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Royal Ascot 2024 – Day 2 Picks & Analysis | Rich & Tom’s Handicapping Breakdown

Handpicked picks with sharp commentary for all 7 races at Ascot.

🇬🇧 Race 1 – Queen Mary Stakes

Rich’s Picks:
21 – Spicy Marg – Any improvement off debut wins this
25 – Zelania – Comments hint at a potential star
11 – Lennilu – 2-for-2 with better fractions last out
19 – Society Kiss – Race loaded with 2nd career start upside

Tom’s Picks:
11 – Lennilu – Won at Keeneland and crushed a “win-and-you’re-in” at Gulfstream
9 – Harry’s Girl – Debut win at Newmarket, second in a listed race
10 – Justice Twice – Huge longshot but consistent; experience matters
19 – Society Kiss – One race, one win over the course—was finishing best
Considered: 25 – Zelania (the favorite)


🇬🇧 Race 2 – Queen’s Vase

Rich’s Picks:
3 – Carmers – Unbeaten in 2, should love the distance
9 – Scandinavia – Expecting much better 2nd up
8 – Rahiebb – Always runs well, 4 strong starts
10 – Shackleton – Last race better than it looks with solid pace

Tom’s Picks:
3 – Carmers – Undefeated; won listed race at Navan by 3 lengths
10 – Shackleton – Wants longer; strong connections with Moore/O’Brien
8 – Rahiebb – Three straight runner-up efforts; consistent and improving


🇬🇧 Race 3 – Duke of Cambridge Stakes

Rich’s Picks:
5 – One Look – Won only 3rd up; fastest by more than a second
1 – Cinderella’s Dream – ML favorite with a strong closing kick
6 – Running Lion – Defending champ on same prep schedule
4 – Fallen Angel – Consistent form off the bench

Tom’s Picks:
4 – Fallen Angel – Drops in distance; must get the jump early
1 – Cinderella’s Dream – Undefeated at this distance; Buick/Appleby
7 – Soprano – Won seasonal debut on AW at Kempton; can improve


🇬🇧 Race 4 – Prince of Wales’s Stakes

Rich’s Picks:
6 – Map of Stars – 4 wins from 5 at the distance; footing is the question
1 – Anmaat – G1 Ascot winner; fires on good turf
5 – Los Angeles – Favorite but beatable
4 – Facteur Cheval – 2 strong runs at Ascot; 14-for-18 ITM on grass

Tom’s Picks:
1 – Anmaat – Solid 2nd at Curragh last out; better today
4 – Facteur Cheval – Mixed recent form but better at Ascot; Flavien Prat rides
5 – Los Angeles – Undefeated this season; needs good-to-firm to fire


🇬🇧 Race 5 – Royal Hunt Cup

Rich’s Picks:
23 – Fox Legacy – Fired fresh in both comeback races
21 – Urban Lion – Mile + firm footing = dangerous
27 – My Cloud – Third off the layoff could mean go time
1 – Arabian Light – Godolphin/Buick/Appleby at a price—6 for 6 ITM

Tom’s Picks:
21 – Urban Lion – Two wins and a second at the distance; traffic could be issue
11 – Blue Brothers – Useful effort in Saudi; solid post
5 – Qirat – Distance is the only question
Considered:
8 – Epictetus – Classy but tough draw
15 – Popmaster – Honest, but not quite top level
19 – Bullet Point – Red-hot form; post helps


🇬🇧 Race 6 – Kensington Palace Stakes

Rich’s Picks:
4 – Arisaig – Took the wrong path last out; rebounds
1 – Rainbows Edge – 3 wins and a second in 4 starts
20 – Queen of Atlantis – Longshot with Ascot mile experience
16 – Rockymountainway – Best footing effort was solid; 5-for-7 ITM on grass

Tom’s Picks:
1 – Rainbows Edge – No bad efforts yet; more to show
19 – Bint Al Daar – Inconsistent but dangerous; post hurts
5 – Ambiente Amigo – 4 starts this season; this could be her spot
17 – Serialize – Has early foot; post position makes things tricky


🇬🇧 Race 7 – Windsor Castle Stakes

Rich’s Picks:
10 – Havana Hurricane – Fastest horse on paper
8 – Gaga Mate – Ran on well; good debut
19 – Shaman Champion – Smooth win; big visual
17 – Rogue Legends – Two blowout wins; never run a bad one

Tom’s Picks:
18 – Rogue Supremacy – Easy win in debut; bred to be a good one
21 – Tough Critic – Green in debut but won with power; Prat rides
16 – Old As Gold – Two solid starts; improving
Considered:
8 – Gaga Mate – Eased up win; visually strong
9 – Gorey Gold – Better trip could help


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