PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Race 1-Female
10 – Sweet Fury – He has not raced for more than a year, comes back and drop-in class, has a good 4F workout on Jun-14 and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Corona Campione – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Treasure Peace – He won his last race at PARX Racing and his early speed running style helps chances.
Longshot:
5 – Battalia – He finished in the money in three out of his last four races, winning one of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
7 – Nurse Caralyn
11 – Unbridled Sass
Race 2
1 – Liberty Star – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
6 – Hide the Ransom – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – We Ready – He has finished in the money in his last five starts, winning the last race and the trainer / jockey combo in the last 14 days has won three out four starts.
Longshot:
3 – Rejected Again – He won his last race at PARX Racing; he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and at today’s distance.
Alternate:
5 – Maxim Moment
7 – Pylon
$.50 Pick 4: #1,3,5,6,7,9/4,8/1,2,7,8/2,3– Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
8 – Put the Crazy Away – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Miss Cinnamon – She has won two out of her last three starts and she has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Fast Gal – She drops in class today; she has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when dropping a horse off a claim and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Power and Glory – She won her last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Disco Flash
Race 4-Female
1 – Pleasant Dreams – She drops in class today; the rail post is winning at a 24% clip, she has a trainer who wins 22% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden race to a maiden claiming and blinkers added today.
7 – The Last Jet – She finished 3rd (on Dirt) in her last race and her Dam has 7 winners from 8 starters (but 0 Turf winners).
2 – Lost in Thought – She drops in class today, switches to a high % jockey and she has a trainer who wins 22% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to a route.
Longshot:
8 – Whiskeystreetblues – She drops in class today, she has the highest last race speed rating (tie), she has a trainer who wins 33% of the races the 2nd time she runs a horse in a grass race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Driven to Success
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,3,7,8/2,3/5,6,7/2,4,5 – Cost $45.00
Race 5
3 – Dream Knight – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
2 – Big John – He drops in class today; he switches too high % winning trainer who wins 36% of the races when dropping a horse off a claim and high % winning jockey, he has a highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Harley’s Charly – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 64% of the races, winning 12% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 29% of the races.
Longshot:
9 – Kabod – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance can help and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
8 – Mil Doscientos
Race 6
7 – Assembly Point – He won his last race at Monmouth Park; he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer jockey.
5 – Screen Saver – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Pit Boss – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
1 – Artistic Reason – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 27% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 61% of the races, winning 17% of the races.
Alternate:
4 – Finalist
2 – Crypt
$.50 Pick 4: #5,6,7/2,4,5 /2,6,7/4,5,6 – Cost $40.50
Race 7
2 – Vine Jet – He has finished in the money in his last six starts, winning two and running 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Jaa Mode – He won his last race by 16-lenghts and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Yodel E. A. Who – He drops in class today; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Roan Mountain – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Alternate:
1 – Legal Deal
3 – Wind Ninety Nine
Race 8
2 – Curlins Cruzin – He Highest last race speed rating; he has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when taking a horse from a route to a sprint and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Star of Caesarea – He ran 2nd s similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Biagio – He ran 3rd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse in.
Longshot:
4 – Viral Video – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
3 – Craigh Na Dun
5 – Makemydaycharlie
Race 9
4 – Speaking– He has won three races in a row and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has a good 5F workout on Jun-16.
6 – Magicnthemoonlight – He finished in the money in eight out of his last ten races, winning three of the starts and he has the highest last race speed rating.
5 – Don’t Wait Up – He has won his only start at PARX Racing, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Traders Luck – He has won his last start at PARX Racing, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Easy Day
$.50 Pick 4: #1,4,5,6,8/2,4,6,7/9/2,3,6,8,9 – Cost $50.00
Race 10
7 – Windsor Gold – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 76% of the races, winning 24% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 89% of the races, winning 33% of the races.
2 – Time to Cruise – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Simovitch – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Concealed Carry – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
5 – Ron Don Scorese
3 – Wish for Peace
Race 11
9 – Spy Novel – He drops in class today he has a high % winning trainer who wins 40% of the races when bringing a horse back after being 90+ days away, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Eff Thirty Five – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Big Boys Answer – He ran 2nd (on Dirt) in his last race, his Dam has produced 1 Turf winner and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
8 – Retweet – He ran 2nd in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Picture This
2 – Roan Burgundy
Race 12-Female
6 – Hightime Valentine – She finished 3rd vs tougher in last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Scintillating Star – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 25% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 50% of the races.
