,7/1,2/2,7/2,4,6,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
2 – Borracho – He has won five races out of his last six starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Traders Luck – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 31% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races, winning 20% of the starts.
3 – B B Bad – He ran 2nd in his last race and he can handle the distance.
Longshot:
5 – Dream Knight – He drops in class today and he is a closer who may catch the front running speed.
Alternate:
6 – Speedy Bolt
7 – Ego Man
Bet: $20.00 Win: #2 – $10.00 Exacta Box: #1,2 – $4.00 Exacta: 2/3,5,6,7 – $5.00 DD: 1,2/2,3,4,7
Race 9
7 – Right Wing Runner – He won his last race at PARX Racing, he has a high % winning jockey and he has a good 4F workout on Nov-20.
2 – Colonel Bob – He drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when taking a horse from the turf to dirt and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Mission First – He finished 3rd (on AW) in his last race at PARX Racing, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a good 4F workout on Nov-20.
Longshot:
3 – Dream Talk – He won his last race by 7-lenghts at PARX Racing and he has a good 4F workout on Nov-19.
Alternate:
1 – Roxton
8 – Robert’s Moon
Race 10
6 – Tap in Formation – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
11 – My Man Woody – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances as the shorter distance will help and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Tropic Storm – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Big John – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Sueno Profundo
5 – Raisedaroofcharlie
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #2 – Borracho
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, Small Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Small Discount
6 – R TENDERONI – finished 2nd or 3rd the last three times at this level
8 – FAST MULE – Z pattern, right distance 7/3-2-0 only 1 win in 14 at any other
3 – CAPTIVATING CARA – trainer with a +16.86 ROI in 2nd start with a new horse
7 – HI HEELED WARRIOR – TLRSP#+5 and PACO
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, Small Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Small Discount
2 – LAST ROMANCE – dynamic duo of Ness and Sanchez, drop off the claim to lowest level in last 10 and bullet work between races
1 – SPEIGHTSTER RED – another dropping any three of the last four would do – plenty of back class – lone EP
8 – IRWANI – first roll at PARX – maybe the lightest he’s faced in more than a year
9 – MEGA CHARLIE – PACO on a horse with maybe too much early speed for the rest
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, Inside Out
2 – OLD HEAD – tough call over the 8 – inside is better than outside – 3rd up and resume says a big bounce could be coming, 10 pound wight break
8 – HALEIGH B – Silvera/Ness and should be on the front at the lowest level of last 10 – strange drop
4 – CHLOE ROSE – speedster under PACO – same fractions despite going longer in last
5 – BETWEEN DREAMS – held speed longer last out and better ATB
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+Discount
9 – I AM RUE – just needs a little better start – solid work between races and TLRSP# +8
1 – IMPERIO AZTECA – better fractions last out – rail bonus and decent shot to lead
6 – JUSTCALLMETWOSHOES – next two are firsters with the top 1st timer scores
8 – LIL SALLY
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, Small Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Small Discount
6 – LOST AND CONFUSED – Silvera/Ness – lowest level in last 10 – solid work between races
7 – SMOKE WAGON – TLRSP#+6 – better fractions and better pace in last
1 – PATRIARCHAL – highly consistent performer – versatile running styles
5 – STREET SWAGG – track dropper with a fast work between races
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, Inside Out
4 – THESEGUYSGOTGAME – TLRSP#+4 – CV says a little better race coming in 3rd up
3 – OLLIEMEISTER – held speed longer, cut back in distance should help
6 – HANEY BOYS – resume hints at a big bounce in round two
8 – JEBOLOGIST – good chance to be forward and more upside than the 2
Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
6 – PREDOMINATE – drops in class and any improvement in 2nd up and chicken dinner
3 – COPPERHEAD CREEK – 4sp# increases in a row – router for sure, 7 wins 24 at the distance – 1 win in 21 at any other
2 – RERALLY – better EP and fractions last out
1 – YES SIR COLONEL – rail is the place to be, slightly better early but a lot better late in last
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, Inside Out
1 – TRADERS LUCK – should be out front, hot rail and 36 Q 30 – TLRSP#+12 – some regression likely in 2nd up – but not too much
2 – BORRACHO – Sanchez/Ness, bullet work – but maybe doesn’t care for PARX 6/1-0-0
6 – SPEEDY BOLT – very consistent performer and could be sitting on a strong effort with bullet work between races and class drop
3 – B B BAD – tough call over the 5 – take your pick – more consistent late kick
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+Discount
7 – RIGHT WING RUNNER – any improvement off debut and potentially easy winner – woks since are excellent
2 – COLONEL BOB – rerun of Parx debut works – maybe tried too much in pair of stakes races afterwards
5 – TWENTY ONE KID -has a PARX win and most recent PARX work says another good run could be coming
4 – MISSION FIRST – trying PARX for the first time – drops from a pair of NGSTKs
Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 56% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, but outside is better
6 – TAP IN FORMATION – TLRSP# +4 – resume says a big bump could come in 2nd up – PACO
11 – MY MAN WOODY – also should be forward – horse for the course, 10/3-3-0 – everywhere else 13/0-1-0
4 – BIG JOHN – if speed doesn’t hold – this one will be coming – second off the sidelines will better according to resume
2 – TROPIC STORM – Ness/Sanchez, 3rd up