2 – Boca Royalty – She finished 3rd vs tougher in last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Melodia – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Juliet’s Music
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 11th Race
9 – Spy Novel
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
4 – TREASURE PEACE – open race, let’s take one that might be on the lead
10 – SWEET FURY – huge class drop, but been off for more than a year, works are ok
5 – BATTALIA – upped SP# in last three starts, another that will be out front
1 – CORONA CAMPIONE – lowest level of career, much better EP in last
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
1 – LIBERTY STAR – benefits from the rail – better running times at 6 1/2f v 5 ½
5 – MAXIM MOMENT – top TOTAL PACE +6, right off the pace and tied for the most LP
6 – HIDE THE RANSOM – just missed at this level last out – closer with extra distance today
7 – PYLON – likely pacesetter and speed did fine yesterday
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
8 – PUT THE CRAZY AWAY – upped SP# in the last three, just missed in her first two at Parx after track dropping
3 – FAST GAL – track dropper with PACO onboard
4 – MISS CINNAMON – 3rd up following a big maiden win – better 2/4 pace
7 – SWANS ISLAND – lone win came off the bench like today – last work 4f in 47.3
Race 4: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: None at a Mile, Turf Routes favor stalker on the Rail or 8+
1 – PLEASANT DREAMS – only pure MSW dropper – 3rd career race with bullet work – going to be 3/5?
3 – DRIVEN TO SUCCESS – huge improvement in her last, first up and first on grass – big improvement in only 2nd up
8 – WHISKEYSTREETBLUES – last race was top SP# and first on grass, maybe better in 2nd grass go
7 – THE LAST JET – never really been close at the end – Z pattern in last
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
3 – DREAM KNIGHT – drops in class after a big win – TLRSP# +8 resume says as good maybe better in 2nd up
8 – MIL DOSCIENTOS – lone E that will likely be the pacesetter
2 – BIG JOHN – running at lowest level in last 10 – claim and drop – 37% for tr Michael Pino
1 – HARLEY’S CHARLY – perfect distance – 7/2-4-1 – cut back in distance could help
Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Big Discount
7 – ASSEMBLY POINT – going to be upfront – tends to fade, but the right distance 14/6-1-2, just 2 wins in 18 at any other
5 – SCREEN SAVER – going to be coming at the end, Ness/Sanchez can’t be discounted
2 – CRYPT – most back class and makes his first start after Ness claim – 32% winner
6 – PIT BOSS – lowest level in last 10 after being much better early in last
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Bonus
4 – JAA MODE – won by 16 in his last, maybe better in 3rd up
2 – VINE JET – always close at the end – versatile running styles – much faster last out
1 – LEGAL DEAL – 3rd up and drops in class – should be coming at the end
5 – YODEL E. A. WHO – lowest level in last 10 – Ness looking to collect a check and sell
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 17% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Discount a Little Better Inside than Out
3 – CRAIGH NA DUN – top TOTAL PACE +11 – most ES and LS – can’s pass what you can’t catch
2 – CURLINS CRUZIN – track dropper for one of the best trainer Saffie Joseph Jr – what’s he doing at Parx?
5 – MAKEMYDAYCHARLIE – if he gets off to a fast start – Only and big class dropper wins
6 – STAR OF CAESAREA – Paco on a consistent performer that makes his 2nd Parx starter after coming in from Kentucky
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
5 – DON’T WAIT UP – mashed in the lone race at Parx – rerun that race and he is 2-0 at Parx
4 – SPEAKING – right distance 9/6-0-1 – six races at another with only 1 win
6 – MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT – most consistent performer in the field – better EP in last
1 – EASY DAY – 3rd up with a fast work between races 4f in 47.3
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Bonus
3 – WISH FOR PEACE – crazy LP in a field that wants to be forward – top TOTAL PACE +5
2 – TIME TO CRUISE – first up for Pennington and Ness – won last first up and has strong works
5 – RON DON SCORESE – another Ness horse with Mychel Sanchez – won the last three times he rode
7 – WINDSOR GOLD – distance is spot on 9/3-5-0 – could be upfront
Race 11: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – Bias: Turf Routes favor stalkers on the Rail or 8+
3 – PICTURE THIS – lone turf race at GP probably wins this
6 – EFF THIRTY FIVE – Kendrick on a horse that want to be on the lead
9 – SPY NOVEL – works are sparkling after coming back from Barbados
5 – BIG BOYS ANSWER – first up and won last first up – turf is the question
Race 12: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
10 – CAPTIVATING CARA – left arrow horse – lowest level in last 10 – weight break
6 – HIGHTIME VALENTINE – really consistent performer – faster fractions last out – some regression concerns
2 – BOCA ROYALTY – nice effort last out despite troubled trip – class drop
9 – JULIET’S MUSIC – much better ATB in last – drops in class
